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British Airways Warns of Revenue Drop for Next Fiscal Year

Ci sono alcuni passaggi di quest'articolo che mi ricordano e molto alcune pratiche effettuate da company britanniche che preferiscono attività in EU quindi avere profit in euro per poi trasformarli in sterline ... nel caso si parla di dollaro contro sterlina.

British Airways PLC lowered its expectations for revenue growth in the current fiscal year and warned sales would fall next year as it cuts capacity in response to softening demand.

The British flag carrier said that in the current fiscal year, which ends March 31, it expects revenue to rise 3.5%, which compares with an earlier estimate of 4% growth. Next fiscal year, the airline expects revenue to decline 5%.

At its investor day on Thursday, BA said that fuel costs for this year will rise by £950 million ($1.35 billion). However, for the coming fiscal year, the airline expects fuel costs to decline 10%, thanks to hedging at levels lower than the peaks seen in the middle of 2008.

Chief Executive Willie Walsh said BA is making significant progress in its merger talks with Spain's Iberia Líneas Aéreas de España SA, but that the two airlines haven't decided on the governance structure for the possible combined company.

In January, BA warned it would post an operating loss of about £150 million for the current fiscal year amid the economic downturn and the fall in the value of sterling. However, BA said Thursday that sterling's weakness also brought opportunities.

George Stinnes, treasurer and head of investor relations, said Wednesday that the airline would continue to focus on selling tickets in the U.S. rather than the U.K. so it could benefit from the strength of the dollar against the pound. He added that BA's presence in the U.S. was "beneficial" because many economists expect the U.S. economy to be the first to recover from recession.
The airline said it wants to cut nonfuel costs by £220 million in the coming fiscal year and plans a further £80 million reduction the year after. Stripping out severance costs, BA said it targets an operating result for next fiscal year similar to that forecast for the current fiscal year. BA said it would force managers to leave if they underperformed targets for two years running. It added that rewards and share plans would also be linked directly to performance.

Capital expenditure for the next fiscal year is likely to reach £725 million, the carrier said. In its effort to cut costs and become more efficient, BA said it will lower capacity by 2% this summer.

Despite the downturn, the airline said it was holding on to or even gaining market share in the cargo sector, especially in the U.S., U.K. and India. On Wednesday, BA posted a 21% drop in cargo traffic for February, but said it was holding up better than its competitors because its cargo business is smaller and focused on high-end freight, such as perishable goods.

BA's low-cost rival easyJet PLC said Thursday that it carried 6.8% fewer passengers in February than a year earlier. The decline to 3.02 million passengers from 3.24 million passengers in February 2008 largely reflected its decision, announced last summer amid record-high fuel prices, to cut some flights over the winter seasons to preserve margins.

Separately, Australian flag carrier Qantas Airways Ltd. said its January load factor fell to 81.8% from 84.2%, as the number of passengers it carried slipped 0.6% to 3.2 million
 
EADS diffonde i risultati del Q4/2008 ed il forecast per il 2009.

Gli ordinativi di EADS a fine 2008 erano ancora attestati ad un livello record di 400 mld $ (aiutati per ciò che riguarda il valore dall'andamento del dollaro contro euro). Vediamo per gli aerei come andrà con cancellazioni e differimenti: per ora non pare sia stato detto nulla...

Circa il forecast per i nuovi ordinativi da raccogliere nel 2009 per Airbus (fra i 300 ed i 400 ordini) l'obiettivo è stato definito "increasingly challenging".

Discrete le aspettative in termini di fatturato, EBITDA, free cash flow per il 2009, EADS prevede al momento di non effettuare tagli nei posti di lavoro e di incrementare il capex per il 2009.

EADS fourth-quarter profit rises 89%
Issues with A400M weigh on guidance

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- EADS on Tuesday reported an 89% jump in fourth-quarter profit, helped by the revaluation of some contract provisions, but warned of potential further charges related to its A400M military transport aircraft.



Net income at the Airbus parent for the three months to Dec. 31 improved to 490 million euros ($622 million), or 0.61 euro a share, from 259 million euros, or 0.32 euro a share, earned in the year-earlier quarter.
Sales climbed 19% to 13.83 billion euros.

The result for 2008 was even more impressive, with the European aerospace and defense giant swinging into the black with a net profit of 1.57 billion euros compared to a loss of 446 million euros in 2007.

Merrill Lynch analysts said the 2008 numbers were in line with its forecasts and ahead of consensus. They noted, however, that the strong underlying performance wouldn't be repeated for the next two to three years.

The euro on Tuesday traded below $1.28 and has been trading below $1.39 for most of the year.

At the end of 2008, EADS said its order book stood at a record 400.2 billion euros, helped in part by the recent strength of the dollar against the euro.

EADS shares rose as much as 4% early in the session, but they were last down 2% in Paris midday trading. Over 12 months, EADS shares have dropped 42%.

Higher dividend, cautious guidance

The board on Tuesday proposed to lift the dividend to 0.20 euro a share from 0.12 euro a share in 2007.

"The amount of the dividend acknowledges the turbulent economic environment and the risk in the A400M program, but recognizes the loyalty of EADS shareholders and reflects our confidence in the group's solidity through 2009 and beyond," EADS Chief Financial Officer Hans Peter Ring said in a statement.

The guidance released Tuesday was cautious, with EADS saying that while visibility at Airbus is "satisfactory" for the first half, it deteriorates thereafter.

A previous forecast for the commercial aircraft maker to bag between 300 and 400 new gross orders in 2009 was also called "increasingly challenging."

Meanwhile 2009 group revenue is seen flat, based on a euro at $1.39, and further charges related to the A400M could weigh on earnings before interest and tax.


Before such one-off charges, earnings before interest and tax are seen down, but significantly positive.

Free cash flow is expected to be hit by higher customer financing, although the group said it doesn't expect to consume more than 1.5 billion euros of free cash flow after such financing in 2009.

And the difficulties won't end in 2009, with 2010 also expected to be a bad year.

"We're always late in the beginning of the crisis and late in the end," EADS Chief Executive Louis Gallois reminded journalists at a press conference following the results.

For now though, the company doesn't plan to cut jobs. It also plans to increase research and development expenses to 3 billion euros in 2009 from 2.7 billion euros in 2008, mostly because of the ramp-up of the A350 XWB program.

A400M headache continues

The group on Tuesday acknowledged continuing problems with the delayed A400M and said it was still trying to determine when the system to operate the engines would be ready to fix a date for the first flight. Delivery of the first aircraft is then expected three years later.

As the aircraft will not perform its first flight before the end of March, however, EADS noted that seven-nation pan-European procurement agency OCCAR could cancel the contract as of April 1.

OCCAR is composed of Germany, France, Spain, Turkey, the U.K., Belgium and Luxembourg.

Such a decision would force the group to give back roughly 5.7 billion euros already received from them.

But Gallois said in a conference call that a unanimous decision to pull out of the program by the seven countries was "absolutely unlikely."
EADS recently decided to integrate the struggling military aircraft division into Airbus to keep a closer eye on it and appointed Spanish aeronautical engineer Domingo Urena-Raso to lead it.

Gallois on Tuesday said that even if the program required "enormous attention," the group is proving resilient in the face of the "turbulent global economic environment."
 
Chi invece ha messo in cantiere tagli alla forza lavoro e prevede di realizzarne di ulteriori in caso di persistenza dell'indebolimento del mercato è Boeing.

La società USA ha già previsto il taglio del 6% della propria forza lavoro e nel caso si rendesse necessario è pronta ad abbatterla di un ulteriore 10% nel prossimo anno ove continuassero le richieste di cancellazione e di differimento di ordinativi.

Il backlog però è su livelli record e Boeing non prevede alcuna riduzione dell'output per quest'anno, mentre per il 2010 c'è un minimo di incertezza e dipenderà dal contesto economico.

Quest'anno è stato molto negativo sul piano dei nuovi ordini: i 22 ordini ricevuti ad oggi sono meno di 1/8 di quelli pervenuti nello scorso anno.

Boeing Reaffirms Dreamliner Flight, Delivery Schedule (Update1)

By Susanna Ray


March 10 (Bloomberg) -- Boeing Co. reaffirmed its plans to fly the 787 Dreamliner for the first time in the second quarter and deliver the plane in the first three months of 2010.

The first test plane “is essentially factory complete now” and will be painted soon, Scott Carson, the head of the commercial unit, said in remarks Webcast from a JPMorgan Chase & Co. conference today. “We can see the time when the production line will operate as we had planned.”

Boeing is slashing about 10,000 jobs, or 6 percent of its workforce, and has said it could cut production by about 10 percent next year if more orders are deferred or canceled because of the global recession. The Chicago-based planemaker, which has a record backlog for 3,633 planes valued at about $279 billion, has won just 22 orders this year, less than an eighth of the total by this time last year.

“We believe every one of the airplanes scheduled for this year will be delivered, and the draw on us for financing will be relatively minimal,” Carson said. “So 2009 looks OK; 2010 is a little bit more of a question depending on global economic conditions.”

Carson backed his delivery forecast from January for 480 to 485 commercial planes this year. Demand is “slowing significantly” for planes to be added to fleets to fuel route expansion, though airlines are still anxious for new, more fuel- efficient models to replace older jets, he said.

The Dreamliner is about two years behind schedule because of parts shortages and defects, redesign work and problems with the suppliers who are building most of the plane and shipping sections to be joined at Boeing’s plant in Everett, Washington.

“We’re humbled by our mistakes but optimistic about the products we’re bringing into the marketplace,” Carson told investors.
 
Chi invece ha messo in cantiere tagli alla forza lavoro e prevede di realizzarne di ulteriori in caso di persistenza dell'indebolimento del mercato è Boeing.

La società USA ha già previsto il taglio del 6% della propria forza lavoro e nel caso si rendesse necessario è pronta ad abbatterla di un ulteriore 10% nel prossimo anno ove continuassero le richieste di cancellazione e di differimento di ordinativi.

Il backlog però è su livelli record e Boeing non prevede alcuna riduzione dell'output per quest'anno, mentre per il 2010 c'è un minimo di incertezza e dipenderà dal contesto economico.

Quest'anno è stato molto negativo sul piano dei nuovi ordini: i 22 ordini ricevuti ad oggi sono meno di 1/8 di quelli pervenuti nello scorso anno.

Boeing Reaffirms Dreamliner Flight, Delivery Schedule (Update1)

By Susanna Ray

E' un po' OT in quanto andrebbe postata forse un po' dappertutto...
Questa osservazione è importante: ho sentito questa "tiritera" da diversi costruttori di impianti i quali (di diverse dimensioni italiani ed esteri) recitano (more or less) che per quest' anno riescono a chiudere, ed i problemi li avranno l' anno entrante ..
 
E' un po' OT in quanto andrebbe postata forse un po' dappertutto...
Questa osservazione è importante: ho sentito questa "tiritera" da diversi costruttori di impianti i quali (di diverse dimensioni italiani ed esteri) recitano (more or less) che per quest' anno riescono a chiudere, ed i problemi li avranno l' anno entrante ..

Infatti... anche le società di engineering che pure sono un piccolo comparto merceologico hanno il vantaggio che il finanziamento per la realizzazione dell'impianto viene stanziato con un certo anticipo, per cui in caso di "caduta" in recessione improvvisa e drastica come quella post Lehman, hanno un paracadute di qualche mese, però poi per la stessa ragione tardano a venirne fuori...

Esattamente come i produttori dell'industria aeronautica...

Anche quello sarebbe carino da valutare visto che c'è dentro da ABB a Thiel Logistik e Duerr, società molto diverse come rating...

PS: però tu forse intendevi i produttori di macchinari... ;)
 
Infatti... anche le società di engineering che pure sono un piccolo comparto merceologico hanno il vantaggio che il finanziamento per la realizzazione dell'impianto viene stanziato con un certo anticipo, per cui in caso di "caduta" in recessione improvvisa e drastica come quella post Lehman, hanno un paracadute di qualche mese, però poi per la stessa ragione tardano a venirne fuori...

Esattamente come i produttori dell'industria aeronautica...

Anche quello sarebbe carino da valutare visto che c'è dentro da ABB a Thiel Logistik e Duerr, società molto diverse come rating...

PS: però tu forse intendevi i produttori di macchinari... ;)

Si intendevo i costruttori di macchinari, che chiaramente si tirano dietro i costruttori delle strutture di controllo.
 
Oggi facciamo contento anche Methos, giacché anche lui ha i bond in portafogli: la maxicommessa di Lufthansa per l'acquisto di 30 CSeries ed opzione per altri 30, attesa da Bombardier ed annunciata per fine gennaio, è finalmente arrivata... valore 1,53 mld $ ed è il primo ordine di peso per un aereo di dimensioni tali da confrontarsi con la concorrenza di Boeing e di Airbus...

I bond fanno un bel balzo in due giorni, in controtendenza rispetto all'andamento dell'HY... :up:

UPDATE 1-Bombardier to sell up to 60 aircraft to Lufthansa
Wed Mar 11, 2009 8:18am

March 11 (Reuters) - Bombardier Aerospace, a division of Bombardier Inc (BBDb.TO) (BBDa.TO), signed a deal to sell 30 CSeries aircraft to Deutsche Lufthansa AG (LHAG.DE) for about $1.53 billion.

The agreement also gives an option to double the order for the new jets, which will be operated by Lufthansa's Swiss International Airlines unit, the aircraft maker said.

Lufthansa became the launch customer for the CSeries aircraft family in July 2008 when it signed a letter of interest (LOI) for up to 60 aircraft, including 30 options, Bombardier Aerospace said in a statement. (Reporting by Richa Dubey in Bangalore; editing by Anil D'Silva)
 
Oggi facciamo contento anche Methos, giacché anche lui ha i bond in portafogli: la maxicommessa di Lufthansa per l'acquisto di 30 CSeries ed opzione per altri 30, attesa da Bombardier ed annunciata per fine gennaio, è finalmente arrivata... valore 1,53 mld $ ed è il primo ordine di peso per un aereo di dimensioni tali da confrontarsi con la concorrenza di Boeing e di Airbus...

I bond fanno un bel balzo in due giorni, in controtendenza rispetto all'andamento dell'HY... :up:

UPDATE 1-Bombardier to sell up to 60 aircraft to Lufthansa
Wed Mar 11, 2009 8:18am

March 11 (Reuters) - Bombardier Aerospace, a division of Bombardier Inc (BBDb.TO) (BBDa.TO), signed a deal to sell 30 CSeries aircraft to Deutsche Lufthansa AG (LHAG.DE) for about $1.53 billion.

The agreement also gives an option to double the order for the new jets, which will be operated by Lufthansa's Swiss International Airlines unit, the aircraft maker said.

Lufthansa became the launch customer for the CSeries aircraft family in July 2008 when it signed a letter of interest (LOI) for up to 60 aircraft, including 30 options, Bombardier Aerospace said in a statement. (Reporting by Richa Dubey in Bangalore; editing by Anil D'Silva)

PS: Restano tuttavia attorno ai 60 in denaro ed ai 65 in lettera... i tempi sono quelli che sono... :D
 
Airlines Are Queasy as Customers Flee
Decline in Fuel Prices Doesn't Make Up for Steep Drop in Passengers; More Pessimistic Forecasts Expected


By SUSAN CAREY and PAULO PRADA

When oil prices began falling dramatically from a historic peak last summer, U.S. airlines were convinced that savings in jet fuel -- their biggest expense -- would more than make up for any drop in travel brought on by the recession.
MK-AU845_AIRLIN_D_20090309181215.jpg
Airlines are seeing demand fall faster than expected. Continental Airlines' planes at the Newark, N.J., airport last month.



But demand for air travel is sliding much more quickly and significantly than airlines expected, prompting projections that the industry will be forced to further trim how many planes are in the air. Some major airlines are expected to disclose pessimistic forecasts for the rest of this year at an industry investor conference Tuesday.
The turnabout is triggering new fears about the industry's health. Stock prices of carriers have been hammered, even though many analysts expect most of them to be profitable in 2009 after the red ink of 2008.
On Monday, AirTran Holdings Inc., parent of discounter AirTran Airways, warned that it expects its first-quarter passenger unit revenue, or the amount taken in for each passenger flown a mile, to decline by up to 8.5% from the year-earlier period. While the Orlando, Fla., company said it expects to be profitable every quarter this year, it foresees paring its capacity by 4% in 2009.
Continental Airlines Inc. last week reported that its unit revenue, excluding regional flights, declined by 9.5% to 10.5% in February. US Airways Group Inc. said its February unit revenue fell 9% to 11% from the year-ago period. Southwest Airlines Co. warned that it is being more cautious about its full-year revenue outlook, citing weakening demand from business fliers who pay full fare.
Meantime, AMR Corp.'s American Airlines said its international traffic fell by more than 13% in February, on a 6.3% reduction in seats flown. Its domestic traffic fell 13.7% on a 12.4% capacity reduction. UAL Corp.'s United Airlines said its overseas traffic declined 22% on an 18% reduction in seats. Its 14% decline in North American traffic mirrored a 14% capacity reduction for the month. (For more airline news, please see Corporate Watch on page B3.)
MK-AU845_AIRLIN_NS_20090309181215.gif



Oil hit $145.29 a barrel July 3. On Monday, it settled at $47.07, down almost 68% from the peak. UBS Investment Research analyst [PERSON NAME="Crissey, Kevin"]Kevin Crissey projects airline revenue will decline 15% this year, compared with his earlier forecast of a 10% dip.
Mr. Crissey, in a research note Monday, said he now expects American and United will lose money for the year. He also warned that a worse-than-expected revenue picture, combined with stable fuel prices and lack of access to capital, would lead to a cash crunch for airlines.
Last year, the U.S. airlines coped with spiraling fuel prices by collectively cutting about 10% of their seats, through aircraft retirements, deferrals of new planes on order and schedule adjustments.
Along the way, the industry shed 28,000 jobs, leaving 392,000 workers. Carriers lauded their own capacity "discipline" because it allowed them to raise fares and push through new fees for services that once were free, such as checking bags.
But now they are staring into an abyss of plunging demand. A recent spate of fare sales, some of longer duration and steeper savings than usual, show how jittery they have become about filling seats. International routes, a profitable cure-all in recent years, have in some cases become money-losers as business travel is being cut back by corporate belt-tightening.
Passengers flying in first- and business-class seats -- who provide outsize revenue for their relatively small numbers -- fell by more than 13% in December from a year earlier, according to the International Air Transport Association, a global trade group. Economy travel fell 5.3%, but the group warned that that number probably was inflated "due to prebooking" when the economy wasn't as stricken.
"With job losses accelerating in January and consumer confidence falling further it looks as though even larger declines in air travel should be expected," IATA warned earlier this month.
Forrester Research Inc. last week released a survey on the recession's effects on high-income U.S. leisure travelers with household incomes of $100,000 or more. Normally this group, which accounted for 45% of the $177 billion spent in the U.S. on leisure travel last year, is less affected by economic slowdowns. But the survey indicated that half of those who earn up to $150,000 a year are considering cutting their travel budgets.
Gary Chase, an airline analyst at Barclays Capital, recently predicted that airline revenue is likely to get significantly worse, at least through the end of the current quarter, seasonally the industry's weakest period.
But Mr. Chase discounted the idea that the situation is analogous to the drastic decline in domestic unit revenue after the 2001 terrorist attacks. In that downturn, unit revenue plunged 20% in the fourth quarter of that year and didn't fully rebound until 2003, Mr. Chase said in a research note.












http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123663730876576603.html
 
Ultima modifica di un moderatore:
Ciao MOSTROMARINO

Solo per salutarti .. è un po' che nn ti si vede.. Come và in Thai??
Spero tutto bene.

Ciao e divertiti.
 

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