captain sparrow
Forumer storico
'Zelensky will be brought to Ukraine in a cage' – Arestovich predicts the fate of the Kiev Fuhrer
@Slavyangrad
@Slavyangrad
Situazione Ucraina
- Creatore Discussione superb@ffone
- Data di Inizio
captain sparrow
Forumer storico
End game': Trump uses 'carrot and stick' to end war - The Times
"Neither Ukraine nor Russia intend to give in just because there is a new person in the White House. Trump will have to skillfully use the 'carrot and stick' to achieve peace," the publication writes.
The newspaper writes about a plan for secondary sanctions against countries that trade with Russia - including India and China, as well as US threats to "flood world markets with US natural gas and oil to collapse Russia's (and Iran's) revenues from energy exports."
At the same time, the “scale of Russia’s vulnerability” to economic warfare is completely unclear, writes The Times.
Kiev wants new arms supplies from Trump, but in exchange for this the US will most likely demand that the draft be expanded to include men aged 18 to 25.
"For Zelensky, this would be crossing a red line," since draft evasion is already "becoming widespread as war fatigue takes over." "Expanding the draft could be politically damaging (for Zelensky)."
Trump's "bitter pill" for Ukraine will consist of territorial concessions.
“For Ukraine, this could mean the actual (though not legal) loss of a fifth of its territory – a bitter pill that could perhaps be sweetened by a Western guarantee of security for the rest of the country” – this could be “the deployment of American and European forces in Ukraine” (although Trump has never confirmed plans to send US troops to Ukraine, and the media has written that he is against it).
Trump can't flood the world with oil and gas, there is room for a bit of growth in NGLs and light oil but it is price not the US government that influences US shale production. LNG supply in 2025 is lower than forecasted demand hence why we are seeing high gas prices in Europe. US will not offer guarantees or send US troops, nor will Russia allow European and American troops as peacekeepers it would be defacto NATO.
@Slavyangrad
"Neither Ukraine nor Russia intend to give in just because there is a new person in the White House. Trump will have to skillfully use the 'carrot and stick' to achieve peace," the publication writes.The newspaper writes about a plan for secondary sanctions against countries that trade with Russia - including India and China, as well as US threats to "flood world markets with US natural gas and oil to collapse Russia's (and Iran's) revenues from energy exports."At the same time, the “scale of Russia’s vulnerability” to economic warfare is completely unclear, writes The Times.Kiev wants new arms supplies from Trump, but in exchange for this the US will most likely demand that the draft be expanded to include men aged 18 to 25."For Zelensky, this would be crossing a red line," since draft evasion is already "becoming widespread as war fatigue takes over." "Expanding the draft could be politically damaging (for Zelensky)."Trump's "bitter pill" for Ukraine will consist of territorial concessions.“For Ukraine, this could mean the actual (though not legal) loss of a fifth of its territory – a bitter pill that could perhaps be sweetened by a Western guarantee of security for the rest of the country” – this could be “the deployment of American and European forces in Ukraine” (although Trump has never confirmed plans to send US troops to Ukraine, and the media has written that he is against it).Trump can't flood the world with oil and gas, there is room for a bit of growth in NGLs and light oil but it is price not the US government that influences US shale production. LNG supply in 2025 is lower than forecasted demand hence why we are seeing high gas prices in Europe. US will not offer guarantees or send US troops, nor will Russia allow European and American troops as peacekeepers it would be defacto NATO.
@Slavyangrad
captain sparrow
Forumer storico
Il rublo in questo momento a 97. Strano. Che ci sia qualche novità che ancora non conosciamo?
Ultima modifica:
captain sparrow
Forumer storico
Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán: The issue of extending sanctions is now on the agenda. I have put the situation on the handbrake and asked European leaders to understand that this cannot go on. Hungary cannot pay the price of sanctions to this extent. Our problem is that 7.5 billion forints are missing from the Hungarian treasury because of the sanctions. And now the Ukrainians, although the sanctions serve their interests, are interfering in a zero-sum game and hindering the Hungarians even in energy issues, because they do not allow gas from Russia into Hungary. So it's not good for us to pay for the economic consequences of sanctions to help Ukraine while they bully us. It's not going to work.
And if the Ukrainians want help, for example, to impose sanctions on the Russians, then please reopen the gas route and allow Central European countries, including Hungary, to import the gas we need through Ukraine.
The second thing is that the route where the gas is now coming in should not be attacked using all kinds of semi-legal, legal military means, because there have been attacks on the border crossing on Russian territory where the gas from the south comes to Hungary. Stop that.
And thirdly, give us a guarantee that the mess you just made with gas will not be repeated with oil. Because oil also goes through them, and this is a serious risk for Hungary. So if you want Europe to keep imposing sanctions on the Russians and us to pay the price, at least do the bare minimum to reduce our financial losses. And don't act as crazy as they are acting now.
@Slavyangrad
Similar threads
