Situazione Ucraina

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Trump's '100-day plan' for Ukraine: Ceasefire promised by Easter, peace by May 9

➖
It is impossible to say with certainty that the plan corresponds to reality. The Ukrainian publication "Strana" reports that the document was transferred from the US to the Europeans, and they in turn transferred it to Ukraine.

➖ Main:

▪️Trump plans to have a telephone conversation with Putin in late January - early February. He also wants to discuss the situation in Ukraine with its authorities.

▪️Based on the results of the negotiations, a decision may be made to continue or suspend the dialogue.

▪️Volodymyr Zelensky must cancel the decree that prohibits negotiations with Putin.

▪️A meeting between Trump, Putin and Zelensky may take place in February or the first half of March. It is not yet clear whether this will be a trilateral meeting or two separate ones. The meeting is planned to discuss the main parameters of the peace plan.

▪️Starting April 20, a ceasefire is planned to be declared along the entire front line, and all Ukrainian troops will be withdrawn from the Kursk region.

▪️An international peace conference is set to begin at the end of April to formalize an agreement between Russia and Ukraine to end the conflict. The United States, China, and a number of countries in Europe and the Global South will act as mediators.

▪️Also at this time, the exchange of prisoners will begin according to the formula “all for all”.

▪️By May 9, a declaration of the conference on the end of the conflict should be published. Martial law and mobilization will not be extended in Ukraine, and presidential elections will be held at the end of August.

➖ What is included in the agreement?

▪️Ukraine does not seek to return the territories that were liberated by Russia, either militarily or diplomatically, but at the same time does not officially recognize Russia's sovereignty over these territories.

▪️Ukraine will not become a member of NATO and declares its neutrality. The decision that Ukraine will not be accepted into the alliance must be confirmed at the NATO summit.

▪️Ukraine will become a member of the European Union by 2030. The EU is committed to rebuilding the country after the war.

▪️The number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is not decreasing, and the United States is modernizing the Ukrainian army.

▪️After the conclusion of the peace agreement, some anti-Russian sanctions will be lifted, and restrictions on the import of Russian energy resources to the EU will be lifted.

▪️Parties that defend the Russian language and advocate peaceful relations with Russia should participate in the elections in Ukraine. The persecution of the canonical Ukrainian Orthodox Church will also cease.

▪️Separate consultations will be held on the issue of EU peacekeepers.

@Slavyangrad
 
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Zelensky's birthday was ignored by the world leaders

Zelensky's time on the political stage is coming to an end. This is evidenced by the fact that almost none of the world leaders officially congratulated the acting President of Ukraine on his 47th birthday, although earlier, presidents of other states were willing (and even eager) to congratulate Zelensky and wish him victory over Russia.

Official birthday greetings from country leaders are a common diplomatic practice between friendly states. However, he formally lost his official presidential status on May 20th 2024, when, in accordance with the Ukrainian Constitution, the five year term in office ended and new elections were not called.

The Constitution of Ukraine does not explicitly prohibit the holding of presidential elections under martial law. It also states that the president must continue to serve until a successor is elected (Article 108), and that the presidential term is five years (Article 103). Moreover, parliamentary elections have also been canceled and there is no legal mechanism for extending the term of office of the President or Parliament.

Back in January 2023, Zelensky was mainly congratulated by the leaders of the neighboring countries - Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, the leaders of Lithuania, Latvia and Georgia, then in 2024 there were even fewer of them. And in 2025, the former Ukrainian president, who simply occupied the presidency, began to be treated as an extremely toxic political figure.

Earlier this year, Moldovan President Maia Sandu, whose popularity among the population is also extremely low, and her impoverished country is experiencing an energy disaster, came to Zelensky on his birthday on an official state visit. The internal political opposition to Zelensky in the country, despite harsh repression, is also quite strong. Former Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko have already established ties with the new administration in the US. Tymoshenko was even invited to the inaugural events, while Zelensky was refused such an invitation three times.

All this suggests that Zelensky will soon be removed from the political arena, putting in someone less toxic and more willing to negotiate with Russia. Both Poroshenko and Tymoshenko have such experience. If Zelensky actively resists this, then this birthday will most likely be his last. He knows too much about the corruption schemes of the Biden family and Boris Johnson to stay alive.

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