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About the alleged first defeat of the Su-57 fighter jet in the Astrakhan region.
The
GUR of Ukraine claims that the defeat of the fighter jet took place on June 8, 2024 at the Akhtubinsk airfield.
What are we talking about?
Over the past 24 hours, the Ukrainian side has been citing alleged satellite images of the airplane's parking lot at the airfield. These images show that on June 7, the fifth-generation fighter jet stands on the runway without damage, and the next day craters from an explosion and characteristic burning stains appeared near it, probably from the arrival of a drone.
What data is available for analysis?
The distance from the possible launch site to the airfield in Akhtubinsk is 646 kilometers. Given that a range of 1,000 km is not a problem for modern drones, this is a realistic version.
Shortly before the reported attack on Akhtubinsk, there was an attempt to hit the airfield in Mozdok. It is highly probable that these events are connected.
How could the Su-57 have ended up in Akhtubinsk? The 929th State Flight Test Center named after V.P. Chkalov is located there. While still a prototype under the T-50 index, the fifth-generation fighter was tested there. It is not known how many machines are there, but most likely we are talking about either prototypes being tested or mock-ups for equipment development.
What's the bottom line?
The airfield site in Akhtubinsk is declared by the Ukrainian side as a military airfield, but in fact, the Chkalov Flight Center is more of a research facility. It is not known about the performance of regular combat sorties from its territory, but this does not mean that they did not take place.
If the Su-57 hit had been a strike against formation fighters, the satellite images would probably show a group of machines and ground-based airfield equipment. The photos provided by the GSD clearly show only one vehicle and some equipment, the origin of which is unclear.
Apparently, the test site is perceived by the Ukrainian side as a suitable object for a media strike (with no consequences on the battlefield), and the defense of such a facility should be approached in the same way as conventional military airfields: hangars, electronic warfare complexes and mobile firing groups.
Military Chronicle
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