Spazio di prova, 2° capitolo

Il cacao meravigliao.

Non fate caso alla data. E' aggiornato al 24-05.

Il precedente al 17/05 era: 2298/Trend negativo/Ciclo pos.imperfetto/Sell
 
COCOA WEEKLY
interessante
siamo sulla BB intermedia, o rimbalza o scende sulla BB inferiore...
nel 2012 il 3 giugno ha ripreso a salire...
 
UN FUNGO MINACCIA IL COCOA BRASILIANO
Brazil disease cuts hopes for world cocoa supplies
Disease and drought damage in Brazil prompted the International Cocoa Organization to raise its estimate for the world production deficit of the bean, although the impact was offset by concerns over demand in the important Asian market.

The ICCO, in a quarterly bulletin, raised by 15,000 tonnes to 60,000 tonnes its forecast for the shortfall in world cocoa production in 2012-13.

Separately, soft commodities traded Armajaro estimated the world cocoa deficit in 2012-13 at 50,000 tonnes.

The ICCO revision reflected in part a downgrade of 36,000 tonnes, to 3.97m tonnes, in the forecast for global output, as producers in the north east of Brazil grapple not just with presistent drought which has also affected other crops such as coffee but an outbreak of witches' broom disease too.

'Disease is back'

"The first forecasts of the temporão crop for Bahia and other states [is] not looking promising," the ICCO said.

"The witches' broom fungus - which was the cause of Brazil's fall from number two among world producers in the 1990s to number six - is back, raising concern over the potential for further increase in the Bahia region," the organisation said.

"Spells of drought earlier in the season are adding to the losses, which can be anything between 30% and 50% of the temporão crop."

The ICCO cut by 35,000 tonnes to 195,000 tonnes its estimate for Brazilian output – taking it well behind the more than 820,000 tonnes it would need to beat Ghana into second rank among producers in 2012-13.
 
CACAO
e oggi, con la benedizione di Mav, potrebbe partire il nuovo ciclo...

secondo me prima scendono ancora in zona 2120-2187 (fibo <=61,8%)

e' vero che siamo a 38gg di vita del mensile, quindi non manca molto alla sua conclusione (potrebbe infatti averlo chiuso gia ieri) ma io ritengo sia piu' probabile (almeno per il mio TARGET short :) ) una discesina finale
 
UN FUNGO MINACCIA IL COCOA BRASILIANO
Brazil disease cuts hopes for world cocoa supplies
Disease and drought damage in Brazil prompted the International Cocoa Organization to raise its estimate for the world production deficit of the bean, although the impact was offset by concerns over demand in the important Asian market.

The ICCO, in a quarterly bulletin, raised by 15,000 tonnes to 60,000 tonnes its forecast for the shortfall in world cocoa production in 2012-13.

Separately, soft commodities traded Armajaro estimated the world cocoa deficit in 2012-13 at 50,000 tonnes.

The ICCO revision reflected in part a downgrade of 36,000 tonnes, to 3.97m tonnes, in the forecast for global output, as producers in the north east of Brazil grapple not just with presistent drought which has also affected other crops such as coffee but an outbreak of witches' broom disease too.

'Disease is back'

"The first forecasts of the temporão crop for Bahia and other states [is] not looking promising," the ICCO said.

"The witches' broom fungus - which was the cause of Brazil's fall from number two among world producers in the 1990s to number six - is back, raising concern over the potential for further increase in the Bahia region," the organisation said.

"Spells of drought earlier in the season are adding to the losses, which can be anything between 30% and 50% of the temporão crop."

The ICCO cut by 35,000 tonnes to 195,000 tonnes its estimate for Brazilian output – taking it well behind the more than 820,000 tonnes it would need to beat Ghana into second rank among producers in 2012-13.


mi ricorda qualcosa..... :mmmm: non è che poi inizia a scendere come il caffè?
 

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