ANALISI TECNICHE SU DIVERSI TEMI

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SALVE, desidero mettere a disposizione analisi che ricevo i inglese , sperando che possano essere utili a qualcuno
USDJPY Fundamental Analysi
s:USDJPY Technical Analysis:USDJPY has had a jumpy start to the week so fartrading between a low of 153.54 and a high of 154.71, astraders digested news of Donald Trump’s nominationof Scott Bessent, who runs macro hedge fund KeySquare Group, as the next US Treasury Secretary. Seenby many as a strong candidate who is capable ofbalancing the challenges of enacting Trump’s policies,while managing the size of US government debt, hisnomination helped to cap further dollar gains.Looking forward, this could be a busy week for USDJPY traders who will have one eye focusedon geopolitical developments in Ukraine and the other on event risks across the week. The firstevent is the release of the Fed Meeting Minutes at 1900 GMT tonight. Then, tomorrow the USPCE Index is due at 1330 GMT. This is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge so USDJPY traders willbe looking at any divergence from expectations to help determine the likelihood of a furtherFed interest rate cut at their final meeting of 2024 on December 18th. Finally, on Thursday,which is a US Thanksgiving holiday, the Tokyo CPI release is due at 2330 GMT. This inflation printfor Japan’s biggest city will be an important indicator for whether Bank of Japan officials feelthey have room to raise interest rates at their meeting on December 19th. Ensuring theoutcome of this update could influence the direction
Daily Analysis:Reaction to the latest upside pushcontinues as weakness hasdeveloped since printing 156.74 (Nov15th high). This downside move iscurrently testing 154.00 (Bollingermid-average). Defense of thissupport level is watched, as closingbreaks could see a deeper decline.The next support would then be151.27 (Nov 6th low), with a breakthere opening up the potential to test150.27 (38% retrace Sep/Novstrength). To the upside, closesabove 155.00 (Nov 22nd high) arerequired to resume upside potential to challenge 156.74

 

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US Preliminary Composite PMI:55.3 versus 54.1 expected. (Above 50 = expansion)Eurozone Preliminary Composite PMI:48.1 versus 50 expected.

(Below 50 =contraction)These surveys highlight the contrast in performancebetween these two major economies, and explainsome of the reason for a shift towards US assets.
US Stock indices all closed higher on Friday led by gains in the USA 30 and USA 2000 astraders focused back on those companies likely to do well under a Trumpadministration.


Cocoa TA Update
:The latest upside is back toimportant resistance at 9216 (Aug9th high) which is the focus thisweek. Closing breaks above thislevel are required to suggestfurther strength to 9528 (Jun 20thhigh), even 10290 (Jun 13thextreme). While resistance holds,the support focus is on the 8711level (half latest upside) asbreaks below here can see adeeper retracement to 8311 (38%Nov upside), possibly 8010

Oil Fundamental Analysis:
Oil prices spiked at the start of this week as traders reacted to an escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. After opening around the lows at 66.52, prices spiked early on Monday and continued the up move into Wednesday, to hit a high of 69.94 before fresh sellers appeared again to cap the rally as trading started on Thursday morning. Oil Technical Analysis: Looking forward, while the direction of risk sentiment and events in Ukraine are likely to be an important consideration for Oil traders, the release of the Preliminary Manufacturing PMI surveys for the developed economies could also provide key insights into future Oil demand. These PMI updates start later tonight with the Australian release at 2200 GMT and continue throughout the day tomorrow with Japan (0030 GMT), France (0815 GMT), Germany (0830 GMT), Eurozone (0900 GMT), UK (0930 GMT) and finish with the US (1445 GMT). Any print below 50 indicates economic contraction, while any print above 50 indicates economic expansion. Global manufacturing activity has been struggling in contraction recently, especially in the Eurozone economies. So, traders will be looking for any signs of improvement which could give Oil prices a potential boost into the weekend.
Daily Analysis
: While Oil upside has developed as a reaction to recent declines this week, it is now back to 69.50, the first resistance level(Bolli nger mid-average). This is the focus, as while prices remain below this level the potential is there to resume the downtrend, with risks for breaks back under 68.28 (half this week’s range) to suggest further falls towards 66.52 (Monday’s low).