Jolly Roger
L'eretico
bandazze di hurst un po' alla buona su un 2 h
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Grafici, idee & co. (2 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione Jolly Roger
- Data di Inizio
Jolly Roger
L'eretico
bandazze alla buona su un 4 h e su un settimanale
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Jolly Roger
L'eretico
Se fai trading con quelle bande nelle aree rettangolari gialle ti pigli delle scoppole che ti rigirano come un calzino hehehe
Rido Drena
, sai che stavo guardando proprio questo.Nei movimenti direzionali ... ovviamente tutto liscio, ma quando la direzione non c'e' ...
Ad ogni modo quelle bande non vanno usate come le bollinger ma solo a conferma (ex post ... direi) della frequenza dei cicli.
http://www.mclarenreport.net.au/articles/articles/207/1/April-09-2009-CNBC-EUROPE/Page1.html
Jolly Roger
L'eretico
Last report two weeks ago I indicated the important time cycles from the March would be 30, 45, 60 and 90 calendar days. They would all represent support or resistance in time depending upon the direction the index went into these time window. The index has gone up into 30 calendar days from the March low and has show resistance.
The move down has been quite weak as you can see the rally was two day and the index is now down three days and well above the low of the two day rally. So an up day today would be normal from this pattern of trend.
The probability exists for a base pattern to form and the key to that formation is the 60 calendar day cycle in early May. Two weeks ago we looked at the 1974 base and that developed from a test of the low as the 2002 base also developed from a test of the low. This may take on a pattern similar to the 1938 style of base and we’ll look at that on my next report on the 24th of April. That form of base would have two deep rundowns that stay well above the March low but likely test the price of the November low. But the key to this being a base pattern and not another counter trend rally in a bear campaign is that 60 day cycle from low. If the index can go down into that time window in early May it could set up a sold low for a 9 month advance. A move up into that date will have negative probabilities.
So our strategy is to look for evidence this bear campaign is forming a base. I still don’t believe the next rally will be over 9 to 12 months the reason is once the world economy starts to show some strength the world central banks led by the Federal Reserve will attempt to rain in all the liquidity they have pumped into the system. The economy in the US will still be very fragile and this will present a top in 2010 and another major move down into a 2012 low which should be much more significant than a low from this juncture. But if there is a base formed the rally will be well worth positioning.
http://www.mclarenreport.net.au/articles/articles/207/1/April-09-2009-CNBC-EUROPE/Page1.html
The move down has been quite weak as you can see the rally was two day and the index is now down three days and well above the low of the two day rally. So an up day today would be normal from this pattern of trend.
The probability exists for a base pattern to form and the key to that formation is the 60 calendar day cycle in early May. Two weeks ago we looked at the 1974 base and that developed from a test of the low as the 2002 base also developed from a test of the low. This may take on a pattern similar to the 1938 style of base and we’ll look at that on my next report on the 24th of April. That form of base would have two deep rundowns that stay well above the March low but likely test the price of the November low. But the key to this being a base pattern and not another counter trend rally in a bear campaign is that 60 day cycle from low. If the index can go down into that time window in early May it could set up a sold low for a 9 month advance. A move up into that date will have negative probabilities.
So our strategy is to look for evidence this bear campaign is forming a base. I still don’t believe the next rally will be over 9 to 12 months the reason is once the world economy starts to show some strength the world central banks led by the Federal Reserve will attempt to rain in all the liquidity they have pumped into the system. The economy in the US will still be very fragile and this will present a top in 2010 and another major move down into a 2012 low which should be much more significant than a low from this juncture. But if there is a base formed the rally will be well worth positioning.
http://www.mclarenreport.net.au/articles/articles/207/1/April-09-2009-CNBC-EUROPE/Page1.html
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Mercuzio
ex Drenaggio
Jolly Roger
L'eretico
Mercuzio
ex Drenaggio
mi ricordo ancora il post in cui le avevi "distrutte"
Ci tengo sempre a ricordare certe cose poichè queste bande fra tutti gli strumenti presenti nell'armamentario del trader sono le più ingannevoli in assoluto ad un occhio inesperto....e il tuo 3d lo leggono un bel pò di occhi inesperti
....poi per carità usate nella funzione per cui sono concepite sono un grande supporto....
Jolly Roger
L'eretico
mi aspetto piuttosto, un aumento delle volatilità
le bande sull'hourly si sono ristrette
target 17600 di fib
le bande sull'hourly si sono ristrette
target 17600 di fib
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