waltermasoni
Caribbean Trader
Kraft Heinz Co. Outlook Revised To Negative From Stable; Ratings Affirmed
- 23-Aug-2019 08:33 EDT
- Table of Contents
- U.S.-based Kraft Heinz Co. reported weaker than expected first-half results and withdrew guidance for 2019, though it reiterated its commitment to investment-grade ratings. We estimate adjusted leverage is in the high-4x area, pro forma for the Canadian asset disposal.
- Risks in the second half of 2019 include potentially higher key commodity inflation, retailer inventory destocking, and adverse currency movements, notwithstanding improved consumer takeaway.
- We are affirming all of our ratings on Kraft Heinz, including our 'BBB-/A-3' long-term and short-term issuer credit ratings. However, we are revising the outlook to negative from stable given its continuing performance erosion and lack of clarity on the company's outlook, including the potential for second-half risks to emerge.
- The negative outlook reflects the potential for a downgrade to speculative grade by mid-2021 if we believe Kraft Heinz cannot reduce adjusted leverage to below 4x. This could result if operating performance weakens further and we come to believe the strategic plan to be announced by the new CEO in early 2020 will be unsuccessful, including a failure to stabilize and reverse EBITDA declines, or an inability or unwillingness to reduce or eliminate the dividend or conduct meaningful deleveraging asset sales.