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NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- As the Federal Reserve ends its purchases of more than a trillion dollars in mortgage-related debt this month, bond investors say the market is now stable enough to prevent a big jump in mortgage rates once its biggest buyer exits.
Investors and analysts at RBS Securities, National Penn Investors Trust, DWS Investments and others expect rates will rise only between 0.1% and 0.25% over the next several months, because of less supply of new securitization of mortgage debt and more interest from fund managers as soon as the U.S. central bank bows out.
Analysts say they also believed Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke when he said the Fed won't turn around and sell holdings any time soon, though other Fed officials have suggested just those sales to reduce the central bank's balance sheets.
The small increase in mortgage rates now forecast is far less than Fed officials themselves estimated at the beginning of the year, demonstrating the continued improvement in financial markets and the low amount of yield that mortgage-backed securities carry above U.S. Treasurys.
chi fa scommesse su come si comporteranno i tassi dopo l'uscita della fed ?
anche in qs caso chi è il sano di mente che compra una cartolarizzazione di mutui usa a prezzi fuori di testa ? e con tassi da fame ? io immagino che la fed esca dalla porta principale e rientri dalla finestra sotto banco ...
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- As the Federal Reserve ends its purchases of more than a trillion dollars in mortgage-related debt this month, bond investors say the market is now stable enough to prevent a big jump in mortgage rates once its biggest buyer exits.
Investors and analysts at RBS Securities, National Penn Investors Trust, DWS Investments and others expect rates will rise only between 0.1% and 0.25% over the next several months, because of less supply of new securitization of mortgage debt and more interest from fund managers as soon as the U.S. central bank bows out.
Analysts say they also believed Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke when he said the Fed won't turn around and sell holdings any time soon, though other Fed officials have suggested just those sales to reduce the central bank's balance sheets.
The small increase in mortgage rates now forecast is far less than Fed officials themselves estimated at the beginning of the year, demonstrating the continued improvement in financial markets and the low amount of yield that mortgage-backed securities carry above U.S. Treasurys.
chi fa scommesse su come si comporteranno i tassi dopo l'uscita della fed ?
anche in qs caso chi è il sano di mente che compra una cartolarizzazione di mutui usa a prezzi fuori di testa ? e con tassi da fame ? io immagino che la fed esca dalla porta principale e rientri dalla finestra sotto banco ...
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