Obbligazioni societarie Obbligazioni Oil & Gas (1 Viewer)

samantaao

Forumer storico
aggiunti
XS0456477578 pemex2017
XS0451457435 eni 2019

XS0273933902 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) CHESAPEAKE 2017
XS0112278303 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2010
XS0167456267 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2013
IT0004503717 MOT ENI 2015
XS0176996956 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) GAZ CAPITAL 2010
XS0231264275 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) MOL 2015
XS0287409212 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) REPSOL 2017
XS0099213547 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) STATOIL 2011
XS0267045291 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2011
XS0303256050 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2017
FR0000187080 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 10/2010


poco movimento...
 

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samantaao

Forumer storico
aggiunti
XS0456477578 pemex2017
XS0451457435 eni 2019
di questi due titoli le quotazioni attuali sono molto indicative e quella della scorsa settimana errate/mancanti, ma cominciamo a monitorarli

mercati di alcuni prezzi (grazie a Mark):
XS0273933902 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) CHESAPEAKE 2017
XS0112278303 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2010
XS0167456267 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2013
IT0004503717 MOT ENI 2015
XS0176996956 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) GAZ CAPITAL 2010
XS0231264275 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) MOL 2015
XS0287409212 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) REPSOL 2017
XS0099213547 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) STATOIL 2011
XS0267045291 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2011
XS0303256050 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2017
FR0000187080 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 10/2010

poco movimento nel comparto...
 

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samantaao

Forumer storico
che noi, non succede niente!
tutto fermo ragazzi
mercati di alcuni prezzi (grazie a Mark):
XS0273933902 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) CHESAPEAKE 2017
XS0112278303 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2010
XS0167456267 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2013
IT0004503717 MOT ENI 2015
XS0451457435 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2019
XS0176996956 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) GAZ CAPITAL 2010
XS0231264275 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) MOL 2015
XS0287409212 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) REPSOL 2017
XS0099213547 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) STATOIL 2011
XS0303256050 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2017
FR0000187080 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 10/2010
 

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reno

Guest
Mark come giudicheresti un eventuale ingresso su Pemex 2025 - 5,5% prezzo 87 ?
 
Ultima modifica di un moderatore:

Imark

Forumer storico
Mark come giudicheresti un eventuale ingresso su Pemex 2025 - 5,5% prezzo 87 ?

Il bond mi sembra lunghino, Pemex si sta indebitando sul mercato obbligazionario per sostenere un costoso piano di esplorazioni necessario per reperire nuove riserve con le quali sostituire quelle del Cantarell, il maxigiacimento in esaurimento dal quale proviene molto del petrolio dei messicani.

Non sono particolarmente efficienti negli investimenti, per usare un eufemismo.

Ci sarebbe anche il rischio tassi su una scadenza a 15 anni ... il rendimento lordo attorno al 7% dà un conforto relativo ove si desiderasse portarlo a scadenza ...

Occorre sperare che l'emittente non perda l'investment grade.... che l'attività di reperimento di nuovi giacimenti vada bene...

Sposto la tua domanda e la mia risposta sul 3D dell'oil & gas, qui c'entra poco... :D

PS: leggitelo un po': c'è molto materiale utile a capire la situazione dell'emittente... ;)
 

reno

Guest
Il bond mi sembra lunghino, Pemex si sta indebitando sul mercato obbligazionario per sostenere un costoso piano di esplorazioni necessario per reperire nuove riserve con le quali sostituire quelle del Cantarell, il maxigiacimento in esaurimento dal quale proviene molto del petrolio dei messicani.

Non sono particolarmente efficienti negli investimenti, per usare un eufemismo.

Ci sarebbe anche il rischio tassi su una scadenza a 15 anni ... il rendimento lordo attorno al 7% dà un conforto relativo ove si desiderasse portarlo a scadenza ...

Occorre sperare che l'emittente non perda l'investment grade.... che l'attività di reperimento di nuovi giacimenti vada bene...

Sposto la tua domanda e la mia risposta sul 3D dell'oil & gas, qui c'entra poco... :D

PS: leggitelo un po': c'è molto materiale utile a capire la situazione dell'emittente... ;)

O.K. grazie
 

samantaao

Forumer storico
quasi immobile, una leggerissima salita...
mercati di alcuni prezzi (grazie a Mark):
XS0273933902 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) CHESAPEAKE 2017
XS0112278303 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2010
XS0167456267 MOT ENI 2013
IT0004503717 MOT ENI 2015
XS0451457435 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2019
XS0231264275 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) MOL 2015
XS0287409212 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) REPSOL 2017
XS0099213547 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) STATOIL 2011
XS0267045291 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2011
XS0303256050 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2017
FR0000187080 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 10/2010
 

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Imark

Forumer storico
Il bond mi sembra lunghino, Pemex si sta indebitando sul mercato obbligazionario per sostenere un costoso piano di esplorazioni necessario per reperire nuove riserve con le quali sostituire quelle del Cantarell, il maxigiacimento in esaurimento dal quale proviene molto del petrolio dei messicani.

Non sono particolarmente efficienti negli investimenti, per usare un eufemismo.

Ci sarebbe anche il rischio tassi su una scadenza a 15 anni ... il rendimento lordo attorno al 7% dà un conforto relativo ove si desiderasse portarlo a scadenza ...

Occorre sperare che l'emittente non perda l'investment grade.... che l'attività di reperimento di nuovi giacimenti vada bene...

Sposto la tua domanda e la mia risposta sul 3D dell'oil & gas, qui c'entra poco... :D

PS: leggitelo un po': c'è molto materiale utile a capire la situazione dell'emittente... ;)

I nodi, come sempre, vengono al pettine... sta succedendo anche con Pemex...

L'anno prossimo il capex è stimato fra i 18 ed i 20 mld $, e la società conta di chiedere al mercato obbligazionario altri 8-10 mld $ per finanziare i propri progetti di investimento e di vedere il debito netto crescere nell'anno di altri di 3-4 mld $.

Nel mentre il debito netto va ad attestarsi a 37 mld $ a fine Q3-2009 ed il debito lordo a 51 mld $.

Dovesse calare il prezzo del petrolio, qui ne vedremmo delle belle, nonostante l'aggancio del rating a quello sovereign messicano...


  • OCTOBER 30, 2009, 1:00 P.M. ET
Mexico Pemex To Seek $8B-$10B Financing Over Next Year - CFO

MEXICO CITY (Dow Jones)--Mexican state oil monopoly Petroleos Mexicanos will probably borrow between $8 billion and $10 billion over the next year to finance its investment projects, Chief Financial Officer Esteban Levin said Friday.

In a conference call with analysts, Levin said Pemex's investment budget next year will be between $18 billion and $20 billion - probably nearer $20 billion - depending on the final outcome of budget discussions underway in Congress.

Pemex has prefunded some of its 2010 needs, and expects financing sources over the next year to include capital markets, banks and export-import banks, Levin said.

The official said borrowing next year will likely increase Pemex's net debt by $3 billion or $4 billion. At the end of the third quarter, Pemex's net debt was around $37 billion, and its total debt was just under $51 billion.
Pemex has been investing heavily in recent years as its seeks to halt the slide in crude oil production brought about by the decline of the giant Cantarell oilfields.

Pemex produced 2.57 million barrels a day of crude oil in the third quarter, and output is expected to be around 2.5 million in 2010. Crude output had reached a record 3.4 million barrels a day in 2004 before Cantarell began declining.

--------------------------

Il problema non risiede soltanto nella consistenza del capex e nell'impossibilità di ridurlo in quanto vanno reperiti nuovi giacimenti per fare fronte a quelli in esaurimento, ma anche nel fatto - come detto - che gli investimenti della Pemex sono storicamente a bassa efficienza: si spende molto per portare a casa poco.

Al punto che lo stesso governo messicano ed il parlamento nazionale, al quale spetta - per qualche meccanismo tipicamente latino americano - il compito di approvare il budget di Pemex cominciano a dare segnali di forte critica verso questa situazione.

UPDATE 1-Mexico's Pemex backs Chicontepec, sees net debt up

Fri Oct 30, 2009 1:27pm EDT


* Pemex still sees Chicontepec as an important project
* Net debt seen rising in 2010 by up to $4 billion
* 2010 capital spending seen at $18-$20 billion (Adds quote, details on Chicontepec, 2010 capex, debt)

MEXICO CITY, Oct 30 (Reuters) - The troubled Chicontepec oil project remains an important part of the portfolio of Mexico's state oil company Pemex and any talk of scrapping it is "speculative," Pemex executives said on Friday.

Pemex has come under heavy criticism from government officials due to the poor results at Chicontepec, where billions of dollars of investment have yielded little in terms of new production capacity.

However, Pemex's exploration and production chief Carlos Morales said the company would continue to work to improve its understanding of the area and the techniques needed to produce oil from Chicontepec's challenging rock formations.

"We will continue working on Chicontepec and we will continue doing the proper evaluations all of the time like we do with all of our projects," Morales said on a conference call with Pemex's debtholders.

Oil production at Chicontepec has been stalled at around 30,000 barrels per day, less than half the level Pemex expected it to produce this year, despite a major investment drive in the area.

NET DEBT TO RISE

Pemex expects its net debt to increase in 2010 as it borrows more money to continue its investment program, Chief Financial Officer Esteban Levin said on the call.

"Our net debt should increase between $3-$4 billion and not more than that," Levin said.

The company is still waiting for the Congress to approve its 2010 budget but capital spending should come in between $18 billion and $20 billion next year, Levin said, which would be in line with Pemex's existing forecasts.

Levin said the company was on track to fully allocate its capital budget this year. (Reporting by Robert Campbell; Editing by David Gregorio)
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Trimestrale di Statoil: utile netto salito per effetto dei tagli, outlook per il futuro improntato alla cautela: non ci sono segnali di ripresa nel settore, secondo i norvegesi. L'impegno per il futuro è nella prosecuzione delle politiche di taglio dei costi.

Statoil è riuscita ad aumentare i volumi produttivi sia dell'oil che del gas (+8% compessivo nel trimestre in barili di oil equivalenti, con il gas salito del 14%), il che ha aiutato a contrastare l'impatto sul fatturato dei prezzi inferiori a quelli dello scorso anno e dell'andamento non entusiasmante della domanda.

Debole il margine delle attività di raffinazione, in calo del 60% y-o-y e non suscettibile di incrementare nel breve termine.


  • NOVEMBER 4, 2009, 3:56 A.M. ET
Statoil Still Cautious Despite Higher Net

LONDON -- Statoil ASA posted a 14% rise in quarterly net profit, but said Wednesday that it maintains a cautious forecast given no firm evidence that industry investment, employment and private consumption have recovered.

The Norwegian oil and gas company said third-quarter net profit rose to 7.41 billion Norwegian kroner ($1.28 billion) compared with 6.50 billion kroner a year earlier.

Company Chief Executive Helge Lund said Statoil will continue to cut its costs, and has the flexibility to adjust activity levels in response to a volatile business environment.

A foreign exchange gain of just under 2 billion kronor versus a 13.77 billion kronor loss the previous year helped offset the effect of lower oil and gas revenues, down 31% and 32% respectively on the year when measured in Norwegian kroner. The average daily U.S. dollar to kronor exchange rate rose 14% to 6.11 from 5.37 a year ago.

Revenue for the period fell to 122.45 billion kronor from 173.84 billion kronor on sharply lower oil and gas prices,which were only partly offset by strong production volumes. Third quarter operating profit dropped to 28.26 billion kronor from 47.01 billion kronor.

Statoil said its third-quarter equity production rose 8% on the year to 1.874 million barrels of oil equivalent a day, of which more than 500,000 barrels came from international assets. Output rose on the contribution of several new oil and gas fields including Norway's Tyrihans and Tune Soer, and Gulf of Mexico field Thunder Hawk. It left its 2009 and 2012 production guidance unchanged at 1.95 million barrels of oil equivalent a day and 2.2 million barrels of oil equivalent a day respectively.

The company's third quarter numbers "were pretty good," Argo Securities analyst Teodor Sveen Nilsen said. "Revenue and Ebitda were on consensus expectations, and production was exactly in line with my view." Mr. Nilsen said Norway operations performed well, while international output was slightly weaker than expected. The overall gas division was strong, which "was a little bit surprising given the weak European gas market, but may be due to some derivatives effects," he added.

Higher gas volumes were the primary booster for Statoil's production volumes in the quarter, up 14%, but liquids production was also up 5%. Statoil's third quarter refining margins slumped nearly 60% to just $3.80 a barrel. "We anticipate that they will remain low, at least in the near term," the company said.

France's Total SA, which also reported third quarter results Wednesday, said European refining margins remain "very weak," forcing it to maintain throughput cuts. Both companies echoed similarly downbeat margin outlooks from oil majors this quarter.

Statoil also confirmed Wednesday that it has sold stakes in a number of its Gulf Of Mexico leases to China's CNOOC Ltd.

Statoil spokesman Kai Nielsen said the leases in question were acquired in the 2007 and 2008 lease sales with 100% working interest.
"In the Gulf of Mexico it is customary to optimize the portfolio and spread risk involved in exploration drilling efforts," Mr. Nielsen said.

The deal gives CNOOC, China's largest offshore oil and gas producer by capacity, a 20% stake in Tucker and 10% in Logan, both in the Walker Ridge area, 10% in Cobra in the Alaminos Canyon and 10% in Krakatoa in the Mississippi Canyon.

"We maintain operatorship in the leases," Mr. Nielsen said.
The deal opens the U.S. Gulf to China's oil companies for the first time, and is significant for CNOOC after its failed $18.5 billion bid for California-based Unocal Corp. in 2005 which was widely seen as deterring state-owned Chinese oil giants from investing in U.S. oil and gas assets. Statoil has said the deal doesn't represent a significant shift in its Gulf of Mexico ownership

The company has recently reverted to its former name, after a brief stint as StatoilHydro following its purchase of Norsk Hydro's ASA oil and gas operations in late 2007.
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Trimestrale di Total... anche qui utile netto in forte calo, produzione in leggerissima ripresa, margini delle attività di downstream, in specie di raffinazione, in forte calo, dell'85% su base annua, a fronte di un livello di utilizzo degli impianti sceso dal 92% all'82% in un anno. Il tutto come conseguenza del robusto calo nei consumi di carburante da parte dei privati e del trasporto industiale.

Anche per Total la situazione non è destinata a migliorare nel breve termine e forse neanche nel lungo, tant'è che la società, oltre a prevedere i consueti tagli di capacità produttiva con chiusure di impianti e riduzione di manodopera, ha messo in programma la possibile dismissione di alcuni asset nel segmento della raffinazione.

Total’s Profit Falls on Lower Demand, Weak Refining (Update1)


By Tara Patel

Nov. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Total SA, Europe’s third-largest oil producer, said third-quarter profit fell 54 percent as the global recession eroded energy demand, slashing crude and natural-gas prices.

Profit excluding changes in inventories and the value of a stake in Sanofi-Aventis SA declined to 1.87 billion euros ($2.8 billion) from 4.07 billion euros a year earlier, the Paris-based company said today in a statement. The company was estimated to make 1.8 billion euros, according to the median estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Output rose 0.5 percent to 2.243 million barrels of oil equivalent a day in the third quarter compared with the same period last year and 2.8 percent compared with the previous quarter when production fell to the lowest in at least nine years.

“Total’s production is back on track,” Chief Executive Officer Christophe de Margerie said. The French oil company’s spending is “in line” with a target of $18 billion for 2009.

Total in September said it expects production to drop this year, reversing a prediction of a gain, and estimated annual growth of about 2 percent through 2014 as five developments this year offset an annual decline rate projected at 5 percent.

Total has started four of five developments planned this year, including the Akpo oilfield off Nigeria in March, liquefied natural gas plants in Qatar, the Tahiti field in the Gulf of Mexico and Angola’s Tombua-Landana field. A Yemen LNG project will export its first cargo on Nov. 7, two people familiar with the matter said. It also started output at the Tyrihans field in the Norwegian Sea.

Output Boost

Total’s share in these projects will add as much as 230,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day in output in 2010 and 70,000 barrels to 80,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day this year, according to Chief Financial Officer Patrick de la Chevardiere.

Production in the coming months “should reflect the ongoing ramp up from the major projects started up in 2009 and maintenance levels normally below that of the third quarter,” according to the statement.

Total plans to make final decisions “in the coming quarters” on whether to invest in the Surmont Phase 2 in Canada, Clov in Angola and Laggan-Tormore in the U.K., according to the statement.

Shut Plants

Europe’s biggest refiner has shut refining operations because of eroding margins for turning crude into gasoline and other fuels. Refining margins in Europe slumped 85 percent to $6.6 a metric ton in the quarter, the lowest in at least seven years, from $45 a ton a year earlier, Total said. It was $12.40 a ton in the second quarter.

“Despite modest improvement in diesel margins, European refining margins remain at very weak levels, requiring the group to maintain voluntary throughput reductions,” Total said. The utilization rate was 82 percent compared with 92 percent a year ago.

Adjusted downstream net operating income tumbled 84 percent to 146 million euros because of a “sharp decrease in refining margins,” according to the statement.

The company may sell refining assets and will continue a program to improve profitability amid overcapacity in Europe and the U.S., de Margerie has said. Total plans to cut 555 jobs at its refining and petrochemicals operations in France. It will also reduce output at the Gonfreville refinery in Normandy by 25 percent to 12 million tons a year, and shut a fluid catalytic cracker, lowering gasoline output by 60 percent.

Demand for oil products has fallen as consumers cut spending on travel and goods, leading to lower profits for refiners, reduced plant operating rates and temporary closures.

Net income fell 37 percent to 1.92 billion euros, the company said. Exxon Mobil Corp. and Royal Dutch Shell Plc, the world’s biggest energy companies, last week posted declines in third-quarter net income of 68 percent and 62 percent, respectively. Oil futures in New York fell 42 percent to an average of $68.24 in the quarter from a year earlier.
 

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