About the Agreement
The main elements of the agreement reached between the Ukrainian Government and the Ad Hoc Committee of Creditors are the following:
· Principal haircut: The deal agrees a
20% haircut on Ukraine’s stock of sovereign and sovereign guaranteed debt, having immediate debt relief totaling approximately US$3.6bn (US$3.8bn if a similar haircut is agreed on foreign currency loans of state-owned entities with a sovereign guarantee and City of Kyiv Eurobonds). This takes Ukraine’s privately held sovereign, sovereign-guaranteed and quasi-sovereign debt from c.US$19.3bn to c.US$15.5bn.
·
Debt/GDP impact: Ukraine’s debt-to-GDP levels are lowered by an estimated 4.3% end 2015 projected GDP (latest IMF forecast of the Ukrainian GDP).
· Coupons:
The level of coupons will be 7.75% (slightly higher than the current c.7.2% levels). It is lower than the coupons placed on bonds issued during July 2012 (9.25%) under the previous Government of Ukraine. Thanks to the lower overall principal, Ukraine’s annual interest payments in absolute terms are not significantly affected.
· Maturity extensions:
Maturities have been extended to the period 2019-2027, compared with 2015-2023. It means that no sovereign debt will be amortized during the current IMF Extended Fund Facility program (2015-2018)
· Value recovery instrument:
The value recovery instrument is in the form of a real
GDP growth warrant, providing potential upside to holders from 2021 to 2040 under the following terms (exact definitions and formulas can be found in the IHT):
o no payments if real GDP growth is below 3%,
o 15% of the value of the GDP growth between 3-4%, and
o 40% of the value of the GDP growth above 4%,
o total payments capped at 1% of GDP from 2021 until 2025, and
o no payments unless nominal GDP is higher than US$125.4bn (i.e. the GDP level that Ukraine should reach by 2019 according to IMF latest projections – current projection for end-2015 GDP is US$84.3bn)
· IMF program period savings: The cash flow postponed by the country during the IMF Extended Fund Facility (EFF) period 2015-2018 upon implementation of the deal is US$11.5bn of principal payments. It is an essential part of meeting the financing targets under the EFF (target 1).
Targeted launch of operation no later than on September 15.
Ministry of Finance of Ukraine