Psicologia e mercati pacco doppiopacco&contropaccotto..sig.e sig:il Bund-vm18 (1 Viewer)

Fool

Forumer storico
salve a tutti, avevo messo un post, ma vedo ora che e' andato perso... mah...
allora un saluto a tutti
vi posto al volo una richiesta. qualcuno ha un link per vedere il grafico del bund degli ultimi 5 giorni? quale e' stato il massimo fatto di questi giorni?
sucsate ma mi trovo senza i miei collegamenti e quindi mi devo rivolgere agli amici!

detto questo, un saluto caro a tutti, in particolre a dan come sempre disponibile, a andrea53 e a f4f : prendi un fokker e fatti un giro da queste parti
:)
 

ditropan

Forumer storico
Fleursdumal ha scritto:
rimetto elmetto e mutande d'acciaio Krupp e ritorno in trincea, sti maledetti non muoiono mai
1106919257grrrrrr.gif
1106919267bleone.gif


sò inkazzatissimo !!!! ma che vadano affanchiulo !!! :evil: :evil: :evil: :evil:



sempre i miei 38 bund ... sempre in posizione ... ed oggi non medio proprio un bel niente ... a questo punto stì stronz.oni salgono fino a martedì ... giorno dell'aumento dei tassi.

Certo che è una cosa davvero paradossale vedere sfondare i massimi in un ciclo di rialzo dei tassi ... e più i merricans aumentano i tassi e più i bond salgono e l'euro dollaro se ne fot.te e non accenna a calare ... giuro una cosa del genere non ha precedenti storici !! :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes:


... in questo momento mi verrebbe voglia di essere un'ammiraglio di una nave da guerra e puntare un paio di testate nucleari diritte nel cu.lo di Bush e di tutta la sua amministrazione ... così ... tanto per fargli sognare il potere economico e politico = al potere militare !!! :mad: :mad: :mad: :mad:


... sò davvero inkazzato ... scusate. :rolleyes:
 

Fool

Forumer storico
ditropan ha scritto:
Fleursdumal ha scritto:
rimetto elmetto e mutande d'acciaio Krupp e ritorno in trincea, sti maledetti non muoiono mai
1106919257grrrrrr.gif
1106919267bleone.gif


sò inkazzatissimo !!!! ma che vadano affanchiulo !!! :evil: :evil: :evil: :evil:



sempre i miei 38 bund ... sempre in posizione ... :


ciao ditro

grazie ai dati di dan ho fatto un' analisi del bund dove si intravede una situazione simile da un punto di vista parabolico, a quella del petrolio di qualche giorno fa. certo nn ho la sfera, ma lo spazio per salire e ristretto...
mi scuso anche se faccio richieste, ma mi trovo in difficolta di tipo tecnico notevoli...

questo weekend posto un paio di grafici interessanti.
domanda: voi sul bund preferite studiare i grafici rettificai o non rettificati?
 

gastronomo

Forumer storico
US Treasuries enjoy relief rally on GDP, inflation

Fri Jan 28, 2005 09:27 AM ET
By Wayne Cole
NEW YORK, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Treasuries prices climbed on Friday after data showed the U.S. economy grew less quickly than expected last quarter, tempering concerns the Federal Reserve might have to raise interest rates at a faster pace.

Gross domestic product grew at an annualized 3.1 pace in the fourth quarter, under forecasts of 3.5 percent. The trade deficit took a bigger chunk out of growth than many expected, though this could be revised depending on December trade data.

Inflation indicators were mixed. The core personal consumption deflator rose to an annual 1.6 percent from 0.9 percent, but this is still within the Fed's presumed comfort range.

The employment cost index for last quarter showed a rise of only 0.7 percent, against expectations of 0.9 percent. Wages and salaries were up a measly 0.4 percent suggesting little price pressure from labor.

"The PCE excluding food and energy is not yet at a rate that would make the Fed worry," said Elisabeth Denison, economist at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein.

This came as a relief to bond investors given recent Fed rhetoric about heading off inflation and led Eurodollar futures (0#ED:: Quote, Profile, Research) to slightly lower expectations for interest rate hikes in the year ahead.

Likewise, the interest-rate sensitive two-year Treasury note (US2YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 3/32 in price, lowering its yield to 3.25 percent. On Thursday, it had closed at a 2-1/2 year high of 3.30 percent.

The benchmark 10-year note (US10YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 15/32 in price, taking its yield to 4.16 percent from 4.22 percent. Yields on five-year notes (US5YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) declined to 3.71 percent from 3.75 percent.

The 30-year bond (US30YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) leaped almost a full point, compressing yields to 4.63 percent from 4.68 percent, as investors seemed to take cheer from the inflation outlook.

"There was a little inflation heat in the fourth quarter, but not enough to affect Fed policy," concluded Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial. "Gradual removal of accommodation should continue."

The market fully expects the Fed to hike rates a quarter percentage point to 2.5 percent when it meets next week, and has priced in matching rises at the two following meetings.

Still, traders doubted the bond market could add much more to its initial gains given the raft of data and events coming in the next few days.

Elections in Iraq at the weekend could lead to more violence and perhaps safe-haven flows to bonds. Then again, a successful election could be seen as lessening global risks and thus hurt Treasuries.


The Fed meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and any hint of inflation concerns in the policy statement could alarm fixed-income markets. And the end of the week, sees the January payrolls report out.
 

ditropan

Forumer storico
Fool ha scritto:
salve a tutti, avevo messo un post, ma vedo ora che e' andato perso... mah...
allora un saluto a tutti
vi posto al volo una richiesta. qualcuno ha un link per vedere il grafico del bund degli ultimi 5 giorni? quale e' stato il massimo fatto di questi giorni?
sucsate ma mi trovo senza i miei collegamenti e quindi mi devo rivolgere agli amici!

detto questo, un saluto caro a tutti, in particolre a dan come sempre disponibile, a andrea53 e a f4f : prendi un fokker e fatti un giro da queste parti
:)

no problem te lo posto io ...

1106922653azz1.jpg


max del 19/01/2005 è 120.31
max del 25/01/2005 è 120.2
 

ditropan

Forumer storico
gastronomo ha scritto:
US Treasuries enjoy relief rally on GDP, inflation

Fri Jan 28, 2005 09:27 AM ET
By Wayne Cole
NEW YORK, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Treasuries prices climbed on Friday after data showed the U.S. economy grew less quickly than expected last quarter, tempering concerns the Federal Reserve might have to raise interest rates at a faster pace.

Gross domestic product grew at an annualized 3.1 pace in the fourth quarter, under forecasts of 3.5 percent. The trade deficit took a bigger chunk out of growth than many expected, though this could be revised depending on December trade data.

Inflation indicators were mixed. The core personal consumption deflator rose to an annual 1.6 percent from 0.9 percent, but this is still within the Fed's presumed comfort range.

The employment cost index for last quarter showed a rise of only 0.7 percent, against expectations of 0.9 percent. Wages and salaries were up a measly 0.4 percent suggesting little price pressure from labor.

"The PCE excluding food and energy is not yet at a rate that would make the Fed worry," said Elisabeth Denison, economist at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein.

This came as a relief to bond investors given recent Fed rhetoric about heading off inflation and led Eurodollar futures (0#ED:: Quote, Profile, Research) to slightly lower expectations for interest rate hikes in the year ahead.

Likewise, the interest-rate sensitive two-year Treasury note (US2YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 3/32 in price, lowering its yield to 3.25 percent. On Thursday, it had closed at a 2-1/2 year high of 3.30 percent.

The benchmark 10-year note (US10YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 15/32 in price, taking its yield to 4.16 percent from 4.22 percent. Yields on five-year notes (US5YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) declined to 3.71 percent from 3.75 percent.

The 30-year bond (US30YT=RR: Quote, Profile, Research) leaped almost a full point, compressing yields to 4.63 percent from 4.68 percent, as investors seemed to take cheer from the inflation outlook.

"There was a little inflation heat in the fourth quarter, but not enough to affect Fed policy," concluded Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial. "Gradual removal of accommodation should continue."

The market fully expects the Fed to hike rates a quarter percentage point to 2.5 percent when it meets next week, and has priced in matching rises at the two following meetings.

Still, traders doubted the bond market could add much more to its initial gains given the raft of data and events coming in the next few days.

Elections in Iraq at the weekend could lead to more violence and perhaps safe-haven flows to bonds. Then again, a successful election could be seen as lessening global risks and thus hurt Treasuries.


The Fed meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and any hint of inflation concerns in the policy statement could alarm fixed-income markets. And the end of the week, sees the January payrolls report out.


Gastro ... oramai queste per me sono solo un mucchio di stronz.ate che spupazzano ai più per giustificare le porcherie che stanno facendo .... le notizie non le voglio più nemmeno sentire !!!


tanto oramai non servono ad un capso ... le balle stranamente te le dicono sempre dopo. :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes:


... scusa ma con stasera sono troppo inkazzato ... e meglio che chiuda tutto e ci ripensi lunedì.
 

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