Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE T-BOND,T-NOTE,BUND,CME,Cbot (non apritelo se siete pudici)
- Creatore Discussione arseniolupin
- Data di Inizio
gastronomo
Forumer storico
dan24 ha scritto:devo andare...a domani..over due piccoli 1,2351 mi paree un bund 113,93
a domani oppure torno più tardi
Ciao Dan, buona serata
zappolaterra
Forumer storico
dan24 ha scritto:zappolaterra ha scritto:dan24 ha scritto:Fleursdumal ha scritto:dan24 ha scritto:e non importunare chi so io capito?Fleursdumal ha scritto:dan24 ha scritto:Fleursdumal ha scritto:Dan azzarola ti avevo detto di postare quella in cui sono di profilo che vengo meglio
l'ho fatto per le donne ...del forum ma mi sa che sono proprio scappate dopo questa foto
lo dici te infedelesto ricevendo molti mp invece, dicono che son rimaste affascinate dal pelame pettorio e dalla faccia da vero macho
qui c'è chi sta facendo il doppio gioco, dovrò prendere provvedimenti
IO CONTROLLO TUTTO IL FLUSSO DI STRUNZATE CHE DICI
ti prendo io a provvedimenti sabato
dan ..... si.....pensaci tu a difendere il mio matrimonio
mia moglie mi è passata alle spalle mentre sui monitor(lìavevo messo su due per ...guardarlo meglio) c'era fleur....
e con un gridolino di beato stupore e....languore..
per poco non mi sviene addosso....
minxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
chiudilo e distruggi i negativi....
non gli è piaciuto? azz....se vuoi ti mando il book fotografico...di FLEU
ma che stai scherzando....
sta telefonando alle amiche.....
parla di un ....figone.... che non finisce mai...
con tendenze sadomaso ...ma lo sguardo...dolce e perso nei sentimenti più teneri che ci siano....
il vero uomo.... forte e sensibile allo stesso tempo...
di quelli che non devono chiedere mai....
ahooooooo parole sue....
fleur.... ma che je fai..... peggio di mandrake...
non come ....noi....dan...
gastronomo
Forumer storico
Che dici Fleur, pure qui a caccia di stop?
Reuters
US Treasuries rise, soft economic data expected
Monday July 12, 12:26 pm ET
By Ellen Freilich
NEW YORK, July 12 (Reuters) - Treasury debt prices edged higher on Monday, with investors banking on predictions that economic data this week will support the view that U.S. economic growth has decelerated and inflation plateaued.
The benchmark 10-year note (US10YT=RR) crept up 3/32 in price, lowering its yield to 4.45 percent from 4.46 percent late Friday. A break below 4.41 percent, a trough hit after the soft June payrolls report, would take yields to 10-week lows and open the way for a technical rally to 4.32 percent.
Market action on Monday was restrained. Yields on the two-year note (US2YT=RR) were stuck at 2.52 percent, while those on the five-year (US5YT=RR) edged down to 3.63 percent from 3.64 percent. The 30-year bond (US30YT=RR) gained 4/32, allowing its yield to ease to 5.20 percent from 5.21 percent on Friday.
Buyers of Treasuries are counting on retail sales data, due on Wednesday, to show that consumer spending dipped in June, reinforcing a trend of slower purchases in the second quarter.
Even if the retail sales data are weak, that may not enough to spur more big bond market gains -- at least not immediately. Potential buyers could be restrained by the knowledge that two key inflation reports will follow on Thursday and Friday, the first on wholesale prices and the latter on retail prices.
"Retail sales are expected to be down, but worry about PPI and CPI releases Thursday and Friday could keep any bond market rally in check," said Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial, referring to the producer and consumer price indexes.
Inflation picked up substantially in the first few months of the year, threatening the real return from fixed-income debt. Still, Federal Reserve officials assert that the spike was transitory and that inflation will moderate enough to allow them to raise interest rates only gradually.
A rise of 0.2 percent or less in the June core CPI would tend to support the Fed view, although that would still see the annual rate tick up to 1.9 percent, its highest level since January last year.
"The rally in the long-end could continue if, for instance, core CPI had a 0.1 percent print, with the curve flattening somewhat," said Chris Rupkey, senior financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi.
He said if real consumer spending grew 2.5 percent in the second quarter, that could limit real GDP growth to just 3.5 percent. The latter figures are due on July 30.
"As the Treasury rally continues on perceptions of a soft economy, or possibly reports that inflation is 'transitory,' it is good to keep in mind the Fed is still raising the funds rate upward over the next year, even if it turns out to be at a very measured pace," Rupkey added.
The prospect of higher official rates would tend to put a floor under short-term yields, he said, pointing to 2.5 percent as a likely trough for the two-year note.
The only economic data on Monday were minor figures, little regarded by the market. The Fed Bank of Kansas City's June manufacturing survey and the Fed Bank of Chicago's Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index for May had no effect on the market.
Reuters
US Treasuries rise, soft economic data expected
Monday July 12, 12:26 pm ET
By Ellen Freilich
NEW YORK, July 12 (Reuters) - Treasury debt prices edged higher on Monday, with investors banking on predictions that economic data this week will support the view that U.S. economic growth has decelerated and inflation plateaued.
The benchmark 10-year note (US10YT=RR) crept up 3/32 in price, lowering its yield to 4.45 percent from 4.46 percent late Friday. A break below 4.41 percent, a trough hit after the soft June payrolls report, would take yields to 10-week lows and open the way for a technical rally to 4.32 percent.
Market action on Monday was restrained. Yields on the two-year note (US2YT=RR) were stuck at 2.52 percent, while those on the five-year (US5YT=RR) edged down to 3.63 percent from 3.64 percent. The 30-year bond (US30YT=RR) gained 4/32, allowing its yield to ease to 5.20 percent from 5.21 percent on Friday.
Buyers of Treasuries are counting on retail sales data, due on Wednesday, to show that consumer spending dipped in June, reinforcing a trend of slower purchases in the second quarter.
Even if the retail sales data are weak, that may not enough to spur more big bond market gains -- at least not immediately. Potential buyers could be restrained by the knowledge that two key inflation reports will follow on Thursday and Friday, the first on wholesale prices and the latter on retail prices.
"Retail sales are expected to be down, but worry about PPI and CPI releases Thursday and Friday could keep any bond market rally in check," said Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial, referring to the producer and consumer price indexes.
Inflation picked up substantially in the first few months of the year, threatening the real return from fixed-income debt. Still, Federal Reserve officials assert that the spike was transitory and that inflation will moderate enough to allow them to raise interest rates only gradually.
A rise of 0.2 percent or less in the June core CPI would tend to support the Fed view, although that would still see the annual rate tick up to 1.9 percent, its highest level since January last year.
"The rally in the long-end could continue if, for instance, core CPI had a 0.1 percent print, with the curve flattening somewhat," said Chris Rupkey, senior financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi.
He said if real consumer spending grew 2.5 percent in the second quarter, that could limit real GDP growth to just 3.5 percent. The latter figures are due on July 30.
"As the Treasury rally continues on perceptions of a soft economy, or possibly reports that inflation is 'transitory,' it is good to keep in mind the Fed is still raising the funds rate upward over the next year, even if it turns out to be at a very measured pace," Rupkey added.
The prospect of higher official rates would tend to put a floor under short-term yields, he said, pointing to 2.5 percent as a likely trough for the two-year note.
The only economic data on Monday were minor figures, little regarded by the market. The Fed Bank of Kansas City's June manufacturing survey and the Fed Bank of Chicago's Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index for May had no effect on the market.
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
a vedere il COT di venerd', la posizione net long degli istituzionale è calata di più della metà e anzi stanno mettendo sù nuovi short man mano che si sale , i piccoli son passati net long ( questo dovrebbe essere un contrarian indicator ) , i fondi credevo avessero mollato più short invece solo 9000 short in meno mentre hanno aggiunto 30000 nuovi long. Insomma su quel dato dei payroll son saltati 9000 short di hedge funds e altri 10ooo dei piccoli.
gastronomo
Forumer storico
Grazie Fleur, molto interessante
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
gastronomo ha scritto:
peccato non avere un COT sul Bund
