Bund e diavolerie varie: LO SPIACCICAMENTO in diretta!!!!

Bonjour a tout les bondaroles

in tempo per assistere al landing sulla s1, incredibile T-Bond :eek: :D :smile:

gatro ricambia??? una persona così a modo ed educata? un ci credo, cè essere malefico: quanto l'hai fatto bere quella cosmica anima?

:lol: :P
 
Fleursdumal ha scritto:
Bonjour a tout les bondaroles

in tempo per assistere al landing sulla s1, incredibile T-Bond :eek: :D :smile:

gatro ricambia??? una persona così a modo ed educata? un ci credo, cè essere malefico: quanto l'hai fatto bere quella cosmica anima?

:lol: :P

Fleurs ... aiutooooooooooooooo !!!!!

Riesci atrovare qualche news sul gas ? ... io non trovo niente, il report dell'eia è negativo per i prezzi ed intanto ti piazzano un +3% in preapertura. :eek: :eek: :eek:


Sembra di assistere alla tiscali del 2000 :( :( :( :sad: :sad: :sad: :sad: :rolleyes:
 
certo che è incredibile l'ng, il grafo daily è in ipercomprato fisso da due mesi :eek: :eek: per fortuna ieri poi son stato costretto ad uscire altrimenti me lo ritrovavo sul conto da 14 , però mi son perso anche un'entrata poco fa sullar1 daily a 14,575 rispettata alla perfezione
alle 16,30 dovrebbe esserci il dato sul gas storage

qualche idea andrè? la r2 è a 15,045




MarketWatch
Natural gas taps a record near $15; gas closes up 8%
Wednesday September 28, 3:54 pm ET
By Myra P. Saefong
Oil supplies fall for a 5th week; gasoline prices up 8%

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Natural-gas futures rallied to a record high near $15 per million British thermal units Wednesday, after a report said hurricane disruptions in the Gulf of Mexico and strong demand for the heating fuel would result in high consumer costs this winter.

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At the same time, crude prices closed above $66 a barrel and gasoline and heating-oil futures hit three-week highs as a 17- million-barrel decline in U.S. crude-oil inventories over the past five weeks outweighed an unexpected rise in gasoline supplies.

"Traders are realizing that Rita, when added to Katrina, will have a significant impact on the market," said Agbeli Ameko, a managing partner at First Enercast Financial.

Natural gas for October delivery climbed as high as $14.80 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, a level the futures market has never seen from a front-month contract. It closed up $1.251, or 9.9%, at $13.907.

The November contract, which became the lead-month contract at the session's close, finished at $14.10, up 98 cents, or 7.5%, after a record $14.32.

A supply situation that's already tight heading into the winter heating season is expected to worsen due to the effect of the two hurricanes that recently hammered the Gulf of Mexico, a natural-gas producing hub in the U.S., said Joseph Blount, the Natural Gas Supply Association's chairman.

Katrina and Rita will likely be the "most significant" storms ever to hit the U.S. natural-gas industry, Blount said. Roughly 20% of the natural gas consumed in the United States is produced in the Gulf region.

The production situation for natural gas in the Gulf of Mexico in the wake of the hurricanes worsened a bit Wednesday.

Over 80% of daily natural-gas production was offline, compared to 78.6% on Tuesday, the U.S. Minerals Management Service said.

Looking ahead, First Enercast Financial estimates that Thursday's Energy Department report on natural-gas stockpiles will show an increase of 49 billion cubic feet for the week ended Sept. 23. Platts expects a buildup of 67 billion, while Wachovia Corp. sees gas in storage rising by closer to 60 billion cubic feet.

Crude tops $66; gasoline up 8%
Crude, heating-oil and unleaded-gasoline futures rallied along with natural gas Wednesday, lifted by five weeks of declining U.S. crude inventories -- and, analysts said, by the market's refusal to believe that gasoline supplies actually climbed last week.

"The limitations of a one week snapshot of U.S. production and inventories is glaringly apparent in this morning's EIA report," said Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service.

"The data no doubt understates just how impaired Gulf Coast production is at the moment," he said.

November crude moved up to a high of $67.40 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, its highest since Thursday. The contract closed at $66.35, up $1.28, or 2%.

Unleaded-gasoline and heating-oil futures closed at more than three-week highs. October unleaded gas closed up 17.29 cents at $2.3393 after trading as high as $2.35, while October heating oil closed up 7.25 cents at $2.1411 after rising to $2.16 earlier.

Earlier Wednesday, the Energy Department said crude supplies for the week ended Sept. 23 fell 2.4 million barrels to 305.7 million. They already fell 14.8 million barrels in the past four weeks, though the stockpiles tally is still up by more than 11% from the year-ago level.

Supplies of the commodity were down 740,000 barrels at 304.3 million, according to a separate report from the American Petroleum Institute.

The supply data "show that inventories have not been affected too much by after Hurricane Rita, and should reassure markets that the effects of the storm on the nation's energy infrastructure and global energy markets has been temporary," said Thorsten Fischer, a senior economist at Economy.com.

The U.S. is actually "awash in crude oil and there most likely won't be a pinch in the supply this year, for crude or the other products," said Thomas Hartmann, an analyst at Altavest Worldwide Trading. But right now, "it's all about fear and uncertainty."

"The products are in control of prices at the time being," he said, adding that "with plants shut down in Houston still, the market is getting antsy over winter concerns."

"Refineries will have to start making heating oil for winter and curtail some gasoline production," he said.

Rita clouds gasoline figures
Motor gasoline inventories surprisingly climbed last week, U.S. data showed.

They rose 4.4 million to 199.8 million, according to the government figures. That's just 2.9% below the year-ago level.

Supplies were up 2.2 million barrels at 202.8 million, the API said.

"We know that some 4.8 million barrels of U.S. refining capacity was shut or rapidly closing on Friday and yet the data showed a decline in gasoline output of just 187,000 barrels per day on the week," said Tim Evans, a senior analyst at IFR Markets.

"Clearly this was more of a pre-Rita snapshot than a post-storm assessment," he said.

Kloza pointed out that Gulf Coast gasoline output fell only by 273,000 barrels per day, according to the government data, and distillate output was down by just 210,000 barrels per day.

But "estimates are that there are several times more production down during this last week of September," he said.

Still, John Person, president of National Futures Advisory Service, argued that the data were "a good sign that inventories were not depleted from the masses exodus from evacuees due to hurricane Rita."

But "the real story will be the damage assessment from refineries and oil platforms in the Gulf, and how long it will take to get these back in operation," he said.

Distillate inventories, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, were down 500,000 barrels at 133.6 million barrels, or 6.8% above the level from a year ago, according to the Energy Department. They were down 120,000 barrels at 132.9 million, the API said.

The higher gasoline inventories and slight decline in distillates came on the heels of a sharp drop in refinery utilization. That figure was down 4.1% at 86.7%, the government said.

"Total supplies of refined products averaged 20.2 million barrels per day, a decrease of 2% compared to the same period one year ago," said Fischer in a weekly report, blaming the fall on "refinery outages following Katrina and Rita."

"While the refining industry has once again shown its adaptability, the lack of much-needed refining capacity remains a serious upside risk for refined-product prices," he said.

Then again, "seasonal demand for gasoline is expected to ease markedly," he said, adding that "this should bring some relief at the pump."

Hurricane aftermath
Fully 100%, or more than 1.5 million barrels, of daily oil output in the Gulf was offline as of Wednesday as a result of Katrina and Rita, according to the U.S. Minerals Management Service. The output figures were virtually unchanged from Tuesday.

"The shut-in of domestic crude production is partly responsible for the drop in crude-oil stocks, as imports are recovering strongly, although they remain below their record-setting pace seen before Katrina and Rita," said Fischer.

Initial reports indicated limited damage to refineries. Most of the ports in the Gulf of Mexico along the Texas and Louisiana coasts resumed operations Monday and Tuesday after Rita passed through. See related story.

However, an article in the Financial Times on Wednesday said that Rita had caused more damage to oil rigs in the Gulf than any other storm in history. Observers cited in the story were expecting a shortage of rigs in the U.S. Gulf this year.

The article, which cited oil and gas market intelligence provider ODS-Petrodata, noted that Rita's path took in the western area of the Gulf -- where there's a lot of exploratory-rig activity -- whereas Katrina mainly affected production platforms.

Energy equities rose Wednesday, with the Oil Service Index trading modestly higher. See Energy Stocks.

Meanwhile, gold futures closed with a nearly $7 gain on the heels of oil's strength. See Metals Stocks.

As for the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index, the broad measure of commodity-futures markets stood at 333.3 points, up 1.9% on the New York Board of Trade.
 
arketWatch
Oil stocks close up as natural gas hits record
Wednesday September 28, 4:35 pm ET
By Lisa Sanders
Exxon Mobil's shares again downgraded

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Oil stocks closed broadly higher Wednesday, boosted by a sharp gain in natural gas futures.

October natural gas, which touched $14.80, a level not previously seen for a front month futures contract, rallied 9.9%, or $1.251, to close at a record $13.907 per million British thermal units.

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The November contract, now the lead-month contract, finished at $14.10, up 7.5%, or 98 cents.

The Natural Gas Supply Association warned that hurricane-related disruptions to Gulf of Mexico production and higher demand for heating this winter are likely to lead to even tighter supplies of natural gas. Before Hurricane Katrina, natural gas producers were on track to expand domestic production. Now, they'll be struggling to stay on top of demand, the NGSA said in a statement.

Crude and its products followed gas higher. November crude rose 2%, or $1.28, to close at $66.35 a barrel. October gasoline added 17.29 cents to close at $2.3393 a gallon. October heating oil advanced 7.25 cents to close at $2.141 a gallon.

The petroleum group had traded lower after the Energy Department reported a surprise climb in U.S. gasoline supplies.

The Energy Department said gasoline stocks rose 4.4 million barrels to 199.8 million barrels in the week ended September 23.

Crude inventories fell 2.4 million barrels, the data showed.

Production ground to a halt again due to Hurricane Rita. Fully 100%, or more than 1.5 million barrels, of daily oil output in the Gulf of Mexico remained offline as of Tuesday -- the result of hurricanes Katrina and Rita, according to the U.S. Minerals Management Service. And more than 78% of daily natural-gas production is still offline, the MMS said.

IFR Markets was looking for the Energy Department to report a decline of 5 million to 7 million barrels in crude inventories, while Fimat USA expected a decline of 2.8 million and Platts forecast a 2.7-million-barrel drawdown. See Futures Movers.

"The inventory reports should again be viewed with a cautious eye, as obviously the 'normal' transfer of products around the Gulf Coast is anything but 'normal,' " said Kyle Cooper, an energy analyst at Citigroup, in a note to clients.

Tracking the energy sector, the Amex Natural Gas Index added 1.5% to close at 428.17 points, the Philadelphia Oil Service Index rose 0.4% to close at 176.01 points and the Amex Oil Index tacked on 1.2% to close at 1,087.42 points.

Among individual stocks, Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM - News) added 8 cents to close at $64.70 after getting downgraded for the second time in as many days.

Friedman Billings Ramsey lowered ratings on Exxon Mobil and Total (NYSE:TOT - News) to market perform from outperform, while upgrading Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX - News) and Amerada Hess (NYSE:AHC - News) to outperform from market perform and adding Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR - News) to its so-called "focus list."

The changes in ratings relate to the broker's increase to its commodity price estimates and a change in the way it determines net asset value.

A lack of refining capacity worldwide is driving crude prices higher, FBR analyst Jacques Rousseau said.

"The recent hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico highlighted that crude oil prices are following those of gasoline and other refined products," Rousseau wrote in a note to clients. "Given our analysis that shows global refining capacity only increasing by 4.3 million bpd (5%) by 2010, we expect this pattern to continue in the coming years, supporting high prices."

Rousseau explained that ratings on Chevron and Amerada Hess were raised because of their significant leverage to oil and gas prices. Exxon Mobil was cut because it depends much less on commodity prices, and Total was revised because the tax rates it pays on exploration and production are high.

"We maintain our overweight rating on the integrated oil sector, believing that the stocks are only pricing in, on average, a $41-a-barrel crude oil price," Rousseau told clients in a research note.

On Tuesday, J.P. Morgan cut its rating on Exxon Mobil, noting the Dow Jones Industrial Average component has outperformed its peers by more than 6% this month.

It also upgraded Chevron because the stock is trading at an 18% discount to its peers, a disparity that was deemed "unwarranted."

Chevron shares rose 80 cents to close at $64.98. Total's U.S.-listed shares gained $1.81 to close at $137.23. Amerada stock closed at $138.25, up $1.49.
 
il grafo sull'open auction, escludendo i trades sull'elettronico



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Fleursdumal ha scritto:
certo che è incredibile l'ng, il grafo daily è in ipercomprato fisso da due mesi :eek: :eek: per fortuna ieri poi son stato costretto ad uscire altrimenti me lo ritrovavo sul conto da 14 , però mi son perso anche un'entrata poco fa sullar1 daily a 14,575 rispettata alla perfezione
alle 16,30 dovrebbe esserci il dato sul gas storage

qualche idea andrè? la r2 è a 15,045

In pratica stanno ancora a rompere le bal.le con le previsioni di un'inverno rigido ... come se il gas a 14$ fosse a sconto. :( :rolleyes:


... Ieri credevo che il rally fosse dovuto esclusivamente alla morte del contratto vovembre, un po come fecero per la benzina di settembre.
Ma oggi avrebbero dovuto aprire a -3% e non a +3% :eek:.
Oggi poi ci sono le scorte che manco a farlo apposta faranno schifo per via della chiusura delle piatte di estrazione in seguito a Rita ... o oggi questi appena aprono e poi dopo le scorte vendono a manetta oppure mi sa tanto che ci fanno vedere i 15$. :sad: :sad: :sad:

Il contratto NGF6 è già arrivato a 15,23$ ... sti azzi !!!!
 

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