Certificati di investimento - Cap. 5 (18 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione Jsvmax79
- Data di Inizio
- Stato
CarloConti
Forumer storico
prima cosa perchè ti fai questa domanda? Non tolleri vedere una perdita "potenziale" nel tuo portafogli? Hai un'idea di perdita massima che intendi realizzare toccata la quale fermi e vendi (tipo stop loss)?
Con i certificati investi in azioni in maniera indiretta e di conseguenza investi in un mercato altamente rischioso e volatile, per cui durante la vita di un certificato è probabile (ultimamente molto probabile) che il valore del ctf scenda per svariati motivi, il primo per la discesa del sottostante, il secondo per l'aumentata volatilità, il terzo per la distanza dalla scadenza, ecc.... Ad oggi i tuoi certificati rimborserebbero l'intero capitale perchè i certificati come questi hanno delle barriere che li proteggono fino ad una certa discesa del sottostante. Per cui la scelta di vendere è del tutto personale e legata fortemente alla tua propensione al rischio che se non troppo alta non dovrebbe neanche farteli comprare i certificati.
NoWay
It's time to play the game
percefal
Utente Old Style
Charly1
Nuovo forumer
Grazie, cercherò di trovare un set di certificati migliori di questi e poi decido. Ciao.
Ultima modifica:
Charly1
Nuovo forumer
Si, diciamo che conosco bene come funzionano i Certificati e sulla perdita potenziale a scadenza. La mia propensione al rischio è medio. D'altra parte ho iniziato ad acquistarli durante un buon periodo ma oggi con tutti gli eventi in essere è diventato difficile stare a galla e fare gain. Comunque per questi 3 certificati, anche se sono in perdita dovuto al valore di mercato che è sceso per i motivi che hai citato, la distanza in % della barriera del capitale attualmente si aggira tra l'11% (x Telecom) e il 14%. Grazie 1000. Ciao.
percefal
Utente Old Style
Our call of the day comes from Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Advisory Services, who said “depressed” investor sentiment is the reason he hasn’t shifted to a full negative stance on stocks right now.
“Indeed with markets, it’s not about good or bad — it’s all about better or worse relative to expectations. When expectations are low, a little bit of good news can go a long way. That’s why markets tend to bottom when fear and uncertainty are at an extreme,” said Lerner in a recent note to clients.
He downgraded his equity stance to neutral in April after two years of a positive stance, noting that while the range of potential outcomes is wide, risk/reward is less positive.
He pointed to the latest survey from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII), which showed the percentage of investors with a negative/bearish outlook surging to 59.4%. That was the highest since early March 2009, just a few weeks short of a major stock bottom following the 2008-09 financial crisis decline.
“To be fair, investors were correctly negative in January 2008 in the early stages of that market downturn,” he said.
The percentage of bullish investors is currently 16%, also close to a record low, leaving the bull/bear spread at -43%, a level that has been surpassed twice in the past 35 years — in the fall of 1990 and that March 2009 period, said Lerner.
A similar theme was heard from Thomas Lee, founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, who told clients that the AAII sentiment survey was a “major bottom signal,” based on history. “So bad, it’s good,” he said.
Lee provided this chart showing when such a weak reading marked a stock bottom:
One footnote from Lee is that the AAII survey tends to sample older investors, and not the Reddit crowd.
Lerner adds other proof of investor negativity, such as the $45 billion flowing out of equity funds over the past two weeks. “This is an extreme that we have also seen during times of heightened uncertainty and volatility,” Lerner said.
For example: the post-Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, the U.S. debt downgrade, COVID-19 pandemic lows and two months before the 2020 U.S. presidential election. While the Lehman Brothers signal was “premature,” strong price returns followed the other periods, he said.
In short, Lerner said Truist follows the “weight-of-the-evidence approach,” which is telling it that depressed investor views and a “low hurdle for positive surprises” are the stock market’s biggest assets going.
“Indeed with markets, it’s not about good or bad — it’s all about better or worse relative to expectations. When expectations are low, a little bit of good news can go a long way. That’s why markets tend to bottom when fear and uncertainty are at an extreme,” said Lerner in a recent note to clients.
He downgraded his equity stance to neutral in April after two years of a positive stance, noting that while the range of potential outcomes is wide, risk/reward is less positive.
He pointed to the latest survey from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII), which showed the percentage of investors with a negative/bearish outlook surging to 59.4%. That was the highest since early March 2009, just a few weeks short of a major stock bottom following the 2008-09 financial crisis decline.
“To be fair, investors were correctly negative in January 2008 in the early stages of that market downturn,” he said.
The percentage of bullish investors is currently 16%, also close to a record low, leaving the bull/bear spread at -43%, a level that has been surpassed twice in the past 35 years — in the fall of 1990 and that March 2009 period, said Lerner.
A similar theme was heard from Thomas Lee, founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, who told clients that the AAII sentiment survey was a “major bottom signal,” based on history. “So bad, it’s good,” he said.
Lee provided this chart showing when such a weak reading marked a stock bottom:
One footnote from Lee is that the AAII survey tends to sample older investors, and not the Reddit crowd.
Lerner adds other proof of investor negativity, such as the $45 billion flowing out of equity funds over the past two weeks. “This is an extreme that we have also seen during times of heightened uncertainty and volatility,” Lerner said.
For example: the post-Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, the U.S. debt downgrade, COVID-19 pandemic lows and two months before the 2020 U.S. presidential election. While the Lehman Brothers signal was “premature,” strong price returns followed the other periods, he said.
In short, Lerner said Truist follows the “weight-of-the-evidence approach,” which is telling it that depressed investor views and a “low hurdle for positive surprises” are the stock market’s biggest assets going.
percefal
Utente Old Style
Razzia bei der Deutschen Bank
Bei der Deutschen Bank kommt es zu einer Razzia. Beamte der Staatsanwaltschaft Frankfurt, des Bundeskriminalamts und der Finanzaufsicht Bafin untersuchen die Räume des Geldhauses. Die Aktie reagiert prompt.
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