Obbligazioni societarie CIT Group, SLM, GMAC e le finanziarie USA che (forse) si salveranno diventando banche

Il punto di vista del noto blogger Felix Salmon... riporto le conclusioni: in sostanza, è un accordo di grande convenienza per chi presta e, mal che vada, pospone l'inevitabile per CIT. Resta il problema di fondo, difficilmente gestibile dal settore privato, di trovare una soluzione praticabile al problema di una istituzione finanziaria con un leverage eccessivamente elevato nel contesto di una grave crisi di liquidità (che personalmente meglio chiamerei una crisi da eccesso di debito).

....

This deal makes sense for the lenders, then, and at worst delays the inevitable for CIT. But it’s still far from clear that the private sector is capable of putting together a lasting solution to the problem of a leveraged financial institution facing a massive liquidity crisis.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/149861-cit-kicks-the-ball-down-the-road?source=email
 
CIT ora intenta a rccogliere il 90% di adesioni allo swap sul bond da 1 mld $ in scadenza ad agosto. Solo chi aderisce entro il 31 luglio riceve 82,5/100 (un haircut del 17,5%) mentre chi aderirà entro il 14 agosto riceverà solo 77,5/100.

Se non si raggiungesse il 90% di adesioni, il loan da 3 mld $ non potrà essere adoperato per ripagare il bond, come da accordi e dunque CIT dovrà fare il filing per il Ch 11...

CIT Reworks Tender to Punish Late Exchange of Notes (Update2)

uly 24 (Bloomberg) -- CIT Group Inc., the 101-year-old commercial lender seeking to avoid collapse, reworked its tender offer for $1 billion of notes maturing next month to encourage investors to deliver the debt to the company sooner.

Investors tendering their notes by July 31 will get $775 plus a $50 early delivery payment for every $1,000 of securities they own, the company said today in a regulatory filing. That compares with a previous offer of $800 plus an early payment of $25, CIT said. Those who tender their bonds after July 31 will get $775 per $1,000, down from a previous offer of $800, the company said in the filing. The offer expires on Aug. 14.

If the offer fails to get 90 percent participation, the terms of the $3 billion rescue financing that CIT got from its bondholders this week don’t allow the funds to be used to repay the debt and the company may have to file for bankruptcy, according to the filing. CIT doesn’t “intend” to file for bankruptcy if the tender is completed, though “there can be no assurance” its attempt to restructure out of court will succeed, the company said.

“It’s hard for financial companies to be coercive in tenders and exchanges because if they talk about how they might need to file for bankruptcy, their business gets worse,” said Kevin Starke, an analyst at CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford, Connecticut.

$1.5 Billion Loss

New York-based CIT, which has reported $3 billion of losses in the last eight quarters, said in another filing this week that it expects to report a loss of more than $1.5 billion for the second quarter. The company also said its “existing liquidity” isn’t enough to repay the $1 billion of floating- rate notes maturing on Aug. 17.

The securities rose 2.125 cents to 81.5 cents on the dollar as of 10:01 a.m. in New York, according to Trace, the bond-price reporting system of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. CIT shares rose 17 cents to 91 cents in New York Stock Exchange composite trading.

Six bondholders provided CIT with the rescue loan to help the company avert a failure. Newport Beach, California-based Pacific Investment Management Co., Centerbridge Partners LP in New York, Los Angeles-based Oaktree Capital Management LLC, Boston-based hedge fund Baupost Group LLC, Capital Research & Management Co. of Los Angeles, and Silver Point Capital LP in Greenwich, Connecticut comprised the group. London-based Barclays Plc arranged the funding.

Pre-Packaged Bankruptcy

If the tender offer for the August notes succeeds, the lenders should require CIT to try to restructure out of court through debt exchanges with a pre-packaged bankruptcy option, Jeffrey Werbalowsky, chief executive officer of bondholder adviser Houlihan Lokey Howard & Zukin, said on a call with creditors this week, according to a person familiar with the matter who declined to be identified because the discussions were private.

A pre-packaged bankruptcy is likely under the plan because it will be difficult to get almost all of CIT’s bondholders to agree to reduce their claims out of court, according to another person familiar with the advisers’ thinking.

Should the tender offer fail, Houlihan will recommend the bondholders allow CIT to file for bankruptcy before paying the August maturity, said the person. This would be in the form of a pre-arranged bankruptcy, the person said.

CIT, led by Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Peek, said in the regulatory filing that the bondholder group agreed to swap all their August notes in the tender. The group owns less than half the securities outstanding, Werbalowsky said on the call, the people said.
 
CIT ora intenta a rccogliere il 90% di adesioni allo swap sul bond da 1 mld $ in scadenza ad agosto. Solo chi aderisce entro il 31 luglio riceve 82,5/100 (un haircut del 17,5%) mentre chi aderirà entro il 14 agosto riceverà solo 77,5/100.

carino... vuoi fare l'hold out?

ti do i tempi supplementari, ma paghi pegno... :lol:
 
Se non si raggiungesse il 90% di adesioni, il loan da 3 mld $ non potrà essere adoperato per ripagare il bond, come da accordi e dunque CIT dovrà fare il filing per il Ch 11...

Scusate, secondo la Vs esperienza i bond sono in mano a istituzionali o parco buoi ?

sarei curioso di sapere se anche all'estero hanno usato il metodo cirio/parmalat per intenderci

:ciao:
 
Scusate, secondo la Vs esperienza i bond sono in mano a istituzionali o parco buoi ?

sarei curioso di sapere se anche all'estero hanno usato il metodo cirio/parmalat per intenderci

:ciao:

Sai, qualcuno di questi titoli in euro è scambiato anche a Francoforte e sui mercati tedeschi, e 3 anni fa questa finanziaria aveva un rating strasicuro.

Peraltro, ha 102 anni di vita, per cui anche sui mercati è un emittente di quelli noti, specie, ovviamente, negli USA.

Qualcosa in mano al retail c'è di sicuro... tuttavia tieni conto che qui parliamo di 1 solo bond da 1 mld $. E' su questo che si gioca la partita del default oggi.
 
Sai, qualcuno di questi titoli in euro è scambiato anche a Francoorte e sui mercati tedeschi, e 3 anni fa questa finanziaria aveva un rating strasicuro.

Peraltro, ha 102 anni di vita, per cui anche sui mercati è un emittente di quelli noti, specie, ovviamente, negli USA.

Qualcosa in mano al retail c'è di sicuro... tuttavia tieni conto che qui parliamo di 1 solo bond da 1 mld $. E' su questo che si gioca la partita del default oggi.

grazie, nella mia ignoranza ho dato una occhiata ai commercial paper e per il momento non mi sembra che ci siano contraccolpi sulle notizie.

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/
 
grazie, nella mia ignoranza ho dato una occhiata ai commercial paper e per il momento non mi sembra che ci siano contraccolpi sulle notizie.

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/cp/

E' un mercato oggi sostanzialmente controllato dalla FED, che garantisce le emissioni ad alto rating ... ottimo anticipatore peraltro - se valutato nel suo ciclico contrarsi ed espandersi - per considerare in chiave prospettica cosa succederà sui mercati in termini di risk appetite/risk aversion...
 
Eccone un'altra che va a perdere l'IG. Bene fa l'amministrazione Obama a sottrarre il comparto della generazione di loans federali dalla possibilità per i privati di operarvi.

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]SLM Corp. Ratings Placed On CreditWatch Negative Following U.S. House Committee Action On Student Loan Origination[/FONT]

  • We believe that the likelihood has increased that SLM will no longer have the ability to originate federal student loans by July 2010.
  • We are placing our BBB-/Negative/A-3 ratings on SLM Corp. on CreditWatch with negative implications.
  • Resolution of the CreditWatch will be determined by our view of SLM's future business profile risk.
NEW YORK (Standard & Poor's) July 23, 2009--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it has placed its ratings on SLM on CreditWatch Negative.

The CreditWatch action follows a vote by the U.S. House of Representatives Education and Labor Committee to pass a bill that would eliminate the origination of federal student loans by private lenders after July 2010. The bill must still be passed by the full House and Senate, and be signed off by the President in the face of significant industry pressure for modifications.

"However, we believe that the passage of this bill significantly increases the likelihood that private lenders will no longer be able to originate federal student loans after July 2010. We are also concerned that SLM's lackluster performance over the past few quarters will continue to be pressured by increasing provisions for the company's private education loans.

The deterioration in this portfolio highlights the higher-risk nature of these loans, which could become a much greater part of SLM's overall business model once legislation is passed. In second-quarter 2009, charge-offs grew to $355 million compared with $202 million in the first quarter
," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Xavier Chavee.

Regardless of the legislative outcome with respect to SLM's ability to originate federal student loans, SLM's business profile risk will most likely change with legislation. We are in the process of determining SLM's likely future business model. This analysis includes: a determination of future credit risk, capital needs, and funding ability of SLM as a greater originator of private student loans; the runoff timeframe and economics of the company's current Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) portfolio combined with an overall analysis of its debt service capabilities; SLM's income generation ability as a servicer of government-originated student loans; and the nature of the ongoing relationship that the company will have with the government.

"We are also considering the transition risk of such changes. Depending on the conclusion of our analysis, there is a possibility that we could downgrade our rating on SLM by one or more notches in the next few quarters," Mr. Chavee added
 
sempre su Cit:

CIT Seals $3 Billion Credit Deal with Barclays
Published: Thursday, 30 Jul 2009 | 8:14 AM ET Text Size By: CNBC.com
CIT entered into a credit guaranty agreement for up to $3 billion with Barclays Bank, a company filing showed Thursday.
The amended and restated credit facility provides for an additional $1 billion in incremental borrowings, CIT [CIT 0.78 --- UNCH (0) ] said.
It said that under the facility it had received commitments from lenders for $2 billion by Wednesday.
The facility has a two-and-a-half year maturity and bears an interest rate of 10 percent above LIBOR, with a floor of 3 percent for LIBOR, which is to be paid monthly.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Alto