Titoli di Stato area Euro GRECIA Operativo titoli di stato - Cap. 1 (2 lettori)

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tommy271

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Intervista a Bruderle sullo "Spiegel", alcune parti salienti: niente di nuovo da parte di un "falco" ...


SPIEGEL ONLINE: On Thursday, you met with Greek Finance Minister Giorgos Papakonstantinou. Does he see things the same way?
Brüderle: I told him that solidarity isn't a one way street. And he didn't contradict me.
SPIEGEL ONLINE: Soon, Greece's sovereign debt could be as high as 170 percent of its gross domestic product. Is your strategy of demanding reform while offering support still working?
Brüderle: Greece's priority at the moment is structural reform. That must be energetically pursued. Greece will have to further exert itself.
SPIEGEL ONLINE: Will Greece's debt have to be restructured anyway? Will investors be disadvantaged?
Brüderle: The participation of private investors is explicitly agreed to in the new crisis mechanism, which will enter force in 2013. The markets know that and all euro member states know that.
SPIEGEL ONLINE: Is the Greek government on the same page?
Brüderle: It was agreed to at the last meeting of the European Council at the end of December.


L'intervista completa:

http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,742165,00.html
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Germany says is confident Greece can consolidate


BERLIN | Fri Jan 28, 2011 5:49am EST



BERLIN Jan 28 (Reuters) - Germany said on Friday it was confident that Greece would be able to consolidate its finances and declined to comment on a proposal that Athens could buy back its government bonds below par.
"In our view, Greece is on a good path to reach its goal," a Finance Ministry spokesman told a regular news briefing. A government spokesman said he had no comment on the buyback idea.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
DAVOS-EU considering joint recapitalisation of banks-Greece


DAVOS, Switzerland | Fri Jan 28, 2011 7:16am EST


DAVOS, Switzerland Jan 28 (Reuters) - European Union governments are considering the possibility of allowing EU financial institutions to recapitalise European banks that need bolstering, Greece's prime minister said on Friday.
George Papandreou was asked at a meeting with media at the World Economic Forum whether a collective solution at an EU level to recapitalise banks that needed funds along the lines of the U.S. TARP programme was under consideration.
"These are issues which are being seriously discussed now," he replied.
"Who is going to do this if it is necessary? Will it be the EFSF (European Financial Stability Facility)? Will it be the ECB (European Central Bank)? These are issues that are on the table."
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
EU considers loans to Greece to buy back bonds

Jan 28, 2011 1:50 PM GMT+0100 Fri Jan 28 12:50:26 GMT 2011
By The Associated Press



BRUSSELS (AP) — A spokesman for the European Union's executive Commission says lending Greece money to buy back its bonds on the open market is "one option" being discussed as eurozone governments seek to overhaul their euro440 billion ($603 billion) bailout fund.
Greece's bonds are currently trading below face value, meaning the country could buy them back at a discount and cut its mounting debt pile.
Amadeu Altafaj-Tardio, spokesman for EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn, said Friday that the Commission had raised that idea in an internal "working document" on improving the response to the debt crisis.
He stressed the document wasn't a proposal from the Commission, adding "It will be up to the member states to see to it that our response (to the crisis) is more effective in the future."
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
2nd UPDATE: Greek Bond Buyback Plan Under Discussion - Greek Fin Min



(Adds quotes, details.)

By Geoffrey T. Smith and Costas Paris
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


DAVOS, Switzerland (Dow Jones)--Discussions are under way on an initiative that would allow the Greek government to buy back debt with help from the European bailout fund, Greece's finance minister said Friday, amid signs that Europe is preparing a far-reaching solution to the country's debt problems.

"It is one of the ideas that are on the table," Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said in an interview. "It deserves to be discussed, together with other ideas, but there is no specific plan at this point."

Since late last year, European governments have been discussing plans to beef up Europe's new, emergency financing mechanism, the European Financial Stability Facility, to lend money to euro-zone countries in need of cheap loans.

Under the scenario under consideration now, the EFSF, which has an AAA credit rating, would borrow from international investors and lend money to Greece. The loan would be given at a rate significantly below what Greece--now rated at junk status by all three of the world's leading ratings agencies--would pay on the markets.

With that money, Athens would buy back an estimated EUR50 billion to EUR60 billion in Greek government bonds held by the European Central Bank, which the ECB bought at sharply discounted prices as part of a year-long program to support the Greek bond market.

By doing so, Athens would pay only about 70% of the face value of the bonds, effectively retiring its debt at a 30% discount. The ECB, which paid less than face value for the bonds, should, in theory, get back more or less what it paid for them.

"It now looks like there is the political will in the euro zone to deal more drastically with the Greek debt because it will become simply unmanageable if nothing is done," a senior official in a euro-zone government told Dow Jones Newswires.
In May, Greece narrowly avoided default with the help of a EUR110 billion bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund. In exchange, Greece promised sweeping economic overhauls and to cut its budget deficit from 15.4% of gross domestic product in 2009 to below 3% by 2014.

However, continued jitters over Greece's giant debt burden--expected to peak at 158% of GDP by 2013--have kept yields on Greek bonds at prohibitively high levels, making it impossible for Greece to re-enter the bond market.

In addition to the buyback scheme, Europe is also looking at other measures to ease the interest payments on Greece's debt. Those include extending the repayment period on the EU and IMF loan--pushing it out by several years, to 2024--and lowering the official interest rate, currently about 5%, that Greece now pays on that loan.

"Anything below 5% (interest rate) on our total debt, will make the debt sustainable," said Papaconstantinou. "This is why it is critical for us, in the current discussions, that the lending conditions of the EU and IMF package are revisited as part of the overall EFSF package."

Speaking on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum, Papaconstantinou reaffirmed plans for Greece to re-enter the bond markets later this year after being frozen out for much of 2010 because of prohibitively high borrowing costs.

However, he said any plans to re-enter the bond markets would depend on Greece's European partners reaching an agreement on the scope and powers of the EFSF--which is expected at an EU Summit in late March.

Since September, Greece has issued short-term T-bills at almost monthly auctions, but no longer-dated issue since April last year.

"We still would like to come back into the market, as a seller, before the end of the year," Papaconstantinou said. "Of course for that, market conditions would have to change quite a lot in the next few months, and I hope that they will after the comprehensive package that we are all talking about is finalized and agreed."
 

METHOS

Forumer storico
Gli spread stanno stringendo ...


Scusami Tommy ma ultimamente sto seguendo la vicenda distrattamente. Ma il buyback come potrebbe essere inteso? offerta di scambio volontaria aperta a tutti? Intervento di acquisto direttamente sul mercato? Acquisto dei bond in mano alla BCE o di altri soggetti (banche, assicurazioni, etc.) istituzionali?

C'è qualche ipotesi al riguardo?
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Scusami Tommy ma ultimamente sto seguendo la vicenda distrattamente. Ma il buyback come potrebbe essere inteso? offerta di scambio volontaria aperta a tutti? Intervento di acquisto direttamente sul mercato? Acquisto dei bond in mano alla BCE o di altri soggetti (banche, assicurazioni, etc.) istituzionali?

C'è qualche ipotesi al riguardo?

Le ipotesi sono diverse.

Quella più immediata e semplice da farsi consiste nel girare gli acquisti della BCE al EFSF e poi da questi alla Grecia con un finanziamento a tasso agevolato: si potrebbe trattare di una cinquantina di MLD.

Un altro intervento potrebbe consistere in un buy-back volontario da sottoporre al mercato per il riacquisto dei propri TdS (anche qui finanziato dal EFSF) in questo caso il prezzo potrebbe variare titolo per titolo e, credo, potrebbe coinvolgere tutta la carta entro il decennale.

Poi c'è anche l'ipotesi dei "Brady bond" ... penso però che l'intervento, in linea di massima, non sarà "punitivo" ed avrà il carattere della libera adesione.
Ricordiamoci che la Grecia deve tornare sui mercati ... ;).
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
France open to increasing EFSF size, bond buys "an option"


By Emma Thomasson and Paul Taylor
DAVOS, Switzerland | Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:35am EST

DAVOS, Switzerland (Reuters) - Europe's rescue fund should be increased in size if needed to tackle the region's debt crisis, and could be retooled so that it can buy bonds, French Economy Minister Christine Lagarde said on Friday.
Lagarde called for the fund to be made more flexible, while Greece's finance minister said letting his country buy back government bonds at a discount on the market was worth considering.

Those funds could, in theory, be provided by European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), but some northern euro zone states, including EU powerhouse Germany, oppose such a move.

Euro zone leaders are discussing ways to strengthen the fund to show it has enough firepower to support states struggling with their borrowings, hoping this will ease the debt crisis.

"We are working on making the EFSF more efficient, more flexible, and if it needs to be bigger for that matter, so be it," Lagarde told a news conference at the annual World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner joined a bevy of European and international executives in voicing confidence that the European Union was on the road to overcoming the crisis.

Lagarde said using the rescue fund to buy sovereign bonds was an idea worth examining.
"Buying bonds is one option," she told Reuters Insider television. "We should look at it. We should weigh the pros and cons and decide what is most efficient."

The fund has a headline value of 440 billion euros but an effective lending capacity estimated at just 250 billion euros because of the need to secure a triple-A credit rating.

The worry is that the fund could be wiped out if a larger European economy such as Spain needed rescuing. If that happened the fallout might not remain contained within Europe.

The challenge is to boost it without raising the headline sum, which would be difficult to sell politically to Germany's parliament and public in particular.

GREEK BOND BUY-BACK?

Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said Greece could return to the debt market by the end of this year and reiterated that Athens would not restructure its debt to private creditors.

Greece became the first euro zone country to receive an EU/IMF bailout last May, receiving 110 billion euros in loans after it was shut out of capital markets due to massive debts.

Asked about buying back Greece's bonds below par, Papaconstantinou said: "To do that you need money and so it is one of the ideas that is being discussed, not officially ... It's an idea that that deserves some discussion, like others."

Lagarde was more equivocal and said Greece should focus on delivering promised reforms.

Ministers are considering possible buy-back schemes to allow the EFSF to buy government bonds or enable Greece to purchase its own bonds with EFSF money at the heavily discounted secondary market price and retire them to reduce its debt pile.

But EU officials say creditors are holding 80 percent of Greek debt to maturity on their banking books and only 20 percent at "fair value" on their trading books, so the take-up for any buy-back could be limited.

Papaconstantinou said a comprehensive package of EU measures to address the euro zone's debt crisis, due to be adopted at a late-March summit, would help improve market sentiment.

Greece had begun to put its house in order by reducing its budget deficit by six percentage points last year to 9.4 percent but its ability to reduce its debt mountain would depend on its ability to restore growth and generate primary budget surpluses.

GDP SURPRISE?

Separately, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou said European Union governments were considering the possibility of allowing EU financial institutions to recapitalize European banks that need bolstering.

Papandreou was asked whether a collective solution at an EU level to recapitalize banks that needed funds along the lines of the U.S. TARP program was under consideration.

"These are issues which are being seriously discussed now," he replied. "Who is going to do this if it is necessary? Will it be the EFSF? Will it be the ECB (European Central Bank)? These are issues that are on the table."

His finance minister stuck to an official forecast of a 3 percent contraction in Greek GDP this year after a 4 percent fall in 2010, but added: "Let's see if we can surprise the market."

Athens is committed under its austerity program to cut its budget gap to below the EU limit of 3 percent of GDP in 2014.
Papaconstantinou said he expected the euro zone and the IMF to agree to stretch out the repayment period for rescue loans and reduce the interest rate to help make the debt sustainable.

Greece's public debt stands at 145 percent of GDP and is projected to peak at 158 percent in 2013, according to EU and IMF forecasts, a level which many say is unsustainable.
 
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