Titoli di Stato area Euro GRECIA Operativo titoli di stato - Cap. 1 (7 lettori)

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tommy271

Forumer storico
Andamento pressochè stazionario sui nostri GGB, con lo spread sul decennale che oscilla intorno ai max del periodo senza nessun sfondamento significativo verso l'alto.
Il trading range rimane confinato entro i 950 pb.
Più sensile il calo di valore su titoli a due/cinque anni, in fase di appiattimento della curva.
In costante movimento di allargamento, seppur molto lieve, su Irlanda e Portogallo.
Sono attesi gli esiti degli stress-test sulle banche irish.
La situazione generale rimane molto debole e soggetta ad ogni notizia negativa. Probabili nuovi downgrade, il candidato rimane l'Irlanda.
Nessun appuntamento notevole, dal punto di vista macro, in grado di invertire la rotta. Salvo sorprese dell'ultima ora ...
Il gruppo dei Periferici appare sempre più distante tra i primi e gli ultimi tre.

Grecia 945 pb. (935)
Irlanda 691 pb. (689)
Portogallo 491 pb. (485)
Spagna 187 pb. (187)
Italia 147 pb. (152)
Belgio 93 pb. (92)
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Greece May Need to Break Taboo on Selling Land to Slash Debt

By Sharon Smyth - Mar 31, 2011 12:00 AM GMT+0200 Wed Mar 30 22:00:01 GMT 2011



Greece’s plan to raise billions of euros from state-owned land may fail if the government succumbs to pressure to keep assets in public hands, according to Miltos Kambourides, managing partner at Dolphin Capital Partners.
Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou said in an interview this month that he would prefer to offer developers long-term leases, though he’d consider selling smaller assets outright. On March 23, the government said it will give details of the fundraising plan “in the coming weeks.”
“No foreign investors will want to buy a lease and be told what they should develop on the site,” said Kambourides, 38, who helped set up his private equity firm seven years ago. Dolphin, registered in the British Virgin Islands, is developing seven luxury resorts in Greece that he says will need 2 billion euros ($2.8 billion) of investment.
Papaconstantinou aims to generate 50 billion euros from state asset sales and property transactions by 2015 to reduce Greece’s public debt, the highest in the European Union as a percentage of gross domestic product. Until now, its governments have shied away from real-estate divestments to avoid criticism from voters.
Asset sales are an important element in the effort to stabilize the debt level, though they’re unlikely to be a panacea,” said Silvio Peruzzo, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc based in London. He described the government’s target as “very ambitious.”
Greece’s economy will probably shrink for a third year under the force of cost-cutting measures that followed an EU- led, 110 billion-euro bailout last year.


Bureaucratic Barriers

Some companies may be discouraged by the country’s bureaucracy, said Kambourides, whose company had to collect 2,200 signatures from government departments and ministries to secure the luxury developments. There’s no single point of contact for the numerous permits needed, he said.
“It creates a high barrier to entry, which keeps the competition away, but it’s not good for the country,” Kambourides said. The government is taking “slow” but important steps to promote large-scale developments, such as speeding up the permit process and defining holiday homes as a tourist product so developers can build them on resorts.
Dolphin, which has bought 1,650 hectares (4,077 acres) of land in Greece for development since 2006, won’t purchase any land from the state unless it’s a freehold, Kambourides said.

‘Mixed Messages’

“The government’s sending out mixed messages, though I think it will find a way to respond to the needs of investors,” said Yannis Perrotis, managing director of Athens-based CB Richard Ellis Atria. His company, an affiliate of the world’s largest commercial property brokerage, advises on transactions in Greece and Cyprus.
Dolphin’s property-investment unit, Dolphin Capital Investors, is building resorts at sites including Porto Heli on the shores of the Peloponnese and Plaka Bay on the island of Crete.
“Holiday homes are the most profitable part of a resort and that is what all investors are looking for,” Kambourides said. He estimates that as many as 25,000 holiday homes could be sold in a year. That would generate sales of 10 billion euros and provide a “significant” boost to gross domestic product.
A Feb. 27 poll by MRB Hellas showed that 58 percent of respondents wanted state land to be developed, not sold. Of that number, 66 percent supported laws that would stop any sale of public land. Prime Minister George Papandreou said on Feb. 15 that he would propose such a ban.



‘Wrong Ownership Concept’

“The Greek people want to have their cake and eat it too,” Kambourides said. “They have a wrong concept of ownership, as if the land sold will be taken to another country.”
Most developers prefer to buy sites on a freehold basis because it enables them to build homes that can ultimately be sold outright, Perrotis said.
Land sold by the state would remain accessible to the public, according to Kambourides. Investment attracted by the sales will create jobs and lift the economy after Greek unemployment reached 14.2 percent in the fourth quarter, the highest since the introduction of the euro.
The Hellenic Public Real Estate Corporation, the state’s property-management arm, has already announced that 20 plots of land, including some on the Aegean island of Samos and the port of Lavrio, will be offered for development and “ownership will remain with the Greek state.”
Kambourides began his career at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) working on real estate and private equity transactions in the U.K., France and Spain. He went on to become a founding partner of Soros Real Estate Partners before setting up Dolphin.



‘Orderly Process’

“The value is definitely there,” Kambourides said. “It’s more a matter of the government’s ability to carry out an orderly sales process.”
The state still has some work to do: Greece is the only country in Europe without a centralized registry of deeds. About 40 percent of registered state properties are disputed and an additional 25 percent don’t have enough data on their legal status and are “questionable,” Papaconstantinou told lawmakers earlier this year.
The cumbersome approval procedures and competing claims over land resulting in lengthy court battles are both factors that have deterred foreign investment. Jones Lang LaSalle ranked Greece 29th on its Global Real Estate Transparency Index for 2010, below Spain, Italy and Portugal.
“The government still has to prove it can apply the new legislation,” Kambourides said, “‘Foreign investment will be harder to attract without a proper land-usage plan and a completed land registry.”
 
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tommy271

Forumer storico
Greece's Intralot 2010 profit misses forecasts



ATHENS, March 31 | Wed Mar 30, 2011 9:00pm EDT



ATHENS, March 31 (Reuters) - Greece's Intralot (INLr.AT), the world's second-largest lottery systems provider, said on Thursday 2010 net profit dropped 26.5 percent, mainly hurt by write-downs.
Net profit dropped to 36.6 million euros, below an average forecast of 47.6 million in a recent Reuters poll. Results were burdened by write-downs and provisions of 5 million euros, though that was much lower than the 18.5 million it booked in 2009.
Intralot offers gaming platforms and operates sports betting and video lotto machines for online poker sites and casinos in about 50 countries. In Greece, it is the technology vendor for the country's betting monopoly OPAP (OPAr.AT), Europe's biggest listed gambling company.
Intralot has said it was considering quitting "non-performing" operations around the world to save costs.
Group sales rose 23.5 percent to 1.1 billion euros, at the high end of market expectations, boosted by the acquisition earlier in the year of a strategic stake in a Jamaican lottery operator and new operations in the United States and Italy.

***
Corporate.
 
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tommy271

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Greek Stake Sales Will Help Boost Athens Exchange, Chairman Says

By Maria Petrakis and Eleni Chrepa - Mar 31, 2011 7:30 AM GMT+0200 Thu Mar 31 05:30:01 GMT 2011



Greece’s stock exchange expects to benefit from a 50 billion-euro ($70 billion) pipeline of state- asset sales and is preparing to take a leading regional role as the industry’s largest companies merge.
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou has pledged to sell government assets to pay down a debt burden that has swelled to the biggest in Europe as a proportion of gross domestic product. Greece’s credit rating was cut two steps by Standard & Poor’s to BB- on March 29, three levels below investment grade.
“The number one issue now is to be an effective organized market so we can contribute to the state-asset sales and mergers about which we hear so much,” Athens Exchange Chairman Socrates Lazaridis said in an interview in Athens on March 28. That “will help lead to a recovery in the Greek economy.”
Lazaridis dismissed concerns that the government is moving too slowly on asset sales, which could lift volumes on the bourse much as fundraising by banks did last year as the debt crisis depleted deposits and capital.
“When you rush in, you trip,” he said.
Greece’s ASE Index has risen 10 percent in 2011, the most of the 18 western European markets. Thessaloniki Port Authority SA and Piraeus Port Authority (PPA) SA, the nation’s largest state- controlled ports, led gains. The fates of those stakes are currently being examined, along with that of the government’s other holdings in both listed and closely held companies.


Default Speculation

The ASE is climbing back from a 36 percent slump last year that was caused by speculation the country would be forced to default. National Bank of Greece SA (ETE), which makes up 12 percent of the index’s weighting, tumbled 61 percent in 2010.
More than $20 billion of exchange acquisitions have been announced in the past five months as venues in North America, Europe and Asia try to cut costs and offset declining profits from equity trading with options, futures and derivatives. The deals include Frankfurt-based Deutsche Boerse AG (DB1) agreeing in February to buy New York-based NYSE Euronext (NYX) for about $9.5 billion, creating the world’s largest exchange operator.
Lazaridis, who’s also chief executive officer of Hellenic Exchanges SA, operator of the Athens stock and derivatives exchanges, said the recent merger activity pointed to the need to provide a more extensive regional service for clients.
The eastern Mediterranean “could be a point at which there is one of these geographical hubs,” he said. Hellenic Exchanges, known as Helex, introduced its XNET service to simplify cross-border trading earlier this month.


Stronger Position

Lazaridis said he’s open to teaming with rivals and that he’s aiming for the Greek exchange to be in a stronger position in 2 1/2 years, after which time he predicts the field will be clearer for smaller bourses like his own.
“Whatever brings value to shareholders and stakeholders makes sense in a changing environment such as the one markets find themselves in now,” he said. “That response doesn’t mean that there is something being discussed.”
Non-resident investors held 51 percent of the market value of all stocks listed on the Athens Stock Exchange in February, up from 49 in the same month a year earlier. The most frequent questions from investors regard a firm tax regime, state asset- sale plans and Greeks’ ability to adapt to the austerity measures taken to cut the budget deficit, Lazaridis said.

(Bloomberg)
 
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tommy271

Forumer storico
Unveiling of key policies set for April 15

Government decides to present privatization plan, midterm goals and new austerity measures on April 15


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April 15 has become a watershed moment for the government as it was decided on Wednesday that apart from the privatization plan, PASOK would also unveil its midterm economic goals and the extra austerity measures it intends to adopt this year.

Following a cabinet meeting on Wednesday, sources revealed that all three key pieces of policy planning would be unveiled in just over two weeks. By putting all his eggs in one basket, Prime Minister George Papandreou is taking the risk of provoking a negative reaction not only from the opposition parties but from PASOK MPs as well.

The issue of privatizations has already stirred discontent within the ruling party and among ministers, forcing Papandreou to say that he would pass a law preventing any government from selling public land without Parliament’s approval. However, following talks with the European Union and the International Monetary Fund, the government has committed to raising 50 billion euros from privatizations by 2015.

Serious doubts have been expressed about whether Greece can meet such a target but the government plans to set out a roadmap on April 15 for achieving this goal.

On the same day, the government will unveil its midterm fiscal plan, which covers the period 2012 to 2015. Papandreou and his team will have to find a way to raise 22 billion euros on top of another 1.8 billion that must be cut this year. Greece’s target is to bring the deficit down to 1 percent of gross domestic product by 2015.

Of the 22 billion euros, 15 billion will come from spending cuts and 7 billion from increased revenues, according to government plans. The Finance Ministry is hoping that a reduction in the number of civil servants will play a vital role in achieving these targets. It is estimated that 150,000 people will leave the civil service by 2015.

In an attempt to quash the disquiet in the Cabinet about the important decisions that will be taken over the next couple of weeks, Papandreou asked his ministers to refrain from expressing their concerns publicly. He also took a swipe at the media, saying that some outlets have been exaggerating disagreements on purpose. Papandreou described the relationship between the media and politicians and parties as an “illness.”


ekathimerini.com , Wednesday March 30, 2011 (22:33)
 
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tommy271

Forumer storico
Bond euro, futures apre stabile, Irlanda resta sotto pressione

giovedì 31 marzo 2011 08:49




LONDRA, 31 marzo (Reuters) - Apertura nel segno della
stabilità per il futures sul Bund, con i rendimenti dei titoli
irlandesi che probabilmente resteranno elevati nelle attese di
un taglio del rating del paese, attese che potrebbero offuscare
la radicale ristrutturazione del settore bancario.

Oggi verranno comunicati dalla banca centrale irlandese i
risultati degli stress test alle banche del paese. Secondo il
quotidiano Irish Indipendent gli stress test dovrebbero rivelare
un bisogno di 20-25 miliardi di euro di mezzi freschi nelle
quattro maggiori banche irlandesi.

"Il mercato non è ancora sicuro sulla direzione da prendere,
in attesa che i dati inizino a uscire, e sembra che le attese
dei tassi d'interesse siano state eccessive... allora i
rendimenti non andranno necessariamente a salire" dice un
trader.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
EU rescue fund head Regling sees risks on Greek debt






BERLIN, March 31 | Thu Mar 31, 2011 3:32am EDT



BERLIN, March 31 (Reuters) - European authorities and the the International Monetary Fund believe Greece will be able to pay back all of its debts but there are risks to that assumption, the head of Europe's rescue fund said.
"All the responsible authorities -- the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Commission -- are assuming so far that Athens can pay back all its debt," Klaus Regling, head of the European Financial Stability Facility, told Germany daily Sueddeutsche Zeitung.
"There are of course risks," he added.
Regling played down the risks of a spread of debt troubles in the euro zone, saying markets had come to the conclusion that there were only three countries in the bloc with acute financial problems.
"The danger that one country in the crisis infects another is significantly lower than it was six months ago," he said. "Attention is focused on three small countries -- Greece, Ireland and Portugal. It is clear that Spain no longer belongs on this list."
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Moody's non esclude altri declassamenti paesi zona euro

giovedì 31 marzo 2011 10:15






LONDRA, 31 marzo (Reuters) - Non è possibile escludere ulteriori declassamenti per i paesi della zona euro, dal momento che le misure annunciate la scorsa settimana dall'Unione europea sono insufficienti per risolvere la crisi del debito.
Lo sostiene Moody's Investors Service in una dichiarazione ad hoc.
Le misure hanno confermato l'impegno dei politici Ue sul fronte del fondo di salvataggio per i paesi in difficoltà, tuttavia, la questione cruciale per le nazioni sotto pressione rimane l'incertezza sul loro profilo di solvibilità, spiega l'agenzia di rating.
"Dati questi sviluppi, i nostri rating sovrani nella zona euro saranno guidati da tre ipotesi che sono state confermate dalle dichiarazioni giunte venerdì [dal summit europeo]: la mancanza di un sostegno riguardo alla solvibilità, la possibilità di ristrutturazioni del debito e altre forme di default sovrano e la nostra aspettativa del permanere di difficoltà di finanziarsi [per i paesi sovrani]", si legge nella dichiarazione di Moody's.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
A metà mattinata la Borsa di Atene rimane sostanzialmente invariata, con frequenti escursioni tra il rosso e il verde.
Attualmente l'indice ASE segna 1559 punti a + 0,03%.

Molto deboli e in lieve allargamento i nostri spread intorno a 955 pb.
 
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tommy271

Forumer storico
I TITOLI DEI GIORNALI:

The government's changes in public high schools and speculation over new austerity measures mostly dominated the headlines in the Thursday edition of Athens' dailies.



The Athens newspaper headlines at a glance



ADESMEFTOS TYPOS: "Police sweep against protection rackets, mobsters".

AVGI: "Calvary of entrance exams for four years".

AVRIANI: "Storm of new austerity measures to cover widening deficit".

DEMOKRATIA: "Memorandum bomb -- PASOK MP slandering (PM) Papandreou and FinMin Papaconstantinou".

ELEFTHERI ORA: "Operation 'shutdown' against small newspapers by PASOK junta".

ELEFTHEROS TYPOS: "New high school with five traps and full-scale tutorial school".

ELEFTHEROTYPIA: "New high school with old recipe".

ESTIA: "Prime minister isn't persuading".

ETHNOS: "New high school with 19 fewer lessons".

IMERISSIA: "Heightened powers to state-appointed bank commissioners".

KATHIMERINI: "Tighter state control of banks by the state".

LOGOS: "Economic recovery (!) brings new austerity measures".

ΝΕΑ: "Axing of tax breaks for first residence loans".

RIZOSPASTIS: " 'New high school' deeply class-based; against young people's education".

NAFTEMPORIKI: "Listed companies lose four billion euros in profits".

VRADYNI: "Seizures over debts commence".

(ana.gr)
 
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