Greece May Restructure Next Year, Deutsche Bank’s Ruskin Says: Tom Keene
By Catarina Saraiva and Tom Keene - May 10, 2011 5:43 PM GMT+0200 Tue May 10 15:43:40 GMT 2011
A restructuring of Greece’s sovereign debt will happen eventually and may occur next year, according to Deutsche Bank AG’s
Alan Ruskin.
“Eventually Greece has to restructure,” Ruskin, global head of Group-of-10 foreign-exchange strategy at Deutsche Bank in New York, said in a radio interview on “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene. “It’s just a question of first ring-fencing all the potential losers. What you’re going to get now is the idea of Greece getting funding now so it won’t have to go to the market in 2012.”
Banks that own Greek debt and the
European Central Bank would likely lose capital in a restructuring, according to Ruskin,
who said such an overhaul may occur after France’s national elections next year.
Greece, which accepted a 110 billion euro ($158 billion) bailout from the European Union and
International Monetary Fund last year, may receive additional assistance, the Athens newspaper Kathimerini and Germany’s Handelsblatt reported.
The Greek two-year yield dropped 43 basis points, or 0.43 percentage point, to 25.18 percent after declining by as much as 95 basis points, the most since May 3. The yield rose 27 basis points yesterday after Standard & Poor’s cut Greece’s debt rating two levels to B, citing the likelihood of a need for restructuring.
While euro-region officials said after an unscheduled May 6 meeting in Luxembourg that Greece needs “a further adjustment program,” Germany’s
Chancellor Angela Merkel told reporters today in Berlin that it’s too early to decide.
“In the meantime the idea is to keep a gun to the likes of Greece’s head so they actually get their fiscal house in order,” Ruskin said.
(Bloomberg)
***
Altro analista, altro giro ...