Titoli di Stato area Euro GRECIA Operativo titoli di stato - Cap. 1

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Fugnoli ha scritto sempre tanto bene dell'azionario ...
da 22000 a 18000 ... :eek:
chissà se fa un minimo di autocritica

Fugnoli continua a essere long e giudica questi rovesci un occasione di acquisto.

Nell'ultimo numero ho trovato delle analogie tra le sue analisi ed il Tremonti-pensiero "... il Titanic e la prima classe ...." e poi gli Eurobond.

Certo che con un Tesoro unico (oltre ad una moneta unica) molte cose sarebbero diverse.

E poi ci sarebbero da armonizzare anche i sistemi fiscali ed tante altre cose .....

Non lo faranno mai!

Continueremo ad essere un Europa solo di carta .... moneta
 
Situazione sempre in bilico sui "periferici", ma abbastanza stazionaria sulla Grecia.
Ormai la Germania spinge verso il coinvolgimento dei privati che potrebbe risolversi in un haircut sui titoli sovrani, un'operazione che getterebbe ulteriore fuoco su tutto il resto del "Club Med".
Già ora siamo su spread insostenibili, nel lungo periodo, per Spagna e Italia. Urge quindi una decisione forte e rassicurante.
Le politiche di contenimento interne dei deficit, approvate dai parlamenti di Madrid e di Roma, non risolvono nulla. L'abbiamo visto ... la speculazione non molla davanti ad ipotesi di azzeramento del deficit/Pil quando è tutta l'impalcatura ad essere sotto pressione.
Serve un'operazione di portata europea.
E' proprio per questo che la Grecia rappresenta un laboratorio, spesso perdente, delle politiche comunitarie.
Più Europa è l'unica soluzione, un ritorno indietro alle vecchie monete nazionali sarebbe una tragedia storica.
La vecchia politica delle "svalutazioni competitive" sarebbe impossibile in un mondo che nel frattempo è cambiato, con le economie emergenti in primo piano.
Il buy-back, sul debito ellenico, rimane l'unica soluzione possibile e realistica, capace di ridurre il debito ed insieme dare una risposta che le istituzioni monetarie comunitarie sono reattive.

Grecia 1441 pb. (1427)
Irlanda 1146 pb. (1162)
Portogallo 1007 pb. (1006)
Spagna 313 pb. (312)
Italia 291 pb. (285)
Belgio 155 pb. (152)
 
Fugnoli continua a essere long e giudica questi rovesci un occasione di acquisto.

Nell'ultimo numero ho trovato delle analogie tra le sue analisi ed il Tremonti-pensiero "... il Titanic e la prima classe ...." e poi gli Eurobond.

Certo che con un Tesoro unico (oltre ad una moneta unica) molte cose sarebbero diverse.

E poi ci sarebbero da armonizzare anche i sistemi fiscali ed tante altre cose .....

Non lo faranno mai!

Continueremo ad essere un Europa solo di carta .... moneta

Se si tratta di una fase, Fugnoli ha certamente ragione.
Se invece, per l'eurozona, è l'inizio della fine dell'Euro ... meglio affidarsi allo Spirito Santo.
 
Greek bond market closing report


(ANA-MPA) -- The yield spread between the 10-year Greek and German benchmark bonds widened slightly to 14.13 pct in the domestic electronic secondary bond market on Thursday, from 14.10 pct on Wednesday, with the Greek bond yielding 16.86 pct and the German Bund 2.73 pct. Turnover in the market remained a low 6.0 million euros, of which 4.0 million were sell orders and the remaining 2.0 million euros were buy orders. The 10-year benchmark bond was the most heavily traded security with a turnover of 4.0 million euros.

In interbank markets, interest rates were mixed. The 12-month rate was unchanged at 2.17 pct, the six-month rate also unchanged at 1.81 pct, the three-month rate was 1.60 pct and the three-month rate rose to 1.45 pct.

(ana.gr)

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Anche sul mercato ellenico non si scambia più nulla ...
 
Greek inflation unchanged



ANA-MPA/Greek inflation remained unchanged at 3.1 percent in June compared to May, according to figures released on Thursday in Brussels by Eurostat.
During the same period, the Euro area annual inflation also remained unchaged, at 2.7 percent, in June compared to May, and the annual inflation for the entire EU was 3.1 percent in June, down from 3.2 percent in May, recording a monthly inflation rate of -0.1 percent.
More specifically, Greek annual inflation was unchanged at 3.1 percent in June against May, with the monthly inflation rate for June at 0.0 percent.ana-mpa
Euro area annual inflation was 2.7% in June 20112, unchanged compared to May. A year earlier the rate was 1.5%. Monthly inflation was 0.0% in June 2011.
EU annual inflation was 3.1% in June 2011, down from 3.2% in May. A year earlier the rate was 1.9%. Monthly inflation was -0.1% in June 2011.
Inflation in the EU Member States: In June 2011, the lowest annual rates were observed in Sweden (1.5%), Slovenia (1.6%) and the Czech Republic (1.9%), and the highest in Romania (8.0%), Estonia (4.9%) and Lithuania (4.8%).
Compared with May 2011, annual inflation fell in fourteen Member States, remained stable in six and rose in six.
The lowest 12-month averages4 up to June 2011 were registered in Sweden (1.5%), the Czech Republic and the Netherlands (both 1.8%), and the highest in Romania (7.8%), Estonia (4.7%) and Greece (4.6%).


(ana.gr)
 
secondo me tra un po' mollano la pressione ...
ma sotto i 200 il ns. spread non ci torna
e poi a novembre nuovo attacco magari su Spagna,
e trascinano tutti i pigs di nuovo giù
 
Government braces for selective default



Cabinet debates how to handle debt event as Venizelos accuses Samaras of misleading voters


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For the first time since Greece’s credit crisis began, the Cabinet met on Thursday to discuss how the government would manage the public impact of a selective default on its debt, a development which now seems inevitable.
Prime Minister George Papandreou told his ministers that they have to be properly briefed on the meaning and implications of a selective default, which is likely to come about as a result of the involvement of the private sector in the country’s second bailout.
Some ministers expressed concern that Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos spoke publicly about a possible selective default when it is not yet clear how the private sector will come to Greece’s assistance. However, since help is likely to come in the form of extended bond maturities or lower interest rates, as well as a bond buyback scheme, it is almost certain that at least one of the three rating agencies will deem that Athens has, in part, defaulted on its debt.
Papandreou backed Venizelos’s handling of the issue and said it was important for the government to make it clear that being classified as being in selective default was not the same as Greece defaulting and going bankrupt. Venizelos said that it would not create problems for Greek banks either.
According to rating agency Standard & Poor’s, a debtor is in selective default when “payments may not be made on some financial obligations.” This, the government stresses, is not the same as a recognition that Greece cannot pay back any of its debts.
The interpretation of the term has gained utmost significance in terms of PASOK’s tussle with New Democracy over the handling of the economy. ND leader Antonis Samaras said on Wednesday that “default” was not a word in his party’s vocabulary. But Venizelos accused the conservative leader yesterday of trying to present to voters a lightening of Greece’s debt load as a total default.
“If some people choose to translate irresponsibly, in populist terms and for petty political reasons the term ‘selective default,’ I respond by stressing that it is not the same as a credit event, nor default or bankruptcy but a temporary rating of Greek bonds.”
Officials from the European Central Bank, the European Commission and private lenders met in Rome on Thursday to discuss a second rescue plan for Greece. European Union leaders are expected to meet on the same issue next week.






ekathimerini.com , Thursday Jul 14, 2011 (22:24)

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Politica interna.
 
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