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Obbligazioni societarieHIGH YIELD e oltre, verso frontiere inesplorate - Vol. 1
Company profile Gol Linhas Aéreas Inteligentes, GOL, is the largest low-cost and low-fare airline in Latin America, with more than 800 daily flights that connect the most important cities in Brazil and major destinations in America. Along with TAM (not covered), the company shares a large portion of the Brazilian passenger air traffic. Headwinds continue We are maintaining a Sell recommendation on the issuer as the ongoing industry consolidation and depreciated BRL have deteriorated the financial situation of the company significantly. Despite the recent reduction in capacity, GOL is still far from resuming healthy levels of profitability. The high level of inflation in the Brazilian economy and prospect of a weaker BRL complicates the outlook of a recovery as they might likely jeopardise attempts to keep costs in check. Luckily, the company has assets it can spin off, such as the Smiles mileage programme, which should provide adequate liquidity to the company over the coming years. Infrastructure developments for the next football World Cup and the 2016 Olympics, which will take place in Brazil, should provide some tailwinds to the company. However, 2013 should be a challenging year for the company unless oil prices fall substantially from current levels. We continue to recommend
selling positions in GOL
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scusate l'impaginazione del cacchio ------------------------2010 2011 2012
Revenues (BRLmn) 6'979 7'539 8'104
Op Expenses (BRLmn) 6'281 7'784 9'009
EBITDA (BRLmn) 1'535 656 258
EBITDA Margin 22.0% 8.71% 3.18%
Net Income (BRLmn) 214 -773 -1'513
Cash & Equ (BRLmn) 1'978 2'348 1'585
Total Debt (BRLmn) 3'741 4'991 5'191
Net Debt (BRLmn) 1'763 2'643 3'606
Net Debt / EBITDAR 1.1 4.0 14.0
EBITDA / Fin Expenses 2.9 0.4 -0.8