Obbligazioni societarie HIGH YIELD e oltre, verso frontiere inesplorate - Vol. 1

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Anche Norske 2016 giù dalle scale :mmmm:
 

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Non sapevo che l'americana T-mobile fosse detenuta al 65% da deutsche telekom. Qualche mese fa alcuni dei suoi bond erano sotto la pari. peccato; occasione persa.
 
Bloomberg: Mining Stocks Are Taking a Beating

Glencore Plc and Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. led a global slump in mining shares on concern China’s devaluation of the yuan will sap demand for commodities.
Glencore, the mining and commodities company led by billionaire Ivan Glasenberg, tumbled as much as 11 percent to a record low in Hong Kong Wednesday, while iron ore exporter Fortescue fell as much as 9.1 percent and closed down 8 percent in Sydney. BHP Billiton Ltd. slid as much as 5 percent in Sydney and closed 4.3 percent lower.
China’s central bank cut the value of the yuan for a second day as policy makers stepped up efforts to support exporters and boost the role of market pricing in Asia’s largest economy. The yuan headed for its biggest two-day drop in 21 years on Wednesday after the People’s Bank of China’s reference rate was lowered to the weakest level since 2012.
“We expect Chinese commodity demand to decline in the short term as the devaluation makes Chinese imports more expensive, and increase in the long term, if the devaluation succeeds in stimulating Chinese exports and the economy,” RBC Capital Markets said in an Aug. 11 note to clients after the first cut.
The devaluation raises the risk that exports from China will increase, adding more metal to markets that are already oversupplied. A weaker yuan may also make imports for Chinese businesses more expensive and cut demand for raw materials in the world’s biggest consumer of commodities.
“China may export more semi-finished product, which should put pressure on commodity prices, hurting guys like Glencore,” John Meyer, a mining analyst at SP Angel Corporate Finance LLP, said by phone from London.

London Metals
Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. fell as much as 4.1 percent in Tokyo, while Freeport-McMoRan Inc., which said on Monday it planned to sell as much as $1 billion in shares, plunged 12 percent Tuesday in New York.
All six main metals on the London Metal Exchange fell, as nickel touched the lowest price since 2008 and copper fell as much as 1.2 percent. The Bloomberg World Mining Index of 79 producers tumbled 2 percent.
While China’s decision was creating “short-term fluctuations,” the longer-term outlook for copper remains promising, according to OZ Minerals Ltd., an Australian producer that fell 5.1 percent in Sydney trading on Wednesday.
“Copper is not connected to any one country, it’s not connected to any one industry,” OZ Minerals Chief Executive Officer Andrew Cole said Wednesday on a conference call with reporters.
 

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petrol ad

Il problema è che qui non c'è trasparenza, zero comunicazioni, zero reports. Il bond è stato emesso da Naftex, una controllata di Petrol AD, che ha chiesto concordato preventivo all'italiana o qualcosa di simile per proteggersi dai creditori. Il punto,poi, è che ad andare in default non sarebbe il bond in euro, ma tutto il carrozzone del debito e Petrol AD 8,375% sarebbe in "cross default" essendo la prossima cedola a gennaio 2016.

Nientedi più;

Jul 08, 2015- Bulgarian Fuel Retailer Petrol 1Q Net Income Up to 37.7m Lev Y/y
(Bloomberg) -- Jan.-March net income rises from 56,000 lev yr earlier, Bulgaria’s biggest fuel retailer Petrol says in regulatory filing.
· Sales rev. increases to 138.2m lev from 119.6m lev yr earlier

May 05, 2015- Bulgaria’s Petrol 2014 Net Loss 258m Lev vs 4.4m Lev Profit Y/y
(Bloomberg) -- Ebitda at 263m lev loss in 2014 vs 8.7m lev profit yr earlier on impaired assets, Bulgaria’s biggest fuel retailer Petrol says in regulatory filing.
· Sales rise to 758m lev from 584m lev yr earlier
· NOTE: Petrol has 339 filling stations in Bulgaria and competes with Bulgarian units of OAO Lukoil, Austria’s OMV and Shell, co. says in statement


BULGARIA: Petrol (5PET BU) books BGN 33.8m profit from sale of subsidiaries
 
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Grazie Bri, secondo me sì. Si tratta di un bond breve, Abengoa è una multinazionale il cui ultimo obiettivo è quello di perdere credibilità sul mercato rischiando di veder vanificati così anche tutti i business in cantiere come quello in Messico annunciato due gg fa e in Regno Unito. Il 2016 è interessante per la breve duration e la copertura già preventivata da accantonamenti e annunciata dal management precedentemente. A causa degli scarsi volumi, Agosto è un mese molto particolari che può provocare scossoni inaspettati sia in tema equity che in tema bond, figuriamoci sugli HY che già operano quotidianamente in un contesto caratterizzato da scarsi volumi. Penso che il panico sia quasi sempre un pessimo alleato soprattutto se accompagnato da informazioni scarse. Partendo dal presupposto che non avremo mai a disposizione tutte le informazioni, Abengoa ha peccato nella comunicazione creando così panico e svalutazioni impressionanti. Vi ricordo ad esempio Norske 2017 7% che finì a 50 qualche mese fa.

Sempre Forza norske !
 
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