Mi faccio il Thread cosi'...

..........i Commercial Traders riducono la loro posizione NET LONG cedendo circa 30.000 contratti long ai Large Traders.


Cao Drive :)

tale riduzione si è avuta comunque con OI in forte calo, dovuta alla prossimità delle scadenze.....scommetto nelle prox settimane confermeranno l'accumulo long...

:ciao:
 
La rete e' uno stillicidio..sono tutti bearish

e' semplicissimo...

trend-follower..

i dubbi sono : da qui ed in questo periodo ???
 

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2 idee per la settimana
 

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dax

With the impulsive down leg most likely completed it is reasonable to expect a countertrend rebound that should reach the 0.382 retracement = 5967

The first big resistance is at last Thursday´s gap down = 5346
 

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chiaro e coinciso

USD

The short-term Elliott Wave count of the USD index is shown below, with the thought pattern forming denoted in green. Wave [E] is clearly underway at present, and should have at least another 4 1/2 -6 1/2 months of upside. Technical charts suggest sideways to moderately higher prices in the USD index over the course of the next 7-10 trading days before partially retracing the sharp move that occurred during the fist two weeks of September.
 

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The mid-term Elliott Wave count of the USD index is shown below, with the thought pattern forming denoted in green. The bottoming pattern for wave [D] took longer to complete than expected, so the proposed rising pattern will likely occur, but shifted out in time by 4 months. The minimum upside target is 81-83, with an upside extreme of 85-87. All of this should occur by early February to April 2012. This is the minimum time frame expected and it could evolve into a longer pattern if wave [E] forms a triangle within a triangle (this occurrence could drag out wave [E] by 12 months). When these things happen they are immediately noted, but the passage of time must occur for that to happen.
 

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Ultima modifica:
questo e' un altro che analizza cosa produce sul mercato un dollaro forte
scontata l'affermazione finale.

Movements in the dollar influence commodity prices, commodity prices influence bonds, which then influence stocks:

  • A falling weaker dollar pushes up the price of commodities, rising commodity prices tend to push bond prices lower. A falling dollar is bearish for bonds and stocks because it is inflationary
  • A rising dollar is noninflationary so the rising dollar produces lower commodity prices. Lower commodity prices lead to lower interest rates and higher bond prices. Higher bond prices are bullish for stocks
  • Commodity markets move in the same direction as Treasury bond yields and in the opposite direction of bond prices - bond prices and bond yields move in opposite directions
he sheer size of the European bailouts would be inflationary - a weaker US dollar - and a market return to "normal" would resolve the current uncertainty. Today the dollar is up and commodities are down but more money creation, on a massive scale, an unprecedented level, is both necessary and coming. Inflation is "baked into the cake" for the foreseeable future. In today's fiat money driven economies deflation is simply unacceptable.

When a government wants inflation they will get it.
 

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