NEO_99
Forumer storico
questo è difficile da dire....
le 16:30 è una scommessa...
tornerei long se rivede i minimi recenti ... mentre su allunghi cipperei un po di short, senza esagerare ( uragani sono dietro l'angolo )
ETC Natural Gas (89 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione NEO_99
- Data di Inizio
questo è difficile da dire....
le 16:30 è una scommessa...
tornerei long se rivede i minimi recenti ... mentre su allunghi cipperei un po di short, senza esagerare ( uragani sono dietro l'angolo )
NEO_99
Forumer storico
dopo i dati spero in una botta up,almeno compro un pò di snga.
ciao Furia ..
per essere up ci vuol un buon dato , magari accompagnato da previsioni meteo favorevoli...
NEO_99
Forumer storico
nn sono cos' diffidente.... le previsioni sono gia prezzate, poi alla loro diffusione se scostano molto il mercato reagisce...
rimane cmq una scommessa ...chi crede in un dato migliore si mette long.. viceversa short.. oppure flat almeno per una volta nn si sbaglia
NEO_99
Forumer storico
Natural-gas futures fell Wednesday on some profit-taking ahead of a weekly inventory report while a heat wave supporting prices rolled toward the East Coast.
Natural gas for August delivery settled down 3.3 cents, or 0.7%, at $4.500 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The benchmark contract almost reached $4.60 during the session, but fell as low as $4.433/MMBtu before paring some losses.
There was some pre-report profit-taking during the session as traders waited for data from the Energy Department, said Gene McGillian, an analyst with Tradition Energy.
The market was being cautious ahead of the report, he said, as the last two weeks have resulted in larger-than-expected injections of natural gas that triggered prices to fall.
In a Dow Jones Newswires survey, analysts and traders said they expect the Energy Information Administration to report that 62 billion cubic feet of gas was added to storage during the week ended July 15. That result would be above last year's 55-bcf storage build but below the five-year average injection of 67 bcf.
"We probably need an injection of less than 55 [bcf] to get to that $4.75 level," McGillian said.
Injections that are below predictions often lift prices, while those that exceed expectations typically push prices lower.
Futures have risen nearly 50 cents in the past two weeks due to strong seasonal factors.
An "increasing mix of short-term temperature forecasts" drove some of the market's volatility Wednesday, said Jim Ritterbusch, head of trading advisory firm Ritterbusch & Associates, in a client note.
Temperatures in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast are expected to surge into the upper 90s and low 100s from Thursday to Saturday, investment bank Macquarie said in a weekly report.
Heat and humidity in the Midwest have already pushed heat index levels above 100 degrees this week.
Demand for natural gas is likely to rise in the next few days as those in the eastern half of the country seek ways to cool off. The power-plant fuel is used to generate electricity to power air conditioning.
Natural gas for August delivery settled down 3.3 cents, or 0.7%, at $4.500 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The benchmark contract almost reached $4.60 during the session, but fell as low as $4.433/MMBtu before paring some losses.
There was some pre-report profit-taking during the session as traders waited for data from the Energy Department, said Gene McGillian, an analyst with Tradition Energy.
The market was being cautious ahead of the report, he said, as the last two weeks have resulted in larger-than-expected injections of natural gas that triggered prices to fall.
In a Dow Jones Newswires survey, analysts and traders said they expect the Energy Information Administration to report that 62 billion cubic feet of gas was added to storage during the week ended July 15. That result would be above last year's 55-bcf storage build but below the five-year average injection of 67 bcf.
"We probably need an injection of less than 55 [bcf] to get to that $4.75 level," McGillian said.
Injections that are below predictions often lift prices, while those that exceed expectations typically push prices lower.
Futures have risen nearly 50 cents in the past two weeks due to strong seasonal factors.
An "increasing mix of short-term temperature forecasts" drove some of the market's volatility Wednesday, said Jim Ritterbusch, head of trading advisory firm Ritterbusch & Associates, in a client note.
Temperatures in the mid-Atlantic and Northeast are expected to surge into the upper 90s and low 100s from Thursday to Saturday, investment bank Macquarie said in a weekly report.
Heat and humidity in the Midwest have already pushed heat index levels above 100 degrees this week.
Demand for natural gas is likely to rise in the next few days as those in the eastern half of the country seek ways to cool off. The power-plant fuel is used to generate electricity to power air conditioning.
NEO_99
Forumer storico
quando agosto lasciera' spazio a settembre nn si sentira' l'impatto, piu che altro perche' il contango sta gia facendo il suo sporco lavoro. ( calcola che l'etc è su settembre ed è in back su agosto ...ma a giugno quando ha rollato, settembre nn era in back ...la lenta erosione ha gia infierito..
vi ricordo che ad agosto si rolla su novembre ed inizia il calvario.... se l'estate passera' senza uragani o novita' che diano un motivo per salire.... gli ETC rischiano di arrivare a fine autunno con le ossa rotte.
NEO_99
Forumer storico
forse è il loss che mi fa essere diffidente
ciao ,notte a tutti..
ma sei esposto sul gas ?
kleinklepura
Forumer storico
Sono fiducioso,secondo me sale,4'65 -4'75 in 6-7 sedute al max,e' solo la mia opinnione................ciao.
speriamo che salga ancora un pochino che inizio ad attenzionare lo short....