maxgas
SonLoss
ciao, 15000 punti di nostrano? o peggio?
ETC Natural Gas (4 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione NEO_99
- Data di Inizio
foo fighter
Forumer storico
se il dax finisce l'intermedio dovrebbe andare almeno a 7000, secondo me noi andiamo sotto i 15k. In effetti noi non abbiamo un trimestrale che si deve chiudere, siamo solo al secondo mensile. Se sta girando in negativo il trimestrale il prossimo mensile sarà negativo. O escono con qualche altro coniglione dal cilindro, o andiamo giù di brutto. Ad ogni modo per ora solo speculazioni e che siamo in una fase sort di fine mensile o intermedio (dax e sp500)
NEO_99
Forumer storico
Ecco le previsioni di Ben.
this weeks storage poll is for week ending 9/21 and reported by EIA on 9/27.
observation:
shoulder season temperatures continue having little impact on demand.
last weeks weather came in cooler than the week earlier but remained warmer than average, cutting down on heating demand that starts increasing at this time.
wx normalized power burns remain strong as nuclear outages continue to run roughly 4,000 to 5,000 MW higher than normal.
exports to mexico remain roughly 5 bcf per week higher than last yr.
canadian imports remain strong, roughly 2 bcf per week higher than last yr.
U.S. supply increased over 5 bcf from the week prior to put total output back near pre-Isaac/peak summer demand highs.
limited pipeline capacities in the east indicates continued regional storage redistribution and strong injections in the east.
only minor pipeline maintenance limiting flows, but main scheduled maintenance will be in October.
this weeks injection is likely our largest of the fall season.
storage week total population weighted degree demand (HDD + CDD) --
last week: 53 (30cdd 23hdd)
previous week: 55 (43cdd 12hdd)
same week last yr: 49 (28cdd 21hdd)
avg: 69 (34cdd 35hdd)
* source: NOAA
storage:
same week last yr: +104
5-yr avg: +76
*note: avg and last year storage figures are calculated using this historical data-set provided by eia:http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngsstats.xls
my estimate is +75 bcf
this weeks storage poll is for week ending 9/21 and reported by EIA on 9/27.
observation:
shoulder season temperatures continue having little impact on demand.
last weeks weather came in cooler than the week earlier but remained warmer than average, cutting down on heating demand that starts increasing at this time.
wx normalized power burns remain strong as nuclear outages continue to run roughly 4,000 to 5,000 MW higher than normal.
exports to mexico remain roughly 5 bcf per week higher than last yr.
canadian imports remain strong, roughly 2 bcf per week higher than last yr.
U.S. supply increased over 5 bcf from the week prior to put total output back near pre-Isaac/peak summer demand highs.
limited pipeline capacities in the east indicates continued regional storage redistribution and strong injections in the east.
only minor pipeline maintenance limiting flows, but main scheduled maintenance will be in October.
this weeks injection is likely our largest of the fall season.
storage week total population weighted degree demand (HDD + CDD) --
last week: 53 (30cdd 23hdd)
previous week: 55 (43cdd 12hdd)
same week last yr: 49 (28cdd 21hdd)
avg: 69 (34cdd 35hdd)
* source: NOAA
storage:
same week last yr: +104
5-yr avg: +76
*note: avg and last year storage figures are calculated using this historical data-set provided by eia:http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngsstats.xls
my estimate is +75 bcf
foo fighter
Forumer storico
per ora è ancora long. Il settimanale sembra iniziare a invertire, ma sarà più evidente domani
NEO_99
Forumer storico
a $2,5 di gennaio ( lev 0,016 ) rientro long
maxgas
SonLoss
infatti si vede bene che comprano,vendono solo quando il Long lo compro io.
foo fighter
Forumer storico
vediamo se è l'ultima sparata oppure no,
foo fighter
Forumer storico
penso anche io, in ogni caso l'annuale è ancora in spinta. Di solito per farlo girare serve un ribasso seguito da un rialzo e poi continuazione del ribasso, in breve un altro mensile