Alcuni dati su Petrobras datati 14 luglio
Tutto si gioca su un "azzardo", il Brasile non può abbandonalo, quindi farà di tutto per salvarlo ed aiutarlo nella cura... class action americane permettendo.
Anch'io in attesa di rendimenti più consoni per un HY con rischi.
Petrobras (PBR) Ratings Affirmed by S&P; Reflects Willingness of Gov't to Lend Support
The updated business plan of Brazil-based national oil and gas company Petrobras focuses on leverage reduction rather than on increasing production as seen in previous plans.
The company's new capex plan will focus on developing pre-salt reserves, while other investments will drop mainly to maintenance levels.
We are keeping the company's stand-alone credit profile (SACP) at 'b+' and affirming our 'BBB-' corporate credit rating, reflecting our view of a "very high" likelihood of a potential extraordinary government support.
The negative outlook continues to reflect Petrobras' challenges to deleverage its balance sheet and the uncertainties and contingent liabilities stemming from the ongoing corruption investigations o the company that could prevent its liquidity from improving.
Standard & Poor's Ratings Services affirmed its 'BBB-' rating on Petrobras (NYSE:
PBR) (Petrobras). At the same time, we kept the company's SACP at 'b+'. The outlook remains negative.
We also affirmed our 'BBB-' senior unsecured ratings on the notes of Petrobras' wholly-owned financing vehicles--Petrobras International Finance Co. and Petrobras Global Finance B.V.
The ratings on Petrobras continue to reflect our view of a "very high" likelihood that the government would provide timely and sufficient extraordinary support to the company's financial obligations in the event of distress. We base our view of the "very high" likelihood of support on:
Petrobras' "very important" role as both Brazil's main oil producer and its main fuel distributor.
We also consider that Petrobras' default would have a significant systemic impact on Brazil's economy, which should translate in the government's willingness to support the company.
The company's "very strong" link to the government, which owns 50.3% of Petrobras' voting shares (more than 60% if we include sovereign-related entities such as the Brazilian Development Bank [BNDES] and the Brazilian sovereign wealth fund). We consider that Petrobras' sharply weaker creditworthiness would impair the government's reputation given the latter is a strong and stable shareholder with the ability to influence the company's strategic and business plan.
The 'b+' SACP and the negative outlook continue to reflect Petrobras' challenges in deleveraging its balance sheet. The company's updated business plan focuses on leverage reduction instead of higher production curve as seen in the past. To reach a net debt-to-EBITDA target of 3.0x by 2018, Petrobras reduced investments mainly to the maintenance levels for most of its segments except for exploration and production (E&P). This segment will focus on developing pre-salt reserves. To reduce its debt, Petrobras also approved a $15.1 billion divestment plan for 2015-2016 followed by another $42.6 billion during 2017-2018 for divestments, business reorganization, and assets demobilization.
Although we acknowledge Petrobras is improving its corporate governance standards with the hiring of a new compliance director and the election of a more market-oriented board, we still need some track record of higher risks limits, controls and tolerances in order to revise our management and governance score to "fair" from the current "weak." Furthermore, even though Petrobras is gradually recovering its access to debt markets and restoring investors' confidence, it's still subject to contingent liabilities from
the class actions filed against the company in the U.S.