Obbligazioni societarie Obbligazioni Oil & Gas (1 Viewer)

Imark

Forumer storico
Vorrei chiedere, premettendo la mia infinita gratitudine per quanto i forumisti sono riusciti a trasmettermi in termini di conoscenze, lumi in merito a detta emissione XS0273933902 CHESAPEAKE 2017.
PRESCINDENDO IL RISCHIO TASSI, COME VALUTATE L'EMITTENTE?

Minimo 50k... secondo me, tutto considerato, un 8% lordo è meno di quanto dovrebbe offrire... La società è quotata negli USA, per cui attraverso i 10-Q la puoi seguire trimestre per trimestre con facilità...

Sono pesantemente levereggiati e andrebbe visto cosa hanno in programma di fare negli anni a venire ... sono anche grandi utilizzatori di strumenti finanziari che consentono di accrescere l'indebitamento, e randomicamente ho visto che non hanno avuto problemi nell'emettere titoli di debito di questo tipo durante l'anno ... questo il quadro della situazione fatto da Moody's a fine gennaio 2009, ma andrebbe aggiornato.

Moody's assigns Ba3 to Chesapeake Energy senior unsecured notes; stable outlook

Approximately $14.5 billion of debt and credit facilities affected

New York, January 28, 2009 -- Moody's Investors Service assigned a Ba3 (LGD 4; 69%) rating to Chesapeake Energy's (CHK) pending $1 billion offering of senior unsecured notes due 2015. Moody's also affirmed CHK's Ba2 Corporate Family Rating (CFR), its SGL-3 Speculative Grade Liquidity rating, and its other existing debt ratings but changed the LGD statistics to LGD 4; 69% from LGD 4; 62%. Net note proceeds will repay secured borrowings under CHK's $3.5 billion secured borrowing base bank revolver.

The rating outlook remains stable pending Moody's normal annual review of CHK's year-end 2008 results and 10-K, including the standard FAS 69 disclosures. The review will cover the reserve risk mix, components of finding and development costs and any implications for the future, net book and adjusted leverage after several forms of asset monetizations, as well as an update on CHK's prospects for leverage reduction, asset monetizations, and containing capital spending.

The ratings are supported by CHK's strong natural gas and oil price hedging coverage for 2009, the work CHK has done to strengthen its credit and liquidity profile, and continued sound production trends. The degree of strengthening in hand will be more fully gauged after full year-end results are available. Nevertheless, after a year of many strategic transactions (major joint ventures, asset sales, equity and debt offerings, and four volumetric production payments), CHK has improved its operating risk profile, fortified its liquidity, and reduced its 2009 production growth target, and capital spending budget.

CHK also reports that it has removed a large proportion of its knock-out hedge portfolio, albeit at a cost, removing the risk that a large proportion of production could end up unhedged if certain minimum natural gas price points were penetrated. As long as CHK remains leveraged and in aggressive expansion mode, a hedging program that does not include knockouts or similar features would be supportive to the ratings.

CHK also sustained its track record of debt conversions to equity, converting $765 million of convertible debt to common equity during fourth quarter 2008.

One major factor incorporated into CHK's ratings and stable outlook is its goal of restraining capital spending to within cash flow. In CHK's formation of three major drilling joint ventures, in which it sold minority working interest positions in some of its most promising plays, CHK considerably reduced its drilling risk and its capital needs. It may also have improved the odds that its 2009 reserve replacement costs would be materially lower than its elevated 2008 replacement costs. The joint ventures were formed in three areas CHK views to be core intermediate term growth engines: the Haynesville Shale, Woodford Shale, and Marcellus Shale/Appalachian Basin.

In forming the drilling joint ventures, CHK shed major risk exposures and spending obligations. At a time when it was already fully leveraged for the rating, and natural gas and oil markets were expected to remain cyclically weak, CHK faced multiple proportionally large and highly capital intensive unconventional resource developments.

The ratings are restrained by very full leverage for the ratings, a highly challenging and uncertain sector outlook, weak natural gas prices (especially at the wellhead level in key basins widely discounted from benchmark natural gas prices), a reduced pool of unpledged reserves with which to cushion against the risk of negative borrowing base redeterminations, elevated reserve replacement costs, a penchant for aggressive growth and large strategic transactions, and a highly complex financial structure.

Nevertheless, these transactions have positioned CHK strongly with a very large highly diversified drilling inventory and ample opportunity to improve basin efficiencies, in multiple major plays, adding to its strong core positions in those basins.

As of September 30, 2008, CHK fully drew down its $3.5 billion secured corporate revolver as a precaution at a time of elevated risk in the banking sector. Its subsequent forth quarter joint venture and volumetric production payment transactions added to its resulting large cash balance. Moody's believes CHK is soundly covered on its bank revolver covenants.
CHK's ratings or outlook are not affected by its announced $1.7 billion full cost ceiling test write down. Neither book fixed assets nor net worth factor into Moody's rating methodology for independent exploration and production companies (E&P's).

Moody's utilizes operating performance, leverage, volumetric scale, and diversification measures that encapsulate E&P's total capital outlays, the reserve and production response to that capital reinvestment, the combined unit economics of production and reinvestment, and leverage on a range of reserve, production, and free cash flow measures.

Moody's last rating action for CHK dates from May 20, 2008, at which time we assigned ratings to its new senior unsecured note and contingent convertible senior unsecured note offerings, affirmed CHK's ratings, and moved its rating outlook to stable from negative. The principal methodology used in rating CHK was the Global Exploration and Production (E&P) rating methodology which can be found at OpenDNS in the Credit Policy & Methodologies directory, under the Ratings Methodologies subdirectory. Other methodologies and factors that may have been considered in the process of rating CHK can also be found in the Credit Policy & Methodologies directory.

Chesapeake Energy is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Utile per una prima valutazione anche questo commento di Fitch, inizi di febbraio 2009...

Fitch Rates Chesapeake Energy's $425MM Proposed Senior Notes 'BB'; Outlook Negative
11 Feb 2009 5:29 PM (EST)

Fitch Ratings-Chicago-11 February 2009: Fitch Ratings has assigned a 'BB' rating to Chesapeake Energy Corporation's (Chesapeake) proposed senior note offering. Fitch maintains the following ratings for Chesapeake:
--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB';
--Senior unsecured debt at 'BB';
--Senior secured revolving credit facility and hedge facilities at 'BBB-';
--Convertible preferred stock at 'B+'.
The Rating Outlook remains Negative.

The proposed note offering by Chesapeake is expected to generate proceeds to be used for repaying credit facility borrowings, and as a result, near-term liquidity should be enhanced as a result of the offering. Fitch notes that the company's next borrowing base redetermination period is expected in April 2009. Declining commodity prices combined with the continued uncertainty encompassing the banking industry is expected to put pressure on banks to reduce borrowing levels in credit facilities. As Fitch has previously noted, Chesapeake has currently pledged approximately 60% of assets toward both the credit facility and the secured hedge facility. Chesapeake maintains the flexibility to increase the percentage of assets pledged to the security in these facilities in order to maintain the current borrowing base as commodity prices remain at lower levels. While this would support the company's ability to maintain liquidity at current levels, it could also reduce senior unsecured lenders position in the capital structure.

Beyond short-term liquidity concerns, Fitch continues to have concerns about other longer-term issues associated with Chesapeake. Changing financial and operational strategies combined with a continued reliance on external sources of capital continue to place pressure on the ratings. Additional sources of concern include significantly lower commodity prices, the company's aggressive growth strategy, high leverage as measured by debt/proven developed producing (pdp), the significant use of off-balance-sheet financings, the potential for weaker production levels stemming from reduced capital expenditures, and Chesapeake's strategy to monetize producing properties and reinvest proceeds into leaseholds which require significant capital expenditures before production materializes. Additionally, as Chesapeake has focused growth efforts on the newly discovered Haynesville shale, Fitch believes the company faces higher levels of operational risk, as this strategy carries with it increased risk of weaker than expected drilling results. Continued positive operational announcements over time will mitigate this risk.

Fitch anticipates meeting with company management to review full-year 2008 results as well as financial and operational plans for 2009 and beyond, and anticipate resolving the company's Rating Outlook at that time.

Chesapeake's ratings continue to be supported by the size and low risk profile of its oil and gas reserves which now approximate 12.1 trillion cubic feet equivalent (tcfe). In addition, Chesapeake continues to post very robust reserve replacement results. Both organic reserve replacement and production growth remain strong and support the company's ability to support higher leverage levels. Chesapeake's one-year reserve replacement rate at year-end 2008 is estimated to be 239%. Both the strong reserve replacement metrics and the onshore location of Chesapeake's reserves highlight the low-risk nature of the company's reserves.

Chesapeake is an Oklahoma City-based company focused on the exploration, production and development of natural gas. The company's proved reserves remain predominantly natural gas and are based 100% in the U.S. Chesapeake's operations are concentrated primarily in the Mid-Continent, South Texas, the Permian Basin and the Appalachia Basin. The company's reserve growth in recent years reflects the company's aggressive acquisition strategy and consistent success through the drill-bit.
 

malvi88

Forumer attivo
purtroppo sui mercati tedeschi non riesco a reperire un valore attendibile dell'ask del bond cheaspeake 2017..
 

Deviad

Forumer attivo
scusate, ma nel we ho avuto gente, aggiorno al volo dal lavoro ma non ho nemmeno tempo di guardarci
mercati di alcuni prezzi (grazie a Mark):
XS0273933902 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) CHESAPEAKE 2017
XS0167456267 MOT ENI 2013
IT0004503717 MOT ENI 2015
XS0451457435 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2019
XS0231264275 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) MOL 2015
XS0202649934 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) REPSOL 2014
XS0099213547 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) STATOIL 2011
XS0303256050 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2017
FR0000187080 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 10/2010

Ciao,
ti ringrazio prima di tutto per la tua dedizione e per il tempo che impieghi nell'aggiornare il monitor.
Ho, tuttavia, un problema con il file .xls. Mi dice in certi campi "#NAME?". Ad esempio, in quello relativo al rendimento netto o in quello riguardante la duration.
Mi auguro che sia una cosa facilmente risolvibile.
Saluti e auguri,
Deviad
 

samantaao

Forumer storico
Ciao,
ti ringrazio prima di tutto per la tua dedizione e per il tempo che impieghi nell'aggiornare il monitor.
Ho, tuttavia, un problema con il file .xls. Mi dice in certi campi "#NAME?". Ad esempio, in quello relativo al rendimento netto o in quello riguardante la duration.
Mi auguro che sia una cosa facilmente risolvibile.
Saluti e auguri,
Deviad

alla prima pagina:
http://www.investireoggi.it/forum/monitor-bond-oil-gas-i-vt37933.html

se in tutti i rendimenti trovi #NUM e le formule sono corrette significa che devi installare i componenti aggiuntivi, non serve il cd, è sufficiente fare:
in alto apri il menù a tendina "strumenti"
clicca su "componenti aggiuntivi"
spunta "strumenti di analisi"
clicca OK
...ora dovrebbe funzionare
 

samantaao

Forumer storico
2010!!

eccoci tornati
buon anno a tutti ragazzi
poco da dire suol comparto, che barba che noia, che noia che barba
il rischio non fa paura e gli emittenti solidi stornano un pochino, d'altra parte è successo pure ai tds...

mercati di alcuni prezzi (grazie a Mark):
XS0273933902 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) CHESAPEAKE 2017
XS0167456267 MOT ENI 2013
IT0004503717 MOT ENI 2015
XS0451457435 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2019
XS0176996956 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) GAZ CAPITAL 2010
XS0231264275 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) MOL 2015
XS0202649934 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) REPSOL 2014
XS0099213547 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) STATOIL 2011
XS0303256050 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2017
XS0410303647 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2019
FR0000187080 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 10/2010
 

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samantaao

Forumer storico
leggero rialzo delle quotazioni x tutti gli emittenti, nessuna sorpresa
si continua a raschiare il fondo dei tassi

mercati di alcuni prezzi (grazie a Mark):
XS0273933902 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) CHESAPEAKE 2017
XS0167456267 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2013
IT0004503717 MOT ENI 2015
XS0451457435 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) ENI 2019
XS0231264275 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) MOL 2015
XS0099213547 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) STATOIL 2011
XS0303256050 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 2017
FR0000187080 Xtrakter (ex ICMA) TOTAL 10/2010
 

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