Analisi Intermarket ....quelli che.... Investire&tradare - Cap. 1 (2 lettori)

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luiss

mason rocca 's fan
OI sempre in discesa.......moderata,ma calano
comunque sempre movimenti minimi negli ultimi 8 giorni
 

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gipa69

collegio dei patafisici
Headlines :

Equities rose to their biggest four-day gain since December after the Greek
Parliament supported a European bailout (SPX +1.01%, NDX +1.34%, INDU
+1.25%), and a positive Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index report.
Industrials, materials, and technology led all key S&P sectors higher with
investors seeking exposure to economic growth following the strong PMI
number. In bonds, Treasuries continued to fall as stocks rallied and the
Fed concluded QE2. Commodities were mixed, with copper trading higher while
corn tumbled on excess inventories. Crude trading was choppy on the day as
investors remained uncertain about the IEA emergency release plan for crude
stocks. In FX, the Euro climbed to the highest level in almost three weeks
on the heels of the deal in Greece.

Geithner has told Obama that he is considering stepping down as Treasury
secretary soon after policy makers agree to raise the government's
borrowing limit. No decision has been made and the president could ask
Geithner to stay.

Stock Movers :

Consumer: Visa (V, $84.26, -2.67%) and Mastercard (MA, $301.34, -2.70%)
traded down following the Federal Reserve agreeing to a cap of 22 cents on
debit card transactions.

Industrials: CF Industries Holdings. (CF, $141.67, -5.14%) traded lower
after the U.S. Department of Agriculture released inventories larger than
analyst expectations.

Technology: Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ, $36.40, +2.39%) advanced after
Reuters reported private equity firms are urging for a breakup of the
company.

Consumer: News Corp (NWS/A, $17.70, +1.78%) rose after agreeing to sell
MySpace to Specific media
for $35M in stock and cash.

Technology: NetApp, Inc. (NTAP, $52.78, +5.64%) trader higher after raising
its 2Q guidance at the company’s analyst day.


Manufacturing surprise overshadows lackluster claims data: Chicago PMI
increased to 61.1 in June from 56.6 in May, well ahead of the 54.0
consensus. The details of the report were also upbeat as new orders rose to
61.2 in June from 53.5 in May, while inventories fell sharply to 46.9 from
61.6. In addition, production jumped to 66.9 from 56.0 and prices paid were
down for a third consecutive month, falling to their lowest level since
November of late year. Initial claims fell 1K to 428K in the week-ended
25-Jun. The market was looking for a larger decline to the 420K level.
Despite the above-mentioned broad-based strength in the Chicago PMI, the
employment component was down for a third straight month in June. That
said, even with the pullback to 58.7 from 60.8 in May, it remained firmly
in expansionary territory.


Industrials outperform on better manufacturing data: The industrials sector
was the best performer throughout the day yesterday, underpinned by the
upside risk surrounding today's release of the ISM manufacturing index
following the better-than-expected Chicago PMI data. The sector also
benefited from its outsized leverage to a risk/recovery trade that remained
underpinned by the favorable political developments in Greece. Machinery
stocks were among the standouts yesterday with commodity, construction and
trucking/engine names such as Joy Global (JOYG) +5.7%, Terex (TEX) +4.6%,
Navistar (NAV) +3.6% and Manitowac ( MTW) +2.8% leading the move higher.
Multis also fared well with Ingersoll-Rand (IR) +3.4%, SPX (SPW) +2.1% and
3M (MMM) +1.9%, while most of the E&Cs were up more than 1.5% on the
session. Rails, truckers and parcel/logistics provided the upside
leadership for the Transports +1.3%.


Semis drive tech rally, while hardware also outperforms: Semis were the
bright spot in tech with the SOX +2.5%. Macro seemed to be the bigger
directional driver with outperformance coming despite some cautious
sell-side commentary on a couple of pockets of the semi space. Hardware was
another standout with NetApp (NTAP) +5.6% on the back of above consensus
F12 guidance. Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) +2.4% benefited from a Reuters story
that private equity has been "swarming like locusts" amid thoughts that the
company should be broken up. Dell (DELL) +1.5% remained supported by the
upbeat sentiment out of its recent analyst day. eBay (EBAY) +4.6% led the
Internet group higher on the back of upgrades at BAS-ML and Citi. Both
firms noted the dampened Durbin uncertainty.


Financials lag as banks fail to build on dampened mortgage putback and
regulatory uncertainty: Banks underperformed with the BKX +0.32%, after
gaining more than 2% wednesday on the back of the aggressive push by Bank
of America (BAC) -1.6% to clean up its mortgage mess and the
better-than-expected final ruling from the Fed on debit interchange. There
did not seem to be anything specific behind the underperformance, though
recall that the group also had trouble sustaining the momentum earlier in
the week from the less-onerous-than-expected BIS decision on SIFI capital
buffers. Mixed takeaways from another flurry of sell-side commentary on BAC
remained largely in-line with what was out wednesday. While the more
bullish camp focused on the removal of a significant overhang on the stock,
others focused on potential capital concerns.


Other News :

Macau gaming revenue growth +52.4% y/y in June to MOP20.79Bln. The June
increase was the strongest of the year, and followed a May increase of
42.4%. Year to date revenues are +44.6%.

Nortel Networks (NRTLQ) to sell it's remaining patents and patent
applications for $4.5 Bln to a consortium consisting of Apple, EMC,
Ericsson, Microsoft, Research In Motion and Sony

Eastman Kodak (EK): The ITC failed to grant Kodak a clear win in its patent
fight with Apple and RIM, sending Kodak's shares down 16% in after-hours
trading

First Solar (FSLR) confirms gets $4.5B in loan guarantees from the DOE -
WSJ

Marsh & McLennan (MMC): Barron's Weekday Trader is positive, citing the
company's model which could allow MMC to take advantage of many of the
positive growth drivers in the insurance industry without having to take
the additional risks of its underwriter partners. The company has solid
market positioning in emerging markets in both Asia and Latin America and
currently trades around 15x 2012 earnings with a 2.7% dividend yield.

Darden Restaurants (DRI)'s Q4 net $1.00 (in line) and Revs $1.99 Bln (in
line), sees FY12 EPS growth of 12-15% (est. +11.2%)

Apollo Group (APOL)'s Q3 net $1.45 (est. $1.33), Revs $1.24 Bln (est. $1.20
Bln), backs FY financial view

Today’s Events :

Economic Releases: Michigan Consumer Sentiment (June / est. 71.8),
Construction Spending (May / est. 0.0%), ISM Manufacturing Index (June /
est. 51.4)
 
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