Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE T-Bond-10y-Bund : la maledizione di f4f (vm18)

AP
Inflation Pressures Moderate in August
Friday September 15, 8:38 am ET
By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer
Inflation Pressures Moderate in August, Labor Department Reports


WASHINGTON (AP) -- Consumer inflation slowed sharply last month as energy prices moderated, brightening prospects for future economic growth.
The Labor Department reported Friday that its closely watched Consumer Price Index posted a 0.2 percent increase in August, just half of the 0.4 percent rise seen in July.

The improvement reflected a big slowdown in energy costs, which edged up by just 0.3 percent in August after having surged by 2.9 percent in July.

Outside of the volatile energy and food sectors, core inflation posted a moderate 0.2 percent rise in August.

Both the overall rise in inflation and the increase in core inflation were in line with analysts' expectations, providing support to their view that a slowing economy is beginning to dampen inflation pressures.

Federal Reserve policymakers meet next Wednesday and the central bank is widely expected to leave rates unchanged. The Fed passed up a chance to raise rates at its last meeting in August, breaking a string of 17 consecutive rate hikes.

However, the central bank has let it be known that if inflation pressures do not moderate, it is ready to raise rates further.

The new figures showed that core inflation over the past 12 months has risen by 2.8 percent, the biggest 12-month gain in nearly five years and far above the Fed's comfort zone of 1 percent to 2 percent price gains in core inflation. Still, optimists point to big declines in world energy prices in recent weeks as evidence that inflation pressures are beginning to moderate.
 
Potremmo cominciare ad parire la posizione al 50% del suo potenziale...


Reuters
CPI, core prices up 0.2 percent as expected
Friday September 15, 8:32 am ET


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Overall U.S. consumer prices and costs excluding food and energy both rose 0.2 percent in August, right in line with market expectations, according to a Labor Department report on Friday that may help reassure the Federal Reserve that inflation pressures are continuing to ease.
The Labor Department said its core consumer price index, an inflation gauge that strips out volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.2 percent in August, matching a 0.2 percent rise in July, which followed four straight months of more worrisome 0.3 percent increases.

Overall consumer prices were up 0.2 percent after a 0.4 percent gain in July. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 0.2 percent increase in both core and headline inflation.

Energy prices increases slowed substantially, climbing by a seasonally adjusted 0.3 percent in August after a 2.9 percent surge in July. Overall transportation costs, which included lower airline fares and new vehicle costs, rose 0.2 percent after a 1.6 percent rise in July.

But apparel costs, rose by 0.9 percent after a 1.2 percent decline in July. A key measure of housing costs also moderated, as owner's equivalent rents rose 0.3 percent in August after a an 0.4 percent increase in July.

For the 12 months ended in August, core consumer prices have risen 2.8 percent, in line with forecasts, compared to 2.7 percent for the 12 months to July. Overall consumer prices rose 3.8 percent in the 12 months ended in August, compared with 4.1 percent for the July period and Wall Street forecasts of 3.9 percent.
 
gipa69 ha scritto:
E' normale... bisognerebbe anche riuscire a filtrare gli swing di brevissimo....

Fatalmente questa botta al rialzo era stata preannunciata da una div. positiva stamattina... la mia impressione è che la corsa all'insù del bund potrebbe continuare un altro po'.

Sul 15' l'ultimo movimento prima del rialzo mi sembra di tipo correttivo con c lunga, perciò questo potrebbe anche essere un impulso.

PS: se fosse così, 2 poco profonda e lunga nel tempo, la 4 dovrebbe essere una correzione più profonda ma più breve nel tempo. Poi nuovo massimo. Fra l'altro se non facesse il nuovo max si rischierebbe una divergenza negativa sull'orario che potrebbe avere implicazioni più pesanti.
 

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