Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE Tbond,Tnote,Bund&CO-giu/lug2006: fuga dai Bonds (vm18) (6 lettori)

gipa69

collegio dei patafisici
ditropan ha scritto:
Stì cassi !!! :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

IL GIALLO DELL'ESTATE: GIOVANNI BORSI FATTO A PEZZI CON UNA MOTOSEGA
di Emilio Tomasini - 24/07/2006 1.20.03
La mente dell'omicidio è Emilio Tomasini, secidente consulente finanziario di Spilamberto di Modena. Arrestati anche i suoi due complici, Remo Mariani ed Enrico Malverti, entrambi senza fissa occupazione.

Sono stati finalmente arrestati. Avevano squartato il noto trader parmense Giovanni Borsi, i pezzi del suo corpo dispersi lungo l’autostrada nel tratto di Modena Sud, loro rientrati alle loro case come nulla fosse. Emilio Tomasini, consulente finanziario, improbabile trader, sicuramente imprenditore ormai sull’orlo del fallimento, è stato tratto in arresto ieri dalla Squadra Mobile di Modena mentre era davanti al suo monitor e seguiva tranquillamente l’andamento della Borsa. E’ lui la mente del sequestro finito tragicamente del super trader Giovanni Borsi, lui quello che aveva ordito il piano e molto presumibilmente aveva pigiato il grilletto della pistola di grosso calibro con cui Borsi è stato colpito dopo essere stato decapitato con un coltello.



Il movente dell’omicidio è stato chiaro fin dal primo momento: Giovanni Borsi, con quelle sue 378 operazioni in utile compiute alla finale del Top Trader di Aschaffenburg, aveva ingolosito molti e soprattutto aveva scatenato l’ira del Tomasini, sembra in ristrettezze finanziarie dopo che per anni interi aveva finanziato LombardReport.com, un sito finanziario ormai senza lettori, creato durante il boom di Borsa del 2000, che il nostro continuava ad alimentare con articoli ed analisi che nessuno ormai più leggeva. E quando si è visto davanti a oltre 11.000 euro di utile in una sola giornata Emilio Tomasini non ce l’ha più fatta. E’ passato dall’amore verso Borsi all’odio verso colui che, con il suo silenzio, sembrava non voler cedere il segreto del suo successo.



“Ho una amnesia, non riesco a ricordare”, ha dichiarato agli inquirenti che lo hanno tratto in arresto, “ero andato a casa di Borsi, gli avevo chiesto come faceva a guadagnare tutti quei soldi, lui non rispondeva, mi guardava con quell’aria sorniona che sembrava mi prendesse in giro. Allora non ce l’ho più fatta, ho afferrato un coltello dalla sua cucina con cui lui aveva poco prima mangiato un cocomero e l’ho decapitato”. Poi la corsa verso Modena, dove ha incontrato i suoi due complici, due personaggi ambigui, Remo Mariani, ex imprenditore dedito al trading, ed Enrico Malverti, programmatore di sistemi di trading, anch’essi fuori di sé per le performance del Borsi. Il Mariani, che ha agito da custode del corpo prima che fosse disperso lungo l’autostrada, sembra aver segato il Borsi a pezzi con una motosega, mentre il Malverti sembra tenesse fermo il Borsi mentre il Tomasini lo uccideva con il coltello e poi gli sparava ripetutamente con la pistola.



Un sogno di ricchezza facile tramontato nella pianura padana. Tutti e tre gli omicidi non avevano un mestiere fisso, addirittura il Mariani aveva ceduto una profittevole e nota azienda ortofrutticola per dedicarsi alla speculazione di Borsa, con quali risultati non è dato sapere. Il Malverti era noto nell’ambiente per programmare fumosi codici che secondo quello che lui spacciava avrebbero saputo guadagnare soldi da soli in Borsa. Entrambi i personaggi, il Mariani ed il Malverti, assolutamente autoreferenziali, avevano collaborato per un lungo periodo anche al sito del Tomasini, che rimane comunque la mente dell’omicidio.



Un passato da piccolo borghese, figlio unico, il Tomasini aveva dimostrato fin da bambino una insana passione per il denaro e aveva perseguito il sogno della ricchezza in Borsa, cosa che invece è noto trattarsi di una chimera. Non faceva nient’altro che parlare di finanza e di Borsa, in famiglia e sul lavoro, ma il successo per lui non è mai arrivato tanto che ormai arrivato nei pressi degli anta il nostro ha deciso di fare il passo decisivo: imitare quel Borsi che proprio lui aveva portato agli onori della cronaca con un campionato di Borsa con soldi veri peraltro oggi dimesso. Tra la via Emilia ed il West i sogni corrono in fretta, e di quei sogni questa banda di tre balordi si è alimentata per anni quando finalmente il duro richiamo alla realtà dei conti da pagare gli ha fatto perdere completamente la testa.



Del resto, leggendo questa triste notizia, milioni di italiani ringrazieranno l’attività seria e professionalmente qualificata di banche, fondi comuni ed assicurazioni che con i loro prodotti competitivi ed efficienti conservano il patrimonio finanziario delle famiglie italiane in mani sicure, garantendo un rendimento elevato di anno in anno e la stabilità economica delle future generazioni del nostro paese. Un omicidio, questo, che conferma sempre di più come non sia possibile guadagnare in Borsa, che i consulenti finanziari siano di per sé una categoria tipicamente criminogena ed i trader dei balordi senza arte né parte.


:D :D :D
Killer elite.
 

superbaffone

Guest
gipa69 ha scritto:
Che c'hai da ridere che ieri ho fatto solo porc..... :eek:
Eppure lo dovrei sapere che un laterale di breve guidato dai TS a fine Luglio è pericoloso.

ma tantè....
Tu come la vedi?


non bene per ora, la rottura della 100 con pullback sulla 200 ha dato via al ribasso e al mio flattismo sull'azionario america, ci sono alcuni indicatori che chiamano un ribasso + marcato, personalmente solo operazioni di brevissimo fino a quando il composite non si riporta sopra le medie di lungo.


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gipa69

collegio dei patafisici
superbaffone ha scritto:
non bene per ora, la rottura della 100 con pullback sulla 200 ha dato via al ribasso e al mio flattismo sull'azionario america, ci sono alcuni indicatori che chiamano un ribasso + marcato, personalmente solo operazioni di brevissimo fino a quando il composite non si riporta sopra le medie di lungo.


Immagine sostituita con URL per un solo Quote: http://www.investireoggi.it/phpBB2/immagini/1153819147compq.gif

Si condivido la tua analisi per i vari motivi elencati nelle scorse settimane.
Sul medio attualmente siamo negativi....
Le operazioni di brevissimo invece penso che le lascerò perdere salvo situazioni di particolare relax in quanto il periodo e la situazione non aiuta e questi robusti movimenti intraday mi fanno innervosire.
:up:
 

gipa69

collegio dei patafisici
UPDATE 2-Yuan dips vs dlr despite faster hot money inflow
Tue Jul 25, 2006 5:40am ET
SHANGHAI, July 25 (Reuters) - China's yuan dipped against the dollar on Tuesday after the central bank set the yuan's mid-point at a weaker level.

Dealers said they expected the central bank to continue setting the pace for the yuan even though an official report said "hot money" that flows in to bet on yuan appreciation had jumped sharply in May.

The yuan <CNY> closed at 7.9872 against the dollar from Monday's close of 7.9871 after the People's Bank of China set the mid-point of the yuan's exchange rate at 7.9870 on Tuesday morning, down from 7.9845 mid-point on Monday.


"The market took the weaker mid-point as a sign the central bank might prefer the yuan to consolidate for a few days" after the currency hit a post-revaluation high of 7.9815 to the dollar on Friday, said a Shanghai dealer at foreign bank.

Dealers said the yuan was likely to move narrowly between 7.9800 and 7.9900 this week.

But they said it could breach 7.9800 next week as its medium-term uptrend was unlikely to change, given China's large trade surplus and expectations Beijing would carry out further measures to slow its economy.

China's National Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday its rough calculations put hot money inflows at $12.5 billion in May, up sharply from $5.3 billion in April, $4.5 billion in March and $1 billion in February.

"There has been a comeback of hot money betting on yuan appreciation since February," the bureau said a report on its Web site (www.stats.gov.cn).
It proposed that Beijing speed up diversification of its record $941 billion stockpile of foreign exchange reserves, mainly in the U.S. currency, because of the risk of a dollar decline.

Reports of the proposal helped to drive the dollar slightly lower on global markets even though the statistics agency does not have responsibility for managing the reserves and did not make any specific recommendations.

The yuan has now appreciated 1.52 percent since Beijing revalued it by 2.1 percent and depegged it from the U.S. currency in July 2005.

But dealers said its gains after the policy change lagged far behind market expectations. Even the most conservative estimates at the time of last year's revaluation forecast it would gain 3 percent in the following year.


"Rapidly growing hot money inflow has reflected the gap between market expectations and the yuan's actual gains," said a dealer at another foreign bank.

"More speculative funds are expected to flow into China in the medium term because everybody believes the yuan's appreciation is only a matter of time."

China's economy grew in the second quarter by a rapid 11.3 percent over a year earlier, fanning speculation that Beijing may use yuan appreciation to help cool growth.

Last Friday, the central bank raised banks' reserve requirements by 0.5 percentage points for the second time in five weeks to curb liquidity and excess investment.

But dealers said the central bank will likely have to raise interest rates eventually, a move that will narrow the current 3 percent interest rate gap between the yuan and the dollar, and will thus spark further hot money inflow.
 

gipa69

collegio dei patafisici
U.S. stocks seen steady, results, data eyed
Tue Jul 25, 2006 6:41am ET
(Reuters) - Shares on Wall Street are expected to open flat on Tuesday, with the focus on a barrage of earnings and key economic data due during the session.

Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN.N: Quote, Profile, Research) will be in the spotlight after the chipmaker reported a higher quarterly profit and its shares rose 3.5 percent in extended trading hours on Monday.

"In spite of some high-profile disappointments, the aggregate numbers so far are robustly surprising to the upside," global equity strategists at HSBC said in a report.

"The blended growth rate for the S&P500 <SPX> increased sharply over the last week from 12.4 percent to 13.6 percent currently. This compares to an initial estimate at the beginning of Q2 of just 10.9 percent."


By 1030 GMT, Nasdaq futures <NDc1> were up 0.1 percent, while Dow futures <DJc1> and S&P futures <SPc1> were flat.

On the economic data front, U.S. consumer confidence is likely to have ebbed in July as oil prices renewed their upward trend and the labor market showed signs of slowing, a Reuters survey of economists showed.

The Conference Board's consumer confidence index, due at 1400 GMT, is estimated to have declined to 104 in July from 105.7 in June, according to a median estimate of economists polled by Reuters.


MIDDLE EAST WATCHED
General Motors Corp. (GM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) will also be eyed after it said it had reached agreement with a bank syndicate on an amended $4.63 billion secured credit arrangement under which its allowable borrowing would drop by about a fourth in the event of a work stoppage.

Company results include those from Whirlpool (WHR.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and DuPont (DD.N: Quote, Profile, Research).

Markets will also keep an close watch on the Middle East where Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said he was determined to pursue Israel's offensive against Hizbollah guerrillas as he met U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to discuss the war in Lebanon.

Amongst other data releases, a report on existing home sales is expected to show a drop to an annualized pace of 6.58 million units in June from a pace of 6.67 million in May, according to economists polled by Reuters.


U.S. stocks rallied on Monday, pushing the Dow <DJI> up 1.7 percent, in a round of buying driven by a big hospital takeover and other deals, stronger-than-expected earnings from major drug companies and gains in energy shares.


© Reuters 2006. All Rights Reserved.
 

gipa69

collegio dei patafisici
UPDATE 3-India c.bank raises rates to fight inflation
Tue Jul 25, 2006 6:41am ET

By Anirban Nag

MUMBAI, July 25 (Reuters) - India's central bank raised its main policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point as expected on Tuesday, pushing it to its highest in four years as it sought to fight mounting price pressures in the fast-growing economy.

The Reserve Bank of India lifted its reverse repo rate, which it uses to absorb funds from the banking system, to 6.0 percent, saying it needed to take action if the annual inflation rate was to be contained at 5.0-5.5 percent at the end of 2006/2007.


Still, it said inflation risks remained since government-administered fuel prices had lagged the rise in global prices and credit and money supply growth remained above its projections for the year.

"On balance, a modest pre-emptive action in monetary policy is appropriate at this juncture while being ready to respond flexibly and promptly by closely monitoring the related developments," it said.

Yields on benchmark 10-year federal bonds <IN10YT> rose to 8.25 percent after the decision from 8.23 percent beforehand. They hit a 4-1/2-year high of 8.43 percent on July 12.

The rupee <INR>, which fell to a three-year low against the dollar last week, held steady at 46.83/84 per dollar.

"The rate increase will address inflationary concerns given strong economic momentum, high oil prices and the recent sharp fall in the rupee against the U.S. dollar," said Shuchita Mehta, chief India economist at Standard Chartered Bank in Mumbai.
Mehta said rates were now near a short-term peak and expected economic activity to slow later in the year. The economy in the January-March quarter grew 9.3 percent from a year earlier.

But S.P. Prabhu, chief economist at IDBI Capital, said the central bank's hawkish comments indicated the tightening cycle was not yet over.

"The concern comes from worries over inflation... and further tightening of monetary policy can be expected in the form of one or possibly two hikes in the second half of this year," he said.

HAWKISH STANCE


Tuesday's rate rise was the third this year and Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram told reporters that growth in Asia's third-largest economy would not suffer as a result.

The central bank last raised the reverse repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.75 percent in a surprise move on June 8 after the government increased domestic fuel prices.

Reserve Bank of India Governor Yaga Venugopal Reddy told a news conference the central bank had a self-imposed inflation ceiling of 5.0 percent.

Wholesale prices, the most closely watched measure of inflation, rose 4.68 percent in the year to July 8.

The wholesale inflation rate touched a one-year high of 5.44 percent in mid-June and economists say record oil prices could push it above 5 percent again in coming months.
Money supply grew at an annual 18.8 percent in early July, above the central bank's projection of 15.0 percent for the year while annual credit growth is above 30 percent, compared with the central bank's expectation in April of 20 percent.

The central bank said its monetary stance emphasised price stability to anchor inflation expectations while still ensuring an environment that kept up growth's momentum.

It retained a forecast that India will grow 7.5-8.0 percent in the financial year to March 31, 2007.

It also raised the repo rate, which it uses to lend overnight funds to banks, by 25 basis points to 7.0 percent.


But it kept the bank rate unchanged at a three-decade low of 6.0 percent and the cash reserve ratio steady at 5.0 percent.
 

gipa69

collegio dei patafisici
FOREX-Dollar holds steady, awaits data for US rate steer
Tue Jul 25, 2006 6:39am ET

By Katie Hunt

LONDON, July 25 (Reuters) - The dollar held steady on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. economic data that could provide fresh insight into whether the Federal Reserve will pause its two-year campaign of credit tightening in August.

The dollar erased earlier gains after China's statistic bureau said Beijing should speed up diversification of its foreign exchange reserves because the dollar was at risk of declining.


U.S. consumer confidence data are expected to show morale fell in July, while existing home sales are expected to have dipped slightly in June. Both sets of data are due at 1400 GMT.

"It's a fairly quiet market, with not much doing beyond very short-term trades. People are waiting for the U.S. data. The focus is on whether the Fed will hike in August," said Bilal Hafeez, foreign exchange strategist at Deutsche Bank.

"As for the China news, I don't think it's having a big impact. In a sense it's old news," he added.

The comments came from the National Bureau of Statistics, which is not responsible for managing China's $941 billion stockpile of foreign reserves -- the world's largest.

The dollar is still the world's main reserve currency but its dominance is under threat as central banks diversify away from the U.S. currency in search of better returns.
By 0952 GMT, the euro was trading at $1.2641, flat to Monday's U.S. close after rising to a day's high of $1.2674 in the wake of the China report.

The dollar was also steady at 116.74 yen <JPY>.

According to Reuters data, the euro hit a record high of 147.91 yen <EURJPY> in options-related trade.



RATE EXPECTATIONS

The dollar tumbled last week from three-month highs against the euro and yen after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke signalled that long-term inflation risks were fairly contained, boosting speculation the central bank could hold rates steady in August.

The Fed has raised rates 17 straight times to 5.25 percent, widening the dollar's yield advantage over the euro and yen.

In the euro zone, expectations for an interest rate hike to 3 percent in August are underpinning the single currency on the crosses. It hit a three-month high of 1.5756 Swiss francs <EURCHF> earlier on Tuesday.

Analysts say a softer Belgian business confidence index on Monday had thrown the spotlight onto the closely-watched German Ifo index of business confidence due on Wednesday.
Data this week could cool down elevated expectations for hikes later in the year, restraining the euro on the crosses," UBS said in a note to clients.

Data from German states suggested on Tuesday that the country's national gauge of consumer price inflation (CPI) was little changed in July, after earlier figures on Monday had pointed to a slowdown.

French firms' business confidence rose to 109 in July, higher than expected, from a confirmed 107 in June.



© Reuters 2006. All Rights Reserved.
 

smile

Forumer storico
smile ha scritto:
una domanda ai conoscitori di governament come lo vedete il future ?? io penso debba rtornare almeno un paio di figure sotto x cui rialzo ff e ribor

con tg finale a 112 e rotti...ho detto :lol: prima dovra lambire almeno 116.9




FORSE CI SIAMO 116,7 X ora io cmq so' flat sullo strumento

visto che ho aperto al ribasso ieri sera


sull equity saluto mr gipa :)
 

ditropan

Forumer storico
skipper1971 ha scritto:
cmq ditro
fa' caldo....
oggi

MaxT1_conus.png


domani

MaxT_2006072700_conus.png


dopo domani

MaxT_2006072800_conus.png


abbiamo gufato abbastanza?



Te gà resòn !!! ... in effetti potrebbe pure venire giù oggi ... tuttavia se guardo al fatto che ha rotto i precedenti minimi, i precedenti massimi di giugno e se guardo dove stà l'olio crudo adesso .... non vedo resistenze fino a 7,4$ -7,5$ per il gassaccio. :rolleyes: :mmmm: :mmmm:

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