Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE Bund, T-bond, T-note, Crude,....(vietato ai minori di 75aa)

[Fleursdumal]

Treasuries extend drop as Greespan sanguine on oil

NEW YORK, Oct 15 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury debt prices fell further Friday after Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan downplayed the likely impact of soaring oil prices on economic growth.

Greenspan said higher energy costs would be less damaging than during the oil crisis of the mid-1970s, thwarting bond bulls who expect the economic ripple effects to be more widespread.

The benchmark 10-year note <US10YT=RR>, already hurt by a surprising jump in September retail sales, extended losses. It was down 15/32 in price for a yield of 4.08 percent compared with 4.02 percent on Thursday

 

[Andrea 53]

AZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

una volta tanto il nonno mi ha salvato il fine settimana .....

gain BUND e GAIN Azionario erano mesi che non mi succedeva ....di solito il gain di uno serviva per coprire il loss dell'altro

peccato essere arrivato dopo la chiusura

ciao bannndaaaa :smile:

 

[Fleursdumal]

prendi il gain e scappa
perchè con sti pazzi lunedì vai a vedere che siamo di nuovo sui massimi :smile:

 

[Andrea 53]

prendi il gain e scappa
perchè con sti pazzi lunedì vai a vedere che siamo di nuovo sui massimi :smile:

ho incassato l'azionario ma il bund aveva gia chiuso

comunque il mio pdc è 116.54 se non aprono in gap up

buon fine settimana FLEUR vado a cucinare per mia moglie che torna dal lavoro

 

[Fleursdumal]

anche a te Andrea , scappa ai fornelli altrimenti ti becchi la cazziata

nel mentre rimbalzo da s2 a 112,4375 a 112,75 next steps se continuano a ricoprirsi 113 e s1 a 113,1875

 

[Fleursdumal]

lo short-covering continua , quasi incocciati in s1 a 112,9375

ah sto finesettimana sono di convegno nella lontana Sidney, c'è un caso importante da discutere con i miei colleghi australiani


Australia, gli esperti dei disturbi del sonno studiano il caso
di una donna che di notte esce in cerca di uomini
Moglie e amante di tanti
è la sonnambula del sesso
Il caso raccontato durante un convegno internazionale
Il medico: "Si tratta di sexinsomnia, malattia complessa"



SYDNEY - Di giorno, una signora rispettabile con partner fisso. Di notte, cacciatrice di uomini e sesso. Una doppia vita di cui, però, la donna è inconsapevole perché 'malata' di una forma di sonnambulismo identificata di recente e detta "sexsomnia", o "sleep sex". Quello che fa di notte, insomma, non lo ricorda perché lo fa mentre dorme.

Questa la diagnosi formulata dal medico curante della donna, una signora di mezza età australiana: lo specialista di disturbi del sonno Peter Buchanan, dell'ospedale Prince Alfred di Sydney, ha raccontato il caso in una relazione che presenterà sabato al meeting scientifico annuale dell'Australasian Sleep Association a Sydney. La donna seduceva e faceva sesso con estranei mentre dormiva, e più tardi non aveva alcuna memoria delle sue infedeltà, ha spiegato lo specialista nella sua relazione.

Tutto viene fuori quando una notte il partner della donna si è svegliato e ha scoperto che lei non era a letto nè in casa, e l'ha trovata in giardino che faceva sesso con un altro. L'uomo era già a conoscenza dei disturbi della moglie, ed era rimasto perplesso per il numero di preservativi che trovava nei pressi della casa.

"E' un comportamento motorio molto complesso, molto elaborato, durante il sonno", ha spiegato Buchanan alla radio australiana Abc. La sexsomnia in molti casi comporta attività sessuali solitarie o con il partner che dorme accanto. In un altro caso, una donna ha riferito al medico di essersi finalmente resa conto che il marito era di solito addormentato quando faceva l'amore con lei la notte (infatti continuava a russare) e che il marito addormentato era un tipo di amante diverso, più aggressivo ed insistente, della sua controparte da sveglio.


Il disturbo non ha ancora un nome scientifico, ma viene sempre più riconosciuto come una condizione reale e personalmente devastante, e lo studioso ha chiesto che sia inclusa nella prossima revisione della Classificazione internazionale dei disturbi del sonno.
"Le persone sono spesso stupefatte e sopraffatte, quando si spiega loro cosa hanno fatto. I partner e i medici delle persone che soffrono di questa forma di parasomnia spesso non credono che gli atti siano stati commessi mentre dormivano", ha proseguito.

"E' molto stressante per tutti e due, per il partner o per la relazione", ha detto lo specialista. "Inoltre provocaa un forte senso di imbarazzo, il che scoraggia la persona dal farsi avanti e chiedere un intervento medico che potrebbe essere di aiuto".

Quasi la metà dei casi di sesso nel sonno sono associati con problemi psicologici, e la donna in questione è stata trattata con successo con la psicoterapia. Il fatto che la condizione si manifesti come comportamento sessuale aberrante non è un'indicazione di disturbi sessuali e deve essere vista solo come un disturbo del sonno, assicura Buchanan. In più, aggiungiamo noi, può sempre essere un buon alibi.

 

[gastronomo]

DJ Debt Futures Review: Undercut By Retail Sales, Greenspan Speech
By Allen Sykora

BEND, Ore. (Dow Jones)--A strong retail sales report, coupled with
remarks about oil prices from Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, sent
interest-rate futures sharply lower Friday in Chicago, economist and traders
said.
Some of the weakness was also said to be technical in nature as the
futures initially went higher but stalled around near last months' highs,
then fell back below Thursday's lows in a daily reversal on the charts,
contacts said.
December 10-year notes lost 10 ticks to 113-07, December Treasury bonds
fell 13 ticks to 113 even and March Eurodollars slipped 2.5 basis points to
97.57.
"Clearly, retail sales were much stronger than anticipated," said Sung
Won Sohn, chief economist in Minneapolis with Wells Fargo & Co. "That gave an
indication that consumers are out of the soft patch and moving onto firmer
ground."
The government reported Friday a 1.5% jump in September retail sales, more
than double the consensus forecast for a 0.7% gain. Sales excluding autos
climbed 0.6%, double the forecast for 0.3%.
Several other reports this morning were softer than forecast, and normally
this would have been bullish for bonds.
However, said Sohn, the market was paying closer attention to retail
sales, worried that consumer buying had been one of the weak links in the
economy lately.
The other weaker reports included the New York Fed's manufacturing
survey, U.S. industrial production and University of Michigan consumer-
sentiment index.
"Somehow, the market has pushed that aside and is blaming it on weather
and some other things," said Sohn. "So the primary factor is retail sales,
and Greenspan."
The Fed chairman, speaking in Washington before the Italian-American
Foundation, indicated he is not worried that the rise in oil prices has
impacted the economy substantially so far. The U.S. economy is less
vulnerable to price spikes than it was in the 1970s, said Greenspan.
"I was pleasantly surprised that Chairman Greenspan was so optimistic
about the oil situation," said Sohn. "The price of oil has been going up for
some time and will remain high, in my estimation."
Rising energy prices lately had been frequently cited as a bond-bullish
factor because of their potential to slow economic momentum. November crude
settled up 17 cents to $54.93 and peaked at $55 a barrel.
A technician suggested much of the selling came in the form of profit
taking after the run up during the last week.
Two things happened technically, he explained.
"We couldn't sustain a move through last month's highs, then we had a
reversal lower on the charts," he said. He later characterized the market as
range-bound for the moment and bouncing from the upper end of the range that
has been in place for the few weeks.
December bonds moved to a contract high of 114-08 overnight, taking out
the Sept. 28 high of 114-03. December 10-year notes got up to 113-24, stopping
just 1.5 ticks shy of their Sept. 23 high of 113-25.5.
Now that prices have pulled back sharply since, these highs could act as
a double top, said the technician.
Also, he pointed out, both contracts underwent daily reversals. The
December bonds first moved up through Thursday's peak of 113-16, but then came
back and fell through Thursday's low of 112-23. This had also been an
important chart point since it represented Wednesday's close and failed
resistance as Tuesday's high.
December 10-year notes, besides running out of momentum just ahead of last
month's high, also underwent a reversal when they first pushed up through
Thursday's peak at 113-19 but subsequently fell below Thursday's low of 113-
03.
The technician also pointed out that in the cash market, the 10-year
yield - which moves inversely to the price - held around the closely watched
4.0% level. It bottomed at 3.997% and, as the interest-rate futures were
closing, was back up around 4.055%.
As for weak data the market shrugged off, the New York Fed's Empire State
Manufacturing Survey fell to 17.4 from 27.3 in September, when the forecast
had been for 25.6. Industrial production grew just 0.1% in September, when
economists expected 0.2%. The University of Michigan's mid-month consumer-
sentiment index fell to 87.5 from 94.2 at the end of September, when the
forecast had been for no change.
The September Producer Price Index rose 0.1%, matching the consensus
forecast. However, core PPI excluding food and energy climbed 0.3%, slightly
more than the consensus expectation for 0.2%.

-By Allen Sykora; Dow Jones Newswires; 541-318-8765;
[email protected]

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

 

[gastronomo]

Da investmentexecutive

U.S. hedge fund performance up in September, S&P says

Rising energy prices, fed funds rate behind jumps in indices

Thursday, October 14, 2004

By IE Staff

Standard & Poor’s says that escalating energy prices and a rising Federal Funds rate sparked U.S. hedge fund performance in September.

The ratings agency said in its monthly review that the S&P Hedge Fund Index was up 0.47% in September with all three of the sub-indices ending the month in positive territory. The S&P Directional/Tactical Index finished September up 0.60% with two of its three strategy components exhibiting positive returns. The Managed Futures strategy also posted strong positive returns for the month, up 1.59%, following a long period of flat to negative returns.

Many managed futures managers benefited from the rally in oil prices that were caused in part by supply disruptions in Iraq, an active hurricane season in the U.S., increasing demand in Asia, and continuing fears of global terrorism, S&P said.

The S&P Arbitrage Index rose 0.44% in September marked by strong performance in the Fixed Income Arbitrage sector, flat returns in the Convertible Arbitrage sector, and slight losses in the Equity Market Neutral sector. "With Fannie Mae battered by investigations into its accounting practices, many investors assumed asset-backed instruments would take a beating, not realizing that these instruments are backed by actual mortgages, not Fannie Mae equity," says Justin Dew, senior hedge fund specialist at Standard & Poor’s.

The Convertible Arbitrage sector drifted sideways as neither type of Convertible trading, volatility or credit, produced large gains. Credit spreads remained stable for most of the month. Volatility (as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index) dropped to five-year lows reducing trading opportunities.

September returns in the S&P Event-Driven Index were positive as all three of its strategy components, Special Situations, Merger Arbitrage and Distressed experienced gains. “In the energy sector, Special Situations managers were able to capitalize on the restructuring of a few North American oil-related companies’ accounting practices to more accurately reflect oil reserves in friendly countries versus non-friendly countries,” explains Dew.

The S&P Equity Long/Short Index produced solid gains during the month, returning 1.67%. “This strong performance came partially as a result of rising equity markets, surprisingly strong in the face of skyrocketing oil prices and a handful of hurricanes. In addition, rising equities markets along with low volatility allowed Equity Long/Short managers to gain on good stock selection,” Dew notes.

 

[Andrea 53]

buongiorno a tutti

purtroppo venerdi ero fuori casa e non sono riuscito a chiudere il bund

ora ha riaperto di già sui 116.51 , mio prezzo di carico , per cui l'ipotetico GAIN è già svanito

vado a colazione ciao

 

[ciubecca]

bund giorno atodos e una montagna di felicitazioni e auguri a chi sa.... e mo so cazzzzzzzzzziiiiii sua .... altro che fuso di mineapolis


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UE: Inflazione Settembre 11:00 --