Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE BUND, TBOND and the middle of the guado (VM 69)

chi compra i treasuries? :D

Treasury Mystère

Posted by Tracy Alloway on Jan 14 09:47. Well someone is buying US government debt, despite prominent prognostications as to its worth(lessness). The problem is we don’t know who.
Wednesday’s auction of $21bn of 10-year US government bonds saw reasonably good demand, with a bid-to-cover ratio of three times and a yield of 3.754 per cent, about the level anticipated by the market. The most interesting auction statistics, however, are the breakdown of buyers.
Bidders in Treasury auctions fall into three categories: indirect (usually foreign buyers), primary dealers (the official trading partners of the Federal Reserve) and direct bidders (non primary dealers bidding on their own accounts, i.e. institutional investors like hedge funds or bond funds).
And on Wednesday, direct bidders accounted for 17 per cent of the total bonds sold, the highest percentage of direct bids in a 10-year Treasury auction since May 2005, and very much above the recent average of about 5.6 per cent. Indirect bids accounted for 29 per cent of securities sold, versus an average of 44 per cent in all the 10-year sales in 2009, according to data from Monument Securities.
And Wednesday’s auction is not alone in a change of bidder breakdown.
Tuesday saw a $40bn auction of three-year Treasuries with direct bids accounting for a record 23 per cent, compared with an average of 6 per cent at the past 10 offerings. Indirect bidders purchased 38 per cent of the bonds, compared with 51 per cent on average.
Something is going on, either there’s been a shift in the structural demand of wants US debt, or a big, single buyer has been very active.
Here are some thoughts, via the FT:
Market participants say the unusually high level of direct bidding suggests that a large investor is looking to accumulate Treasuries without alerting the primary dealers on Wall Street to its intentions.
“It appears to us that someone is trying to hide their apparent interest in owning these auctions from the rest of the market,” said David Ader, strategist at CRT Capital.
Rick Klingman, managing director at BNP Paribas, said: “It is unusual to see such a spike in the direct bid and I would imagine it is one big bidder. There is no way we will find out who it is, not now, or ever.”
Which is disappointing but probably true.
Incidentally, today, Thursday, sees the last of this week’s four big Treasury auctions (the first was a $10bn 10-year TIPS auction on Monday) and it’s a $13bn auction of 30-year securities.
Yields on 30-year Treasuries are currently down at about 4.69 per cent, ahead of the auction, having risen close to a seven-month high earlier this morning, click to enlarge:

Related links:
Direct bids for US Treasury notes lead to speculation over buyer – FT
Who buys Treasury securities at auction
– Federal Reserve
Smoke, mirrors and Treasury sales
– FT Alphaville
 
oggi ho mangiaaat' pesante ( spaghett' cò cime di repa e pipironciiìn)
e sò un poke skonfolto:

non ho capito cosa ha detto B:

ho mantenuto le promesse
o
prometto le mantenute ??
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Alto