f4f
翠鸟科
ero li nell'atrio mentre mi perquisivano perchè gli ho detto che il loro body scanner possono metterselo in quel posto ed è passato lui
Derivati USA: CME-CBOT-NYMEX-ICE BUND, TBOND and the middle of the guado (VM 69) (6 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione masgui
- Data di Inizio
Ebenezer Scrooge
Forumer attivo
tommasini campa da sempre vendendo la roba sua e pure quella di altri a chi se la compra
mica campa di trading....
la critica piu' forte è che non ci sono due elliottiani che dicano la stessa cosamica vero....quelli bravi sono quasi sempre d'accordo
ma sono pochi ...e questo è un bene per il mercato
........tu dovresti ricordare il trading di Sceriffo
Quello che segue è abbastanza chiaro, ma se lo dovresti dire in altre parole che diresti?
Figure 1 suggests that the S&P 500 is currently in a Wave I up. This is confirmed by the relative strength index (Rsi). The chart shows that the last time the Rsi gave a buy signal was in October 1974, which was the start of a bull trend that lasted 26 years. Now, we all know that a Wave 1 up is followed by a Wave 2 down, which can be either a simple or complicated wave. By this I mean a quick, fast retracement, or a long, drawn-out retracement. In Elliott Wave Principle, Frost and Prechter wrote: “Second waves often retrace so much of wave one that most of the profits gained up to that time are eroded away by the time it ends.”
Yes, there is a lot of negativity to come, and you can take profits and “remain in the safest possible cash equivalents” as Robert Prechter suggests, but you should not forget that the “bear” in a wave 2 is a correction in a major bull trend.
Kondratieff Wave Comeback - Koos van der Merwe
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
bisogna trovare qualcosa per la P, poi Islanda Granbretagna Svizzera cosi sarebbe piu bilanciato verso i veri banksters
Paesi bassi sicuro (vedi ING aiutata dalla stato ABN smembrata e data a banche poi fallite tranne per ora il santander) quindi PIGS
Paesi bassi Irlanda Gran bretagna e Svizzera.. tra i maggiori proprugnatori mondiali delle maggiori schifezze finanziarie.
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
Gipa guarda il dato di oggi produz ind. UE
rivisto da -1,7
non è per niente meglio delle attese
Si ma queste revisioni abnormi mi sanno di dati in salsa cinese....
Madiba
Forumer storico
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
Anche sulle vendite private revisioni a stecca.....
ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES: Latest Release
ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES: Latest Release
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
ma il problema è la grecia....
S&P issues warning over America's top-tier rating
By David Oakley in London and Michael Mackenzie in New,York
Published: March 12 2010 02:00 | Last updated: March 12 2010 02:00
The triple A rating of the US is at risk, S&P has warned, unless the country adopts a credible medium-term plan to rein in fiscal spending.
In a report published yesterday, the ratings agency said that there were risks that "external creditors could reduce their US dollar holdings, especially if they conclude that eurozone members are adopting stronger macroeconomic policies".
This could undermine the dollar's status as the global reserve currency, it said, an outcome which would "weigh on the triple A rating on the US."
"In our opinion, fiscal outturns, inflation figures, trade volumes, foreign exchange volatility and the current account will be the leading indicators if the dollar's role were to diminish," S&P said.
But the ratings agency said that the US could lose its reserve currency status and still hold on to its triple A rating. It added that the loss of a currency reserve status has historically been a gradual process, taking place over decades in the case of UK, for example.
Finally, it countered that there is currently no other currency to challenge the dollar. "The euro is the only currency that could do so as China's currency is not fully convertible for capital transactions, let alone an option as a reserve currency," S&P said.
In a separate report, S&P warned that Europe's leading economies face a big jump in interest rate costs from the potential threat of rising bond yields over the next five years.
With central banks withdrawing emergency financial support from the markets and bond supply rising sharply, Europe's developed countries face additional interest rate charges totalling €202bn ($276bn) by 2015, according to S&P.
France, Italy, the UK and Germany face the biggest jump in borrowing costs of €41bn, €38bn, €31bn and €29bn respectively, assuming a sustained 3 percentage point rise in interest costs.
S&P said that the impact of central banks phasing out, over 2010, liquidity support to the financial sector including quantitative easing measures, will lead to a big drop in demand for government debt.
This is likely to lead to steep rises in benchmark government yields, putting pressure on financing costs as governments struggle with vast debt burdens taken on to stimulate their economies.
The ratings agency said European governments' medium to long-term borrowing will likely hit a peak at €1,446bn in 2010. This is up €52bn from the previous peak of €1,394bn in 2009.
In net terms, in 2010 it expects the UK to be the largest sovereign borrower in Europe, at an estimated €189bn, compared with Germany, which it estimates will borrow the least among the big economies, at €64bn in net terms.
Another concern is roll-over risk, or the risk of having to refinance maturing debt. S&P warns that debt-rollover ratios (the amount of long-term debt maturing plus the previous year's stock of short-term debt) are high and still rising in many countries.
Rollover ratios exceed 20 per cent of gross domestic product for Belgium and Italy, and just below that level for Ireland and Portugal.
Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2010. You may share using our article tools. Please don't cut articles from FT.com and redistribute by email or post to the web.
S&P issues warning over America's top-tier rating
By David Oakley in London and Michael Mackenzie in New,York
Published: March 12 2010 02:00 | Last updated: March 12 2010 02:00
The triple A rating of the US is at risk, S&P has warned, unless the country adopts a credible medium-term plan to rein in fiscal spending.
In a report published yesterday, the ratings agency said that there were risks that "external creditors could reduce their US dollar holdings, especially if they conclude that eurozone members are adopting stronger macroeconomic policies".
This could undermine the dollar's status as the global reserve currency, it said, an outcome which would "weigh on the triple A rating on the US."
"In our opinion, fiscal outturns, inflation figures, trade volumes, foreign exchange volatility and the current account will be the leading indicators if the dollar's role were to diminish," S&P said.
But the ratings agency said that the US could lose its reserve currency status and still hold on to its triple A rating. It added that the loss of a currency reserve status has historically been a gradual process, taking place over decades in the case of UK, for example.
Finally, it countered that there is currently no other currency to challenge the dollar. "The euro is the only currency that could do so as China's currency is not fully convertible for capital transactions, let alone an option as a reserve currency," S&P said.
In a separate report, S&P warned that Europe's leading economies face a big jump in interest rate costs from the potential threat of rising bond yields over the next five years.
With central banks withdrawing emergency financial support from the markets and bond supply rising sharply, Europe's developed countries face additional interest rate charges totalling €202bn ($276bn) by 2015, according to S&P.
France, Italy, the UK and Germany face the biggest jump in borrowing costs of €41bn, €38bn, €31bn and €29bn respectively, assuming a sustained 3 percentage point rise in interest costs.
S&P said that the impact of central banks phasing out, over 2010, liquidity support to the financial sector including quantitative easing measures, will lead to a big drop in demand for government debt.
This is likely to lead to steep rises in benchmark government yields, putting pressure on financing costs as governments struggle with vast debt burdens taken on to stimulate their economies.
The ratings agency said European governments' medium to long-term borrowing will likely hit a peak at €1,446bn in 2010. This is up €52bn from the previous peak of €1,394bn in 2009.
In net terms, in 2010 it expects the UK to be the largest sovereign borrower in Europe, at an estimated €189bn, compared with Germany, which it estimates will borrow the least among the big economies, at €64bn in net terms.
Another concern is roll-over risk, or the risk of having to refinance maturing debt. S&P warns that debt-rollover ratios (the amount of long-term debt maturing plus the previous year's stock of short-term debt) are high and still rising in many countries.
Rollover ratios exceed 20 per cent of gross domestic product for Belgium and Italy, and just below that level for Ireland and Portugal.
Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2010. You may share using our article tools. Please don't cut articles from FT.com and redistribute by email or post to the web.
quicksilver
Forumer storico
Paesi Bassi
Paesi bassi sicuro (vedi ING aiutata dalla stato ABN smembrata e data a banche poi fallite tranne per ora il santander) quindi PIGS
Paesi bassi Irlanda Gran bretagna e Svizzera.. tra i maggiori proprugnatori mondiali delle maggiori schifezze finanziarie.
Affare fatto