Certificati di investimento - Cap. 5

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La BancanCentrale Eurooea già metteva in guardia il settore bancario sui rischi per le banche commerciali degli aumenti dei tassi di interesse.
La BCE stimava che già con un aumento del 2% dei tassi di interesse avrebbe significato una riduzione del capitale di circa il 4%. (grafico a linee a destra).
Se la contestualizziamo in numeri parliamo di una perdita superiore ai 20 Miliardi di euro sul capitale reale solo per l'aumento dei tassi. Le banche si proteggono solitamente a questo rischio vendendo swap. Con questi numeri immagino capiate meglio la superficialità di Silicon Vmey Bank e delle altre banche che non si sono protette da questo rischio.

www.ecb.europa.eu

Interest rate risk exposures and hedging of euro area banks’ banking books

The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank of the European Union countries which have adopted the euro. Our main task is to maintain price stability in the euro area and so preserve the purchasing power of the single currency.
www.ecb.europa.eu www.ecb.europa.eu
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CS doveva emettere i dati di bilancio il venerdi, il giorno del crack di Svb poi dati spostati al lunedì, chissà come mai..
 
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UBS offers to buy Credit Suisse for up to $1bn
Swiss authorities expected to change country’s law to bypass UBS shareholder vote (FT)

UBS Group AG has offered to buy Credit Suisse Group AG for up to $1 billion, and Swiss authorities plan to change the country’s laws to bypass a shareholder vote on the transaction as they rush to finalize a deal before Monday, the Financial Times reported on Sunday, citing four people with direct knowledge of the situation.
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https://www.ft.com/content/ec4be743-052a-4381-a923-c2fbd7ea9cfd

UBS has offered to buy Credit Suisse for up to $1bn, with Swiss authorities planning to change the country's laws to bypass a shareholder vote on the transaction as they rush to finalise a deal before Monday.
The all-share deal between Switzerland's two biggest banks is set to be signed as soon as Sunday evening and will be priced at a fraction of Credit Suisse's closing price on Friday, all but wiping out the target's shareholders, four people with direct knowledge of the situation said.
The offer was communicated on Sunday morning with a price of SFr0.25 a share to be paid in UBS stock, far below Credit Suisse's closing price of SFr1.86 on Friday, the people said. UBS has also insisted on a material adverse change that voids the deal if its credit default spreads jump by 100 basis points or more, they added.
The situation is fast-moving and there is no guarantee that terms will remain the same or that a deal will be reached, all the people stressed.
Some of the people said that the current terms were unfair for Credit Suisse and its shareholders. Others criticised the plans to void normal corporate governance rules by preventing a UBS shareholder vote.
There has been limited contact between the two lenders and the terms have been heavily influenced by the Swiss National Bank and regulator Finma, the people said. The US Federal Reserve has given its assent to the deal progressing, they added.
While the current terms value Credit Suisse's equity at up to $1bn, the figure does not reflect additional provisions the Swiss National Bank will make to ensure the deal is done.
Both sides have been locked in discussions with regulators since Wednesday, when Credit Suisse asked the SNB to provide it with an emergency SFr50bn ($54bn) credit line.
When this backstop failed to arrest a fall in its share price and stop panicked clients from withdrawing their money, the central bank stepped in to force a merger after becoming concerned about the viability of the country's second-largest lender.
Deposit outflows from Credit Suisse topped SFr10bn a day late last week, the Financial Times has reported. Customers withdrew SFr111bn from the group in the final three months of last year
On Saturday night, the Swiss cabinet assembled in the finance ministry in Bern for a series of presentations from government officials, the SNB, market regulator Finma, and representatives of the banking sector.
The government is preparing emergency measures to fast-track the takeover and plans to introduce legislation that will bypass the normal six-week consultation period required for UBS shareholders so the deal can be sealed immediately, the people said.
The framework of the deal has been designed by Swiss regulators to provide maximum stability to the country's banking system, people briefed about the matter said. Swiss authorities have already secured preapproval from relevant regulators in the US and Europe which are expected to issue co-ordinated statements today.
UBS will dramatically shrink Credit Suisse's investment bank, so that the combined entity will make up no more than a third of the merged group, two of the people said.
However, the current term sheet for the deal does not specify what will happen to Credit Suisse's individual business divisions, and simply outlines a 100 per cent takeover of the group.
Negotiators have given Credit Suisse the code name Cedar and UBS is referred to as Ulmus, according to people briefed on the matter.
UBS is seeking concessions and protections from the government, particularly from any pending legal cases and regulatory investigations into Credit Suisse that could result in fines or losses, the FT has reported. However, it is unlikely it will get indemnity from any losses on assets, one of the people involved said.
UBS also wants to be allowed to phase in any extra demands it would face under global rules on capital that govern the world's biggest banks.
The SNB, UBS, Credit Suisse and Finma declined to comment.
 
Secondo le indiscrezioni raccolte dal quotidiano, infatti, l'offerta sarà per carta, in base alla valutazione di 0,25 franchi svizzeri per titolo, contro gli 1,86 franchi della chiusura precedente. Le fonti anonime citate dall'Ft sottolineano comunque che non ci sono ancora certezze sul fatto che i termini dell'accordo restino questi e persino che alla fine l'accordo venga raggiunto.

L'Ft conferma che le autorità elevetiche sarebbero al lavoro per varare una modifica normativa che consenta di far approvare il deal senza passare per il voto degli azionisti, in modo da poter annunciare la chiusura dell'operazione prima della riapertura dei mercati, lunedì mattina.
 
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