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Citi Research says it remains bullish on gold in the short term but anticipates lower prices by late 2016. The precious metal started 2016 with its strongest two-month rally since 2011, rising some 20% after turbulence in global equity markets, the bank says. “As we have reiterated several times this year, risk-off/risk-on sentiment is likely to keep driving asset market flows in the short term, and general risk-off positioning should continue to provide support to gold prices through 2Q,” Citi says. However, Citi says that “lingering risk-off sentiment may not be enough to provide sustained longer-term support for gold prices without a further deterioration in macro conditions, and a deeper USD unwind, in our view. Though such a scenario is certainly plausible, we are biased towards an improvement in overall market sentiment by year-end, largely driven by our expectations for a strong rebound in crude prices and a follow-on rebound in the broader commodities complex and equities.” Analysts say “we struggle to see a year-end scenario” where oil prices rise to $50 a barrel but gold remains above $1,200 an ounce, thus they “bias our outlook to moderately bearish by 4Q’16.” By Allen Sykora of Kitco News