Titoli di Stato area Euro GRECIA Operativo titoli di stato - Cap. 1 (69 lettori)

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ferdo

Utente Senior
vi regalo una speranza, tratta da Plus 24 di sabato, pagina 8, colonna 3, previsione di Citi Foreign Exchange (non conosco), a 3-6 mesi spread con il Bund sotto il 6%.
Ora è a 769.
Vorrebbe dunque dire rendimento netto di circa il 7,4% ovvero quotazione del decennale sugli 85, mal contato.
Correggetemi se sbaglio.
 

Imark

Forumer storico
A due giorni di distanza, la Grecia ha continuato a fare decisamente bene... con gli indici azionari e quelli dei bond corporate HY in vista dei massimi recenti, le prossime settimane offriranno opportunità di alleggerimento per chi ipotizza che il recente scatto dei temi speculativi sia di quelli che concludono la corsa.

I prezzi attuali rappresentano invece occasioni di accumulazione per chi fosse convinto che i prossimi mesi porteranno ad un superamento dei livelli visti in primavera sui prezzi dei temi speculativi. Ove ciò avvenisse, la salita della Grecia continuerebbe con vigore, come succede in questo genere di situazioni per i temi speculativi "rimasti indietro".

il 2013 - 88,29 (BBML) 88,30 (Xtrakter);
il 2014 - 85,29 (BBML) 85,80 (Xtrakter);
il 2015 - 85,56 (BBML) 85,59 (Xtrakter);
il 2016 - 72,54 (BBML) 72,27 (Xtrakter);
il 2017 - 71,00 (BBML) 71,09 (Xtrakter);
il 2018 - 69,71 (BBML) 69,72 (Xtrakter);
il 2019 6% 72,99 (BBML) 72,78 (Xtrakter);
il 2019 6.5% 75,17 (BBML) 75,27 (Xtrakter);
il 2022 - 69,31 (BBML) 69,33 (Xtrakter);
il 2024 - 64,48 (BBML) 64,43 (Xtrakter);
il 2026 - 65,73 (BBML) 65,73 (Xtrakter);
il 2037 - 58,88 (BBML) 58,67 (Xtrakter);
il 2040 - 58,71 (BBML) 58,76 (Xtrakter);

GGBei 2025 - 54,33 (BBML), non significativo su Xtrakter
GGBei 2030 - 50,52 (BBML), non significativo su Xtrakter

Nella scorsa settimana, la Grecia ha continuato a mostrare una performance discreta, con i rendimenti scesi sotto il 10% lordo su molte lunghezze.

Poco mosse le duration intermedie, hanno fatto uno scatto in avanti i 2019, correggendo parzialmente un'andamento della curva dei rendimenti che vede i titoli fino al 2016 e dopo il 2022 rendere meno del 10% lordo, e quelli compresi in quest'arco temporale presentare ancora oggi un rendimento superiore.

Ove il mercato continuasse a premiare i temi speculativi fino alle elezioni USA e all'annuncio del QE della FED, questi titoli potrebbe continuare a mostrare tonicità.

La spinta al rialzo dei prezzi si attenua sulle scadenze ultradecennali, fino ad esaurirsi del tutto sulla parte lunghissima della curva, con il 2037 ed il 2040 fermi su base settimanale.

il 2013 - 88,43 (BBML) 88,57 (Xtrakter);
il 2014 - 85,77 (BBML) 85,93 (Xtrakter);
il 2015 - 85,87 (BBML) 86,00 (Xtrakter);
il 2016 - 73,18 (BBML) 73,41 (Xtrakter);
il 2017 - 71,30 (BBML) 71,50 (Xtrakter);
il 2018 - 70,55 (BBML) 70,81 (Xtrakter);
il 2019 6% 75,19 (BBML) 75,73 (Xtrakter);
il 2019 6.5% 77,09 (BBML) 77,48 (Xtrakter);
il 2022 - 71,22 (BBML) 71,45 (Xtrakter);
il 2024 - 65,64 (BBML) 66,00 (Xtrakter);
il 2026 - 66,88 (BBML) 67,05 (Xtrakter);
il 2037 - 58,87 (BBML) 59,06 (Xtrakter);
il 2040 - 58,72 (BBML) 59,20 (Xtrakter);

GGBei 2025 - 55,63 (BBML), non significativo su Xtrakter
GGBei 2030 - 51,48 (BBML), non significativo su Xtrakter
 

g.ln

Triplo Panico: comprare
panico in calo in Grecia

vi regalo una speranza, tratta da Plus 24 di sabato, pagina 8, colonna 3, previsione di Citi Foreign Exchange (non conosco), a 3-6 mesi spread con il Bund sotto il 6%.
Ora è a 769.
Vorrebbe dunque dire rendimento netto di circa il 7,4% ovvero quotazione del decennale sugli 85, mal contato.
Correggetemi se sbaglio.

Il panico sta abbandonando lentamente in Grecia, che si avvia credo verso rendimenti del 7% circa, più o meno. Quando il panico diminuisce, e i prezzi salgono, io tiro i remi in barca: non medio al rialzo :D.
Buonanotte, Giuseppe
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
GRECIA: BINI SMAGHI, AIUTI FMI PASSEREBBERO A LUNGO TERMINE



16:57 10 OTT 2010

(AGI) - Washington, 10 ott. - Il pacchetto di aiuti garantito dal Fmi alla Grecia potrebbe passare dal breve al lungo termine: lo ha reso noto il membro del board della Bce, Lorenzo Bini Smaghi. A condizione pero', ha aggiunto, "se si capisce che il programma a breve termine e' sulla strada giusta. C'e' qualcosa che ci dice che funziona ma - ha aggiunto - ancora non e' stato deciso nulla".


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Altra buona notizia. .
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
IMF Can Give Greece More Time to Repay Loan, Strauss-Kahn Says

By Sandrine Rastello and Rebecca Christie - Oct 11, 2010 2:03 AM GMT+0200 Mon Oct 11 00:03:33 GMT 20


The International Monetary Fund is prepared to give Greece more time to repay its loan to the institution if European nations, which provided the bulk of a joint 110 billion euro ($154 billion) package, decide to do so first, Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said.

Greek officials are doing “exactly what they need to do” to rein in spending and meet the benchmarks set out as a condition of aid, Strauss-Kahn said in a television interview with Bloomberg HT yesterday. Whether Greece needs the extension depends on the state of the global economy, he said.
“If the Europeans decide to do something, we certainly will do the same thing,” Strauss-Kahn said. “We can do this and it may be useful, but it’s only a small part.”

Investors still demand a yield premium of 754 basis points to lend to Greece rather than Germany for 10 years, the most of any euro nation, though that’s down from a euro-era record of 973 basis points on May 7. The IMF expects the country’s borrowing needs to soar by a third in 2014.

“Greece has borrowed a lot, therefore there are really problems how to service all this debt in the context of a shrinking gross domestic product and very slim growth prospects,” said Domenico Lombardi, a former IMF board member and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Spreading the repayment schedule is about giving “more breathing room for the Greek treasury.”

Strauss-Kahn’s comments followed remarks by European Central Bank executive board member Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, who told a panel in Washington that the IMF had mechanisms to “prolong packages” for countries receiving assistance and is “thinking” about it for Greece, though nothing has been decided.



‘No Concrete Plan’



Simonetta Nardin, a spokeswoman for the fund, said the IMF had “no concrete plan” to alter the schedule of repayments because it’s likely “Greece will be able to fully cover its external financing need from the markets from 2012, as assumed when the program was approved” in May.

“We are aware that markets are concerned about the repayment schedule related to official supports,” she said in an e-mail. If such concerns were to linger, she said, the fund’s options include lengthening repayment periods, replacing shorter-term with longer-term loans, and agreeing to a new program when the current one comes to an end.

ECB governing council member Ewald Nowotny yesterday said stretching out payments did not constitute a restructuring, which was not under discussion. Strauss-Kahn also said there’s “no reason for default.”



Markets Battered



Greek markets have been battered since the end of last year when the newly elected government led by Prime Minister George Papandreou said the budget deficit was twice as big as the previous administration indicated. The disclosure forced Greece to tap a loan facility in April from the European Union and IMF after being shut out of the debt market.
Greece’s gross borrowing needs will rise to 70.8 billion euros in 2014 from 53.2 billion euros the year before as repayments the EU and the fund increase, IMF documents shows.

Strauss-Kahn also said China should allow its currency, the yuan, to appreciate more quickly. He applauded Chinese leaders for beginning a process of reorienting their economy toward domestic consumption, which will lead to a stronger yuan over time.
“You can’t say that they haven’t listened” to IMF calls for action, he said. “They could go faster, but it’s difficult.”

Strauss-Kahn said he expected IMF member nations would reach an agreement over the next two weeks on how to change the fund’s governing structure to give emerging-market nations a bigger voice. He said European nations understand that “they need to make room” and accept a smaller presence on the IMF’s board.

“The designated victims are the Europeans,” Strauss-Kahn said. “The discussion is about the Europeans giving up two seats, which I think they are prepared to do.”

(Bloomberg)
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
FinMin: Greece return to markets sometime in '11



WASHINGTON (ANA-MPA) -- Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou predicted here that Greece will return to international markets "some time in 2011" in terms of state bond issues.

In striking a distinctly optimistic tone in statements on the sidelines of the annual World Bank-IMF fall meetings here, Papaconstantinou cited the drop in spreads by some 200 points over the last few days.

"However, we cannot return to the markets at the moment with bond issues, as the cost of borrowing will be high; in any case, there is no such need as yet, as the agreement with the troika has guaranteed us the capital we need until 2012," he said. (ANA-MPA)

Moreover, the Greek FinMin referred (ANA-MPA) to a distinct reversal of the country's image in international markets, as he cited the achievement of policies over the past five months, one envisioned in the closely watched three-year economic adaptation programme.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Greece confident that it will exit out the dark tunnel in three years


xinhauanet - 10.10.2010


Ten months after the outbreak of the acute debt crisis in Greece which sent shockwave beyond the borders of the eurozone member country, the Greek government expresses confidence that in a three-year period Greece will exit out the dark tunnel and return to growth and prosperity.
The country seems to have left default far behind, held local analysts such as Giannis Stournaras, Director of the Greek Foundation of Economic and Industrial Research. They noted that there are still major challenges ahead and Greece needs to change dramatically, without wasting more time in order to achieve the target set.
Next year will be the decisive second half in the battle to put the national economy in order, step off the deep recession and continue on the course of development, said Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou this week, as his socialist ruling PASOK party marked the first anniversary in government after last year's general elections.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Banks from Greece safe in Serbia

Suzana Bojadić | 11. 10. 2010. - 00:02h


Greek banks in Serbia which hold 20 percent of saving of the total banking sector in the country are safe, their top executives claim. Appeal by authorities in Greece that the National Bank of Greece, Eurobank EFG, Alpha Bank and Pireus Bank consider possibility of uniting and thus becoming stronger, does not mean that in the forthcoming week of saving these four banks operating in Serbia should be avoided, the executives we talked to say.


The Greek Government is faced with huge financial and economic crisis. Strikes are being held throughout the country but that does not mean crisis of the Greek banks in Serbia, ‘Blic’ was told. They also claim that there is not a single reason for the population to be concerned. The arguments are the banks’ high solvency, business dealing under supervision by the National Bank of Serbia and significant independence from the mother banks in view of assets.

(Blic.rs)
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Source says Greece government has € 300 billion worth of land available for sale to investors.



http://www.addthis.com/bookmark.php...reece&as_qdr=d&as_drrb=q&cf=all&start=10&tt=0 http://www.addthis.com/bookmark.php...reece&as_qdr=d&as_drrb=q&cf=all&start=10&tt=0 http://www.addthis.com/bookmark.php...reece&as_qdr=d&as_drrb=q&cf=all&start=10&tt=0 Economic Times - 11.10.2010

The Papandreou administration hired George Papaioannou, the chief executive officer of Piraeus Real Estate, a unit of Piraeus Bank , to assess, value, and dispose of government-owned real estate by sale or lease and bring order to the Greek island transactions . His team’s office is next door to the money museum in Athens, eight floors above a mostly empty shopping mall. They have 50 properties to dispose of throughout the country. “I’m one of the coaches, the man who’s telling the government what they have and how to best sell it,” Papaioannou says. “Don’t ask me how many acres we have, because nobody really knows.”


He doesn’t yet know the details, for example, of the 25 acres of undeveloped beachfront property on the island of Rhodes that the government asked him to assess for the state-owned electrical power company to sell. “It might not even be 25 acres,” Papaioannou says, lighting a cigarette. “It’s the squatters. We don’t know how many there are living on the land.”



Papaioannou’s calculations also indicate the government has € 300 billion worth of land available for sale to investors. History’s last recorded state land sale of such scope was the Louisiana Purchase in 1803, when Napoleon sold 828,000 square miles of North American land inhabited by 74,556 people to the U.S. for $15 million. Like Greece today, France was in desperate need of cash to pay its debts. President Thomas Jefferson shipped Napoleon $3 million in gold bullion and let the emperor finance the rest through bonds issued by Baring & Co. in London and English and Dutch investment houses. “If you put [ € 300 billion] on the creditors’ table, it will cover the fiscal problem,” Papaioannou says. “But it’s up to the government to decide. The biggest problem I face is the bureaucracy. Maybe it’s time to slap them in the face.”



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