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EU Commission: Greece will be able to refinance itself





BRUSSELS | Thu Jan 20, 2011 6:59am EST



BRUSSELS Jan 20 (Reuters) - Greece will be able to refinance itself after 2013 when the European Union and International Monetary Fund financial support programmes end, the European Commissoin said on Thursday.
Asked if the Commission, the EU's executive, was confident Athens could refinance its budget after 2013 without further help, Commission spokesman Amadeu Altafaj told a regular briefing that there was every confidence.
"The programme that has been negotiated with the EU and the IMF with the Greek authorities and hopefully the extensions of the period for the repayment of the loans that is in the pipeline will make that possible indeed," he said.
"So yes, we are confident, the short answer is yes," he said.
 
GERMANIA, BUNDESTAG NON APPROVEREBBE ACQUISTO BOND SOVRANI DA PARTE DI FONDO SALVATAGGIO EFSF - ESPERTO FINANZA PARTITO MERKEL

Reuters - 20/01/2011 13:08:09



Germania,Bundestag al momento contro acquisto bond da parte Efsf

giovedì 20 gennaio 2011 13:16


BERLINO, 20 gennaio (Reuters) - La camera bassa del Parlamento tedesco, il Bundestag, non approverebbe l'acquisto di debito greco da parte del fondo di salvataggio euro, lo ha detto a Reuters Hans Michelbach, l'esperto di finanza del partito della cancelliera Angela Merkel.
"Non vedo a breve una disponibilità all'acquisto di debito pubblico da parte dell'Efsf" ha detto l'esperto.

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Magari tra qualche mese ...
 
Current Account Deficit Decreased By 5.6% In Nov 2010



The Bank of Greece announced on Thursday that the current account deficit reached €2,572 million in November 2010, down by €153 million or 5.6% year-on-year. This improvement is attributable to a rise in the surplus of the services balance and a decrease in the trade deficit. These developments were partly offset by an increase in the income account deficit, while there was also a marginal increase in the deficit of the current transfers balance.

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Intanto qualche barlume di luce si continua ad intravedere ... potete leggere qui il rapporto completo:Current Account Deficit Decreased By 5.6% In Nov 2010 - www.capital.gr
 
EU struggles to keep lid on Greek debt buyback talk





BERLIN | Thu Jan 20, 2011 7:35am EST



BERLIN (Reuters) - Greece and euro zone paymaster Germany tried to fend off talk on Thursday that Athens needed help with debt repayments via a buyback with European funding that could face stiff opposition in national parliaments.

A German paper said euro zone nations were mulling a plan to enable Greece and Ireland to write off some of their debt burden using the European Financial Stability Facility, set up after the Greek bailout as a safety net for others who hit trouble.

The Financial Times Deutschland said euro zone finance ministers, who met on Monday, discussed a plan for the bloc's rescue fund to buy bonds from these states or give them favorable loans for repurchasing debt.

It was not clear under the plan whether bondholders would be paid the face value of the debt or not, leaving open the crucial question of whether investors faced a "haircut."

It is also unclear whether European parliaments would accept changes in rules binding the 440 billion euros fund, whose real lending capacity is much lower because of its complex loan guarantee system.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives looked set to oppose any attempt to use the EFSF to buy up Greek debt, which would have to be approved by national parliaments first, said a senior lawmaker from her Christian Democratic Union.
"I do not see a quick willingness for a purchase of state debt by the EFSF," Hans Michelbach told Reuters.

With Ireland already tapping the fund and Portugal and possibly Spain potentially needing it, Europe is discussing how to beef it up without raising the headline sum, which would also be difficult to sell to the German parliament and public.
The head of the EFSF, Germany's Klaus Regling, denied that Greece needed more funding at the moment.


GERMAN POLITICS CRUCIAL

A Barclays Capital research note said it was "very likely that euro area governments will decide to upsize the EFSF to its statutory lending limit of 440 billion euros."

Barclays said changing the EFSF rules to permit buying government bonds outright was unlikely because parliaments would have to vote on it. But EFSF loans to governments to buy back bonds were "more likely to gather support," including from the European Central Bank which would be relieved of such a role.

The Greek and German governments have repeatedly denied reports that plans were afoot to prepare for a Greek debt rescheduling or restructuring and did so again on Thursday.

Germany's Deputy Finance Minister Steffen Kampeter told Reuters that talk about a restructuring of Greece's sovereign debt was a "fantasy based on rumors and not facts."

But giving Greece and Ireland funds to buy back their own debts would not necessarily construe a restructuring.
Analysts believe Germany's denial is rooted in domestic political considerations, with Chancellor Angela Merkel facing seven state elections this year.

"The key danger for the market is internal German politics where Merkel faces a key state election in Baden Wuertemberg just days after the EU summit (in late March) and given the resistance of the population to bailouts this could lead to procrastination," wrote RBS in a research note.

Merkel's conservatives risk losing the state after 60 years while her Free Democrat (FDP) coalition partners are faring so badly in polls that their leader, deputy chancellor and foreign minister Guido Westerwelle, faces calls to step down.

The FDP sees itself as the champion of German taxpayers and will resist any additional burden being placed on them.
But Merkel's government is being warned by at least some of its select group of "Wise Men" economic advisors to prepare for the worst, such as a Greek debt rescheduling.

Officials in Germany's finance ministry are working on contingency plans to handle the fallout in case Greece defaults or needs to restructure its debt, analyzing what it could mean for German banks and euro zone stability, sources with direct knowledge of the matter said on Wednesday.

Economist Peter Bofinger, a left-leaning member of this group of five, told Handelsblatt daily the European Union should create a "Marshall Plan" for the most indebted euro countries.

Lars Feld, who takes up a "wise man" post in March, told the paper he did "not believe Greece will manage without a cut in its debt" and Germany should take measure so that the guarantees it will provide do not violate a new "debt brake" fiscal law.

This law, which came into effect at the beginning of 2011, stipulates that Germany has to cut its structural deficit to 0.35 percent of gross domestic product by 2016.
 
Dimenticatevi un buyback su tutto il debito...

sarebbe assurdo..
se dovesse mai prendere corpo questa ipotesi, sara' un buyback selettivo e probabilmente anche oneroso per i greci.
 
Prosegue nel pomeriggio l'andamento positivo della Borsa di Atene: l'indice ASE segna 1534 con + 1,78. Buoni anche i volumi.
Spread/bund in restringimento a 833 pb.
 
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