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Secret committee paving way for euro reform


A little known EU committee is busy rewriting the EU's rules on bailouts and national debt without the glare of the media. On the menu of talks are tax co-ordination, national debt brakes and the ins and outs of euro bailouts.

At the height of the Greek debt crisis, the EU set up in May 2010 a European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF).
The facility allows countries to borrow cash on the market against up to 440 billion of joint eurozone government guarantees to help any eurozone member state that cannot finance itself on the markets.

At a summit in October, France and Germany proposed setting up a permanent system to handle crises in the euro zone, admitting it would mean changing the EU treaties.

After the summit, the European Commission outlined details for a eurozone permanent strategy to help countries at risk of defaulting on their debts. EU leaders agreed in December to create a permanent financial safety net in 2013.

The group of technocrats and lawyers, who originate from national finance ministries, are working out all aspects of economic reform currently on the table, most of which is being driven by a German domestic agenda, said EU sources familiar with the matter.

Unofficial officials

Some EU diplomats declined to confirm the group's existence, while others admitted they knew about the group and its discrete status.

"Officially this working group does not exist," an EU diplomat intimated. "There is this ridiculous folklore that this working group does not exist," said another official.

To those in the know, the group is dubbed the Taskforce of the Euro Group Working Group, a subset of the Euro Group Working Group, which comprises the heads of national treasuries, such as France's Ramon Fernandez, and heads of central banks.

The identities of those on the taskforce are anonymous though a source estimates it comprises about ten experts who have an office at the European Commission.

Sources close to the group insist they should be left to their own devices before the market reacts badly to half-baked policies.

"The decision-making process in the EU has suffered enormously because of premature leaks of half-formed policy solutions," said a source who wished to remain anonymous.

Diplomats admitted they had grown frustrated by the increasing secrecy of the group but added that the lawyers had good reason to stay under wraps.

An EU diplomat cast doubts over the taskforce's financial know-how: "I am not sure this group of legal experts properly understands financial markets."

Not so secret policies

Understandably, policymakers are nervous as bond spreads widen across a growing number of countries. However, most of the policies being discussed have already found their way to the press.

The taskforce is reportedly currently busy working out the right size and scope of the EU bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), which has already helped Greece and Ireland. Finance ministers will then discuss the taskforce's findings at an upcoming meeting.

At the ministers last meeting they discussed ways to give more flexibility to the EFSF, including new powers to buy back bonds of debt-ridden economies.

A German agenda

In addition, sources say the taskforce is working off a German agenda driven by a recent dip in the popularity of a governing coalition partner, the German Free Democrats (FDP), and their subsequent populism.
"The single biggest influence in EU policy right now is a domestic and inward-looking situation in Germany," argues a source close to the group.

A package of economic reforms, including a permanent EU rescue fund tied to tighter tax and debt rules, is being finalised in Berlin, according to Wolfgang Schäuble, the German finance minister, speaking in an interview in Tagesspiegel newspaper at the weekend.

Interestingly, the Brussels lawyers are reportedly working on a draft policy to replicate the 2009 German debt brake across the EU, something sources say is also being touted by the Swedish government.

If member states want to increase the size or scope of the fund, then the German government will expect them to imitate the German brake, the 'Schuldenbegrenzungsregelung', which writes deficit limits into the country's constitution, according to an EU diplomat.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy came out in favour of an EU-wide adoption of constitutionally-bound debt brakes in June last year.

The group is allegedly also discussing disbursing euro loans in return for tighter fiscal rules. Germany, France and the European Commission are intent on tying business taxation into any new rules, in particular corporation taxes, said the EU diplomat.

This will not be music to the ears of Irish politicians who made clear in the run-up to the Irish bailout that their low corporation tax, which has attracted a steady influx of multinationals, is a non-negotiable mainstay of Irish industrial policy.


(euractive.com)
 
IMF: Europe poses the key risk to global economy


By Howard Schneider


Europe needs to increase the size of its economic rescue fund and take more decisive action to fix its weaker banks, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday in a new report that cites lingering problems in Europe as the key risk to the global economy.

The 17 nations that share the Euro as a currency pledged roughly $600 billion to assure global markets that troubled countries such as Greece and Ireland would pay their bills. But to assure the fund's credit rating remains high, only about half of that money is actually available -- meaning the fund could, as a practical matter, be tapped out if another country such as Portugal or Spain needs help.

So far, key European nations such as Germany have opposed any increase, arguing that they will bear the brunt of financing more bailouts and don't want to risk their own nation's credit standing.

But on Tuesday the IMF urged Europe to both increase the amount of money available and expand what can be done with it to assure that both European governments and national banking systems remain well-funded. The danger of another Europe-driven crisis remains high, the IMF said, and European leaders have yet to convince markets that they can avoid a national default or major bank failure.

Bank stress tests conducted last summer have been largely discounted. More tests are to be conducted this summer, but Europe needs to ensure that an adequate plan is in place to pump more capital into weak banks or, if necessary, put some out of business.

The rescue fund "should be increased and it should have a more flexible mandate," the IMF said.
In its latest update on the global economy, the IMF said the recovery remained on track and had accelerated slightly at the end of 2010. Overall, the world economy is expected to expand by about 4.4 percent in 2011, but at "two speeds."

Advanced economies are projected to grow around 2.5 percent, while emerging and less developed countries are expected to expand by around 6.5 percent.
The gap between the two carries its own set of risks: Growth is too slow in the developed world to bring down high unemployment, while emerging market economies are beginning to face inflation and rising asset values because of the rapid growth.

But it was Europe that still poses the most acute risk, with banking and government debt problems now closely entwined and with markets unconvinced that officials will adequately address either problem.
"Comprehensive, rapid and decisive policy actions are required," the fund said.

(The Washington Post)
 
Focus on public firms, revenues


Government is eager to show progress regarding closed professions, labor relations to troika representatives
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Athens is desperate to show its international creditors, whose representatives arrive in Greece on Thursday, that it is complying with their requirements as far as labor relations, budget revenues and the streamlining of public companies are concerned.

The quarterly monitoring of Greece’s fiscal efforts will determine whether the fourth installment of loans from the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund, set for March and amounting to 15 billion euros, will be disbursed.

The initial checks will be carried out by technical representatives of Greece’s creditors, with high-level officials set to follow later.
One of their main aims is to establish the extent to which the law on industrial relations is being implemented in practice. They intend to find out if in-house labor contracts do indeed now supercede sectoral labor agreements, otherwise they are bound to seek further action.

The creditors, also known as the troika, have also expressed concern regarding the general government deficit (including the finances of local authorities, public companies etc that were recently included in the fundamentals of the state budget). The final data for 2010 is still pending so there may be some fine-tuning to the targets currently set for the 2011 budget.

Other areas of inspection will include the law liberalizing so-called closed professions and changes to public companies as far as state spending is concerned. The government has committed itself to saving 800 million euros, but has only secured 400 million through salary cuts. The rest will come via public transport fare increases and consumer spending cuts.

Another worry for the troika is state revenues. To this end, Finance Minister Giorgos Papaconstantinou is to present on Tuesday to the Cabinet the new tax bill that will be tabled in Parliament in two weeks’ time.

The draft contains provisions for even tougher sanctions for tax evaders and the strengthening of the inspection mechanism, meant to appease Greece’s creditors.

The measures to be announced reportedly include reclassifying tax evasion for amounts of 75,000 euros and over from a misdemeanor to a felony, as well as heavy penalties for corrupt tax officials and inspectors.

ekathimerini.com , Monday Jan 24, 2011 (22:40)
 
Francia favorevole a ruolo Efsf su mercato secondario

martedì 25 gennaio 2011 09:58



PARIGI, 25 gennaio (Reuters) - E' nell'interesse di tutti consentire che il fondo di stabilità europeo Efsf compri debito sul mercato secondario.
Lo ha detto il direttore del Tesoro francese, Ramon Fernandez.
"Credo che muoversi in questa direzione sia nel nostro interesse collettivo", ha detto Fernandez durante una conferenza a Parigi.
 
Efsf, per bond inaugurale ordini a 48 mld euro - fonti

martedì 25 gennaio 2011 10:06


LONDRA, 25 gennaio (Reuters) - Sono già chiusi i libri per la raccolta ordini del bond inaugurale targato EFSF, con un ammontare a 48 miliardi di euro.
L'indicazione per il rendimento per il bond era di 6-8 punti base sul tasso del midswap, secondo i lead manager dell'operazione, ma alcune fonti dicono che lo spread potrebbe essere ristretto prima del pricing
L'emissione ha scadenza luglio 2016 e rating tripla 'A'.
HSBC, Citi, SG CIB stanno organizzando il deal.
 
I TITOLI DEI GIORNALI:

The parliamentary fact-finding commission's report on the Siemens scandal and the economy were the main front-page items in Athens' dailies on Tuesday.


ADESMEFTOS TYPOS: "Samaras calls for investigation of asset statements of all ministers since 1974".

AVRIANI: "Report (by parliamentary fact-finding commission) on Siemens scandal devastating for the political system".

ELEFTHERI ORA: "Invasion by illegal migrants at Athens University Law School".

ELEFTHEROS: "PASOK, ND find guilty parties (in Siemens scandal) in their political 'cemeteries'."

ELEFTHEROS TYPOS: "Sweeping changes in retail trade".

ELEFTHEROTYPIA: "This is the proposal (containing alternative solutions) for the Greek debt (by the head of the European Support Mechanism)".

ESTIA: "We are following a policy of bankruptcy".

ETHNOS: "Athens University Law School an illegal migrants camp".

IMERISSIA: "Stress test for 40 auxiliary funds".

KATHIMERINI: "Tax evasion becomes a felony, under new tax bill".

LOGOS: "Coming soon: Audits on political parties, too".

NAFTEMPORIKI: "Overdue loans (to Greek banks in 2010) exceed 28 billion euros".

NIKI: "Lock on DEKO (public utilities and organisations) by the (EU-IMF) Troika".

RIZOSPASTIS: "Patriotism, for PASOK and ND, is the profits of the capital".

TA NEA: "All insured workers in the state social security funds may opt for private doctors".

VRADYNI: "Settlement of outstanding debts to the state with discount for the...'Kolonaki doctors' too".

(ana.gr)
 
Nelle prime ore di contrattazione l'indice ASE segna -0.82 a 1535 circa.
Anche gli spread/bund sono tendenzialmente in allargamento, ma entro un range stabile: ora a 826 pb. circa
 
ND foreign policy positions outlined




(ANA-MPA) -- Main opposition New Democracy (ND) leader Antonis Samaras on Monday detailed what he called his party's "red lines" in terms of major foreign policy issues, speaking in Parliament during an off-the-agenda debate he requested.

Specifically, Samaras expressed stern opposition to any thought of "co-exploitation" in the Aegean basin, while rejecting what he called discussions on the Aegean continental shelf issue from "ground zero".

Moreover, the ND leader and early 1990s-era foreign minister called for the establishment of an "exclusive economic zone (EEZ)" in Greece's extended sea regions.

In terms of other foreign policy issues high on Athens' agenda, Samaras warned that his party would oppose any second "Annan peace plan" for Cyprus, while reminding of the previous ND government's success at the 2008 Bucharest NATO summit regarding the "name issue" with the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (fYRoM).

Additionally, he again criticised PM George Papandreou for conducting "secret diplomacy", as he claimed, charging that this "creates more suspicion in the country rather than goodwill with the opposite side".

Referring directly and at length to the EEZ issue, which has generated its share of local press attention of late, he said Cyprus has already concluded such agreements with Israel, Egypt and Lebanon, whereas Greece should immediately do the same with Cyprus, followed by Egypt and Libya.

Samaras said an agreement with Cyprus would also overcome the "non-existent", as he said, issue recently arisen in the press with the Greek isle of Kastellorizo.

Along these lines, he said he will not accept the Aegean Sea's characterisation as a "semi-enclosed" or "enclosed sea", something he said would overturn provisions foreseen in the International Law of the Sea and be considered as a resignation, on Greece's part, of its rights.

In touching on the timely problem of illegal immigration, Samaras called on Papandreou to show increased zeal on the issue of migrants' repatriation via Turkey, which has signed a relevant 2001 bilateral protocol with Greece that it does not fulfill, as he said.

Furthermore, he sharply criticised the government for its agreement with the EU-ECB-IMF "troika", charging that "as a government, with the memorandum it acceded to the inspection (of Greek finances) by international organisations, something that was not done by countries with similar problems and ones that engaged in negotiations over terms, such as Ireland."

"We agree with structural reforms, but we do not dream of any sort of 'global governance' ... No country takes such outdated ideas seriously," he pointedly said.

Finally, he clarified that a souring of relations between Turkey and Israel presents a greater opportunity for closer ties with the latter, without, at the same time, deviating from the standing Greek positions regarding the Palestinian issue.

(ana.gr)

***
Il punto di vista dell'opposizione.
 
Titoli Stato, torna pressione periferici, spread Btp/Bund +5 pb

martedì 25 gennaio 2011 10:49



LONDRA, 25 gennaio (Reuters) - Il premio di rendimento richiesto dagli investitori per mantenere in portafoglio titoli di Stato di paesi non 'core' come Portogallo e Italia rispetto al Bund tedesco torna ad aumentare.
A monte del movimento, spiegano gli operatori, timori circa il costo della ricapitalizzazione delle banche spagnole.
"I periferici si stanno leggermente indebolendo questa mattina, il mercato sta reagendo in maniera negativa all'annuncio che per risanare le casse di risparmio spagnole sono necessari 20 miliardi di euro: si tratta di un valore nella parte più bassa delle aspettative del mercato" spiega un trader.
Il ministro dell'Economia spagnolo Elena Salgado ha annunciato ieri sera che il sistema bancario nazionale non necessita di oltre 20 miliardi di nuovo capitale.
La forchetta di rendimento Italia/Germania IT10DE10=TWEB viaggia in area 159 punti base, 5 oltre la chiusura precedente, mentre la forbice Portogallo/Germania si allarga di una decina di centesimi a 380 e il differenziale Spagna/Germania passa a 204 centesimi, in rialzo di 5 tick.
Il mercato dalla liquidità molto ridotta, spiega un secondo trader, tende ad amplificare le oscillazioni e favorire le prese di profitto dopo il recente recupero della periferia.


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