Titoli di Stato area Euro GRECIA Operativo titoli di stato - Cap. 1 (19 lettori)

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tommy271

Forumer storico
EURO GOVT-Bunds steady, more peripheral stress seen






LONDON, April 15 | Fri Apr 15, 2011 2:15am EDT



LONDON, April 15 (Reuters) - German government bonds were steady at Friday's open, failing to gain traction from a renewed bout of worries over the region's highly indebted issuers which is likely to see yields for their bonds continue to head higher.
Greece will present fresh austerity and privatisation plans on Friday in an attempt to convince markets it can tidy up its finances and avoid restructuring its debt.

Moody's downgraded Ireland to Baa3, the lowest investment grade rating, from Baa1 early on Friday.

June Bund futures FGBLc1 were 3 ticks higher at 120.72.
"We're probably going to see yields drift up on the periphery but Bunds aren't getting much of a lift from it, probably because no one has positions in Greece, Ireland or Portugal anymore," said a trader.
Technical resistance comes at Thursday's high of 121.11 and last week's high of 121.23, with support at 121.29, the five-day moving average and 119.89, corresponding to the key 3.5 percent level in yields, the trader said.
Two-year bond yields DE2YT=TWEB were half a basis point lower at 1.864 percent, with 10-year yields DE10YT=TWEB little changed at 3.425 percent.
Bund underperformance has compressed the 10-year spread between German bonds and Treasuries to its lowest since late 2009 at below 0.5 basis points.
"Bunds are looking cheap on a cross-market basis," said the trader.
"We need some more hawkish rhetoric from the central bank to justify where we are versus Treasuries and Gilts."
Fears of an eventual debt restructuring pushed Greek yields up by as much as one percentage point on Thursday and weighed on the wider periphery, with Portuguese yields hitting new highs.
A final reading of euro zone inflation for March is expected to confirm a rise to 2.6 percent, keeping pressure on the ECB to tighten policy.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Greece Will Cut Spending, Sell Assets to Meet Deficit Goals as Yields Soar

By Marcus Bensasson - Apr 14, 2011 11:00 PM GMT+0200 Thu Apr 14 21:00:01 GMT 2011

Greece will announce measures today to meet its deficit-reduction goals after the country’s bond yields hit new highs amid talk it may restructure its debt.
The government’s medium term-fiscal policy plan will detail more than 22 billion euros ($31.9 billion) of deficit-reduction measures through 2014, most of them in spending cuts, according to Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou. The government is also expected to unveil plans to raise 15 billion euros by 2013 through state-asset sales.
Greece came close to defaulting on its debt last year, requiring a 110 billion-euro bailout from the European Union and International Monetary Fund, after it emerged that the country had underreported the size of a budget deficit that reached 15.4 percent of gross domestic product in 2009. The extra yield investors demand to hold 10-year Greek debt instead of benchmark German bunds widened 37 basis points to a record 985 basis points yesterday after German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said Greece may have to renegotiate its debt burden.
“There is no question of restructuring,” Greek government spokesman George Petalotis said in an e-mailed statement yesterday. “What the government has to do, and it is the most serious job, so serious that it casts aside any other scenario, is to set goals and stick to them. And that’s what we’re doing with this national strategic plan.”
The measures are aimed at meeting a target, agreed with the EU and IMF as a condition for the bailout, to cut the deficit to less than 3 percent of GDP by 2014 and a self-imposed goal of cutting the shortfall below 1 percent by 2015. The government is still aiming for a deficit of 7.4 percent of GDP this year, even as first-quarter revenue missed the target by 1.4 billion euros.



Deficit Revision

Papaconstantinou acknowledged in an April 1 interview that Greece’s 2010 deficit may be more than the government’s initial 9.4 percent projection. The figure, currently under review by EU statistics agency Eurostat, may be revised to above 10 percent, the Kathimerini newspaper reported on March 29.
Greece’s Public Debt Service Management Agency will today announce the amount of 13-week treasury bills it will sell next week. Greece has continued to hold regular T-bill auctions even as it remains frozen out of international bond markets.



(Bloomberg)
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Government to unveil key economic policies

PM faces race against time to convince skeptical MPs by mid-May, when measures will be voted on


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The unveiling of key economic policies, including the latest austerity measures, is due on Friday amid growing unrest in the ruling PASOK party, which the government will have to quell in the next few weeks if it is to avoid a defeat in Parliament and the need to call snap elections.
A cabinet meeting is due to be held on Friday morning to discuss the government’s midterm fiscal plan, to cover the 2012-15 period, and its ideas for making further cuts to public spending and raising more revenues, which are designed to save Greece 23 billion euros.
After ministers have been briefed by Prime Minister George Papandreou and Finance Minister Giorgos Papaconstantinou, the government’s intentions will be presented to PASOK MPs and then the party’s political council.
The measures are due to be submitted in Parliament in mid-May, by which time Papandreou will be hoping to have won round a number of PASOK MPs who have over the last few weeks been expressing serious concerns about the direction of the government’s economic policy. Should Papandreou not be able to convince enough deputies by then, his government faces the prospect of losing the vote. This would almost certainly lead to the premier having to call early elections.
Government sources said that when he addresses PASOK MPs and party members today, he will try to get across the idea that they all have a shared responsibility in trying to stabilize the Greek economy and help the government get over its debt crisis. However, Papandreou is not expected to seek direct confrontation with any of the skeptical parliamentarians.
Papaconstantinou came under fire again on Thursday from dissenting lawmakers when he met with members of PASOK’s political council. They accused him of not coming up with a clear plan to get Greece out of the crisis and of not allowing economic policy to be debated properly. Several party members also raised the issue of debt restructuring, which the finance minister tried to quash by saying that it would be damaging to discuss such an option at the moment.
While Papaconstantinou was fielding the concerns of party members, Health Minister Andreas Loverdos was on the receiving end of the public’s anger as eggs were thrown at him and his advisers when they visited a retirement home in Athens.






ekathimerini.com , Thursday April 14, 2011 (22:51)
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Tommy volevo sapere ,se il 30-50-70 % di taglio nominale, si conteggia come penso, sul prezzo di emissione 100.Non pensi sia più plausibile, un allungamento delle scadenze con taglio della cedola?

Se hai il nominale a 10.000 euro in caso di haircut al 70% avrai 3.000 euro.

La mia ipotesi rimane quella di un concambio con titoli EFSF con taglio cedolare (rispetto ai GGB) e allungamento della scadenza.
Al momento, però, non trova nessun riscontro.
 

Grisù

Forumer attivo
secondo me in risposta:

1)gli fa comodo la speculazione poiche deve comprarsi roccaforti commerciali e aziende greche, al prezzo piu basso possibile!
2)si, gli piacciono i PTC greci al 4,8% quando vende i suoi allo 1% (te lo faresti, io si).
3)non è suo reale interesse, gioca a poker, gli interessa solo il fly to quality (e poi che quality....:eek:) per emettere debito a basso costo e colonizzare.
4)assolutamente no, tornare al Marco sarebbe controproducente perche sarebbe una moneta forte, la Germania vuole una moneta debole x esportare e arricchirsi e quindi gli serve l'euro e tanti stati schifosamente deboli.
5)i tedeschi non stanno simpatici a nessuno per svariati motivi, ma le loro scelte si sono rivelate ad oggi giuste per la loro economia (non parlo di umanità, solo di economia)
6)assolutamente no, saremmo sempre gli schiavi della gente che parla tedesco.

ragionandosci su se tu fossi alla guida della germania avresti fatto lo stesso?
secono me il loro piano è diabolicamente perfetto per il loro interesse, oggi hanno un problema, l'euro a 1,45...lo risolveranno facendo perdere credibilità all'europa periferica senza perderla loro, cosa che non potrebbero fare con il Marco per ovvi motivi.

Ottimo intervento che fotografa assai bene lo scenario attuale.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
L'apertura degli spread non segnala movimenti significativi, siamo sulle stesse posizioni di ieri durante il periodo di max contrattazione. Intorno al migliaio di pb.
Vediamo più avanti con l'apertura della Borsa di Atene ...


Con l'apertura dei mercati alle ore 9,00 piccolo rientro a 993 pb.
 
Ultima modifica:

tommy271

Forumer storico
Bond euro, Bund apre stabile, visto stress per periferici

venerdì 15 aprile 2011 08:44






LONDRA, 15 aprile (Reuters) - Apertura nel segno della
stabilità per i titoli di Stato tedeschi, mentre i mercati si
aspettano un certo stress per i periferici.

La Grecia presenterà infatti un nuovo piano di austerità e
un piano di privatizzazioni nel tentativo di convincere i
mercati della sua capacità di fare ordine nelle sue finanze e di
non dover ricorrere alla ristrutturazione del debito.

Sempre sul fronte periferie, Moody's ha tagliato il rating
dell'Irlanda di due notch a Baa3 da Baa1, mantenendo l'outlook
negativo sul merito di credito del Paese.

"Vedremo probabilmente un rialzo dei rendimenti sui
periferici, ma i Bund non ne stanno traendo grande rialzo,
probabilmente perché nessuno ha più posizioni su Grecia, Irlanda
e Portogallo" ha detto un trader.

***
In italiano.
 

tommy271

Forumer storico
Vice Foreign Minister Fu Ying Meets with Greek Minister of State Pamboukis


2011/04/13
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On April 13, 2011, Vice Foreign Minister Fu Ying met with visiting Greek Minister of State Haris Pamboukis.
Fu spoke highly of China-Greece relations and said that China expects to work with Greece to implement the consensus reached between leaders of both sides, maintain high-level exchange of visits, expand pragmatic cooperation and achieve mutual benefit. Pamboukis noted that in recent years Greece and China have maintained frequent high-level exchange of visits and development of bilateral relations. Greece is a good partner of China in the EU and expects to strengthen exchanges and cooperation with China in all fields. The two sides also mentioned that the reopening of China-Greece flight course by Air China on May 11 will facilitate the people-to-people contacts and tourism cooperation between the two countries and this opportunity should be seized to deepen the bilateral ties.



Vice Foreign Minister Fu Ying Meets with Greek Minister of State Pamboukis
 
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