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Brussels: Outside agency for Greek sell-off would threaten sovereignty


Today @ 17:42 CET


EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The European Commission has warned that an international body taking charge of Greece's €50 billion privatisation programme - an idea that is being pushed by the Netherlands and Luxembourg - would threaten the country's sovereignty.
The EU executive's economy spokesman, Amadeu Altafaj-Tardio told reporters on Monday (30 May) that while the commission would be happy to offer technical assistance to support Greece in the task, it should remain under the management of the Greek government.
"The commission would like to recall that we in the past have offered international technical assistance to Greece, notably in the reshaping of the statistics office," he told reporters in Brussels. "But we have not received any request from the Greek authorities and there would have to be a request from them before any technical assistance could be offered."
He emphasised that the commission preferred to offer "technical assistance" rather than the Dutch proposal for international oversight "because international authorities taking control of the privatisation process - I don't think you can do that in a sovereign country."
He highlighted that Athens had already achieved success in reducing the government deficit by five percent this year and its transformation of the Greek statistical agency "into a completely new office that provides accurate statistics for the first time." He added: "We trust the Greeks to perform the privatisation themselves."
The comments were made in relation to a call issued on Thursday by Dutch finance minister Jan Kees de Jager in an interview with the FT Deutschland business daily.
De Jager said that the privatisation process should be taken out of Greek hands and placed under international supervision. The scheme would be modelled on the German Treuhandanstalt, or Trust Agency, the independent body that carried out the privatisation of the former East Germany's state property after the fall of the Berlin Wall.
The privatisation assets placed in such a Greek agency "should be used as collateral for the loans," De Jager said, referring to a potential €60-70 billion second bail-out of the country currently in discussion.
He conceded that such a move would face significant domestic opposition. "The Greek parliament will not like it but I think you such sensitivities no longer matter," he said. "The Greek government and parliament must be clear that a renewed rescue package creates political costs This is the same in the Netherlands and Germany."
An EU diplomat familiar with the proposal told EUobserver: "The idea is not a Dutch idea per se, but they are spearheading it ... It's not so much that the Greeks cannot be trusted. It's just that they are clearly having so much trouble pushing these sorts of things through."
The contact added: "In a way, it can be seen as giving them a helping hand. Independent outside experts will be much more able to push through the tough measures than domestic politicians."
The source noted that it is premature to be discussing which countries or institutional actors would be represented in the agency.
The Dutch have an ally in Jean-Claude Juncker, the chair of the eurogroup of states, who is also taking a hard line on the question of taking the privatisation process out of Greek hands.
"I would welcome it very much if our Greek friends found a privatization agency independent of the government and modeled after Germany's Treuhandanstalt," he said in an interview with newsweekly Der Spiegel last week. "Henceforth, the European Union will escort Greece's privatization program as if we were conducting it ourselves." Juncker added Greece should sell off more than the €50 billion originally planned.
The troika of the EU, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank estimate Greece to have at its disposal a total of €500 billion in wealth between its financial assets, public enterprises and real estate holdings.
Germany however is thought to want to wait for the report back from troika inspectors on the state of Greek finances and its performance in implementing austerity, structural adjustment and privatisation measures.
The assessment is due by the end of the this week or the beginning of next week at the latest.


(euobserver.com)
 
EURO GOVT-Bund yields seen subdued below 3 pct on Greek woes






Mon May 30, 2011 11:49am EDT

* Bund yields could stay below 3 pct near term on Greek woes
* Could bounce back above it going into the June ECB meeting
* Italian govt debt auction sees decent demand




By Emelia Sithole-Matarise and Marius Zaharia


LONDON, May 30 (Reuters) - German 10-year Bund yields fell to fresh five-month lows on Monday and could plumb six-month troughs in coming days as investors fret over whether Greece will receive a vital new tranche of its bailout loan. European Union and International Monetary Fund officials are expected to decide on Greece's faltering drive to bring its deficit under control later this week and the next aid tranche was far from certain as the government failed to get opposition backing for fresh austerity steps.

Greek yields rose 15 to 50 basis points across the curve with the Greek opposition raising the stakes in its standoff with the government, demanding on Monday lower taxes as a condition for reaching political consensus.
If Greece fails to get funds, it faces the possibility of defaulting on 13.4 billion euros worth of repayments in July. Euro zone leaders' indecision over what should be the solution to the crisis was also hitting sentiment, with markets increasingly pricing in some form of restructuring.
Benchmark German Bund prices held onto last week's gains, with the 10-year yield DE10YT=TWEB slipping further below the psychologically significant 3 percent level to 2.973 percent, its lowest since Janury.
"We expect the Bund rally to continue with what's going on with Greece. Until they come up with a solution it's very difficult to find a respite for Greece," ING strategist Alessandro Giansanti said.
Bund futures FGBLc1 were seven ticks up on the day at 125.71 towards the settlement close albeit in ultra-thin volumes of 137,000 lots, about a tenth of average daily turnover due to public holidays in UK and U.S markets.
"(Ten-year) yields could stay just below 3 percent for a little longer, they could even fall further if the risk-off (sentiment) were to see another boost," said Rainer Guntermann, strategist at Commerzbank.
"Once the Greek situation is solved and once the next ECB rate hike takes shape," Bund yields would rise back above 3 percent, he added.
Meantime, Bund yields are seen next targetting 2.95 percent, which is the 38 percent retracement of the August 2010 to April 2011 rise, a breach of which will lead to 2.90 percent, its lowest since Dec. 6.



CONTAGION EFFECTS


The main concern in case Greece restructures its debt is that other lower-rated states will suffer from contagion effects and eventually face similar consequences.
The 10-year Spanish and Italian debt yield premiums over German Bunds widened by six bps each to 241 and 183 bps respectively though holiday-thinned trade exaggerated the moves. In the primary market, investors shrugged off tensions over Greece with an Italian auction of 8.3 billion euros worth of bonds drawing healthy demand. [ID:nLDE74T0BE] "It's a reassuring result given what's happening in Greece," ING's Giansanti said.
A solution for Greece was nowhere near being seen as time was running out and some in the market speculate that an announcement on the country's fate could be delayed for a week or more, until a consensus was reached.
KBC strategist Piet Lammens said it was unlikely that the IMF's assessment would be favourable as Greece probably missed its programme targets and investors would be kept on edge until the next step becomes clear.
The next key development, he said, was when one of the sides involved in negotiating a solution showed signs of a softer stance. If it comes from the ECB that may mean that a restructuring is in the pipeline, while if it comes from European countries, it may mean a new bailout could be agreed.
Either way, Greek yields were likely to remain at elevated levels as markets were increasingly convinced haircuts could be imposed at some point.
At some 1,450 bps, 5-year credit default swaps indicate a 73 percent probability of a default based on a 43 percent recovery rate, according to Reuters calculations based on Markit data.
"Probably politicians will find a solution, but even if they are successful this time, nothing can be a game changer," one trader said.
 
Si ma fino a un certo punto.
La popolazione resta padrona di protestare, persino di insorgere e al limite di fare una rivoluzione.
L'UE può essere legittimata in questa sorta di commissariamento dell'economia Greca solo perché lo stato Greco per sua libera scelta cede le redini delle decisioni economiche all'UE. Ma se cade il governo e prevale un indirizzo antieuropeista chiaramente l'UE non ha alcuna legittimazione.

Francamente messa così, di fatto, siamo quasi alla destituzione di uno stato sovrano. E' qualche cosa che potrebbe essere presa come la goccia che fa traboccare il vaso, da chi volesse cavalcare il malcontento della piazza.
Si potrebbe quasi aizzare la piazza al grido di "cacciate gli invasori" (nell'età classica avrebbero detto "i barbari" :D).

Se provano a farlo in Irlanda uno scherzetto del genere, la piazza ci mette veramente un minuto a reclamare un referendum per uscire dall'UE.

Brussels: Outside agency for Greek sell-off would threaten sovereignty


Today @ 17:42 CET


EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The European Commission has warned that an international body taking charge of Greece's €50 billion privatisation programme - an idea that is being pushed by the Netherlands and Luxembourg - would threaten the country's sovereignty.
The EU executive's economy spokesman, Amadeu Altafaj-Tardio told reporters on Monday (30 May) that while the commission would be happy to offer technical assistance to support Greece in the task, it should remain under the management of the Greek government.
"The commission would like to recall that we in the past have offered international technical assistance to Greece, notably in the reshaping of the statistics office," he told reporters in Brussels. "But we have not received any request from the Greek authorities and there would have to be a request from them before any technical assistance could be offered."
He emphasised that the commission preferred to offer "technical assistance" rather than the Dutch proposal for international oversight "because international authorities taking control of the privatisation process - I don't think you can do that in a sovereign country."
He highlighted that Athens had already achieved success in reducing the government deficit by five percent this year and its transformation of the Greek statistical agency "into a completely new office that provides accurate statistics for the first time." He added: "We trust the Greeks to perform the privatisation themselves."
The comments were made in relation to a call issued on Thursday by Dutch finance minister Jan Kees de Jager in an interview with the FT Deutschland business daily.
De Jager said that the privatisation process should be taken out of Greek hands and placed under international supervision. The scheme would be modelled on the German Treuhandanstalt, or Trust Agency, the independent body that carried out the privatisation of the former East Germany's state property after the fall of the Berlin Wall.
The privatisation assets placed in such a Greek agency "should be used as collateral for the loans," De Jager said, referring to a potential €60-70 billion second bail-out of the country currently in discussion.
He conceded that such a move would face significant domestic opposition. "The Greek parliament will not like it but I think you such sensitivities no longer matter," he said. "The Greek government and parliament must be clear that a renewed rescue package creates political costs This is the same in the Netherlands and Germany."
An EU diplomat familiar with the proposal told EUobserver: "The idea is not a Dutch idea per se, but they are spearheading it ... It's not so much that the Greeks cannot be trusted. It's just that they are clearly having so much trouble pushing these sorts of things through."
The contact added: "In a way, it can be seen as giving them a helping hand. Independent outside experts will be much more able to push through the tough measures than domestic politicians."
The source noted that it is premature to be discussing which countries or institutional actors would be represented in the agency.
The Dutch have an ally in Jean-Claude Juncker, the chair of the eurogroup of states, who is also taking a hard line on the question of taking the privatisation process out of Greek hands.
"I would welcome it very much if our Greek friends found a privatization agency independent of the government and modeled after Germany's Treuhandanstalt," he said in an interview with newsweekly Der Spiegel last week. "Henceforth, the European Union will escort Greece's privatization program as if we were conducting it ourselves." Juncker added Greece should sell off more than the €50 billion originally planned.
The troika of the EU, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank estimate Greece to have at its disposal a total of €500 billion in wealth between its financial assets, public enterprises and real estate holdings.
Germany however is thought to want to wait for the report back from troika inspectors on the state of Greek finances and its performance in implementing austerity, structural adjustment and privatisation measures.
The assessment is due by the end of the this week or the beginning of next week at the latest.


(euobserver.com)

:D
 
Grecia, Juncker si dice ottimista per nuovo piano di aiuti

lunedì 30 maggio 2011 18:44



PARIGI, 30 maggio (Reuters) - Il capo dell'Eurogruppo Jean-Claude Juncker ha detto oggi di essere abbastanza ottimista sulla possibilità di un nuovo piano di aiuti per la Grecia ribadendo che la ristrutturazione totale del debito del paese non è un'opzione.
"La ristrutturazione totale del debito greco non è un'opzione" e non è prevista da nessuno, ha detto dopo l'incontro con il presidente francese Nicolas Sarkozy.
"Sono abbastanza ottimista" che verrà redatto per la Grecia un secondo piano di aiuti" ha aggiunto.



***
Andremo verso un "reprofiling volontario" indirizzato agli "Istituzionali" ...
 
EU Juncker: 'Total' Greek Debt Restructuring Not Option



PARIS (Dow Jones)--A "total" restructuring of Greek debt is not an option, although European officials will look at how to involve the private sector in resolving Greece's debt crisis, the head of the euro group Jean-Claude Juncker said Monday.
"A total restructuring of Greek debt is not an option and nobody is planning it," Juncker said as he left a meeting with French President Nicolas Sarkozy in Paris.
"We will try to resolve the Greek problem between now and the end of June," Juncker said.
Juncker said it is too early to have a definitive answer to the problem before the report from the Troika--the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund--at "the beginning of next week."
Sarkozy said Friday the burden of Greece's crisis can be shared with the private sector, without restructuring its debt or endangering the credibility of the single currency block.
But the French President did not explain what that solution might involve. "There are formulae and there is no problem" to involve the private sector, Sarkozy said at the Group of eight leading economies summit in Deauville Friday. "And it's in this direction that everyone should converge."
Markets have been nervous over the last week as they try to guess to what degree if at all Greece's debt mountain will be restructured.
"The problem of the involvement of the private sector is a problem we will look at with all the required attention," Juncker said, without giving further details
 
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