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ASE Moves Sharply Upwards



The sentiment in the Athens Stock Exchange is almost enthusiastic on Tuesday, on expectations of a positive outcome regarding the disbursement of the fifth instalment of the loan, while foreign press reports focus on a possible new aid loan to Greece.

After a prolonged period of weakness that the investing sentiment had being carried by hearsay and public statements, the domestic market reacts from the 14-year lows that recorded recently.


It is indicative that the cumulative losses of the General Index exceeded 13% in May, with only 6 upward sessions for the month, while cumulative losses of banks and FTSE20 amounted to 18.4% and 15.3% respectively.


Market analysts speak of a sharp reverse of investment psychology, which may enact a part of investors in waiting.


The narrowing of Greek government bond spreads contributes to the positive sentiment, while the trading turnover would be crucial for today’s meeting.


Analysts however state that “still nothing has been decided officially” and warn of highly volatile sessions, and that the upward reaction could provide an opportunity for consolidation for several investors.

Across the board, the General Index moves in positive territory since the beginning of the session, posting profits of 3.63%, at 1,285.22 units. The turnover stands at €56.9m, while a total amount of 117 shares rise, 28 decline and 28 remain unchanged.

Banks move sharply upwards, with gains of 5.69%, at 935.71 units. Eurobank soars, recording profits of 7.67%, while Hellenic Postbank and National Bank jump by 6.55% and 6.32% respectively.

(capital.gr)
 
I TITOLI DEI GIORNALI:

The Tuesday edition of Athens' dailies at a glance
The government's negotiations with the Troika (EC, IMF, ECB) for the disbursement of the fifth installment of the EU-IMF bailout loan, the new tax package, the rapid privatisations beginning with Hellenic Telecommunications Organisation (OTE), turmoil in ruling PASOK and the cuts in civil servants' lump sum retirement superannuity and benefits, dominated the headlines on Tuesday in Athens' newspapers.


ADESMEFTOS TYPOS: "One billion euros will be channeled to small and medium sized enterprises".
AVGHI: "The auction begins".
AVRIANI: "Our taxes will go to the Troika".
ELEFTHEROS TYPOS: "Layoffs and cutbacks in salaries 'sealed'."
ELEFTHEROTYPIA: "Venomous installment - Painful and rapid privatisations agreed before the disbursement".
ESTIA: "Additional taxes a huge mistake".
ETHNOS: "Discounts in the new tax package".
IMERISSIA: "Agreement with the Troika - The mid-term programme to be 'sealed' within the next days".
KATHIMERINI: "Wave of 'indignants' in ruling PASOK".
NAFTEMPORIKI: "The fifth installment to be judged by the end of the week".
RIZOSPASTIS: "June 3, day of action with PAME (labour union affiliated to Communist Party of Greece) against the new measures".
TA NEA: "Cuts to retirement superannuity and benefits".
VRADYNI: "70,000 unemployed to be hired in tourism sector"

(ana.gr)
 
Grecia, troika Ue-Fmi-Bce approva taglio Iva - fonte Germania
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Reuters - 31/05/2011 13:15:49
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BERLINO, 31 maggio (Reuters) - La missione Ue, Fmi e Bce detta 'troika', incaricata di esaminare il progressi di Atene nel percorso di rientro del deficit, ha concordato di concedere un taglio sull'imposta a valore aggiunto in modo da guadagnare il sostegno politico necessario al nuovo pacchetto di austerity.

Lo riferisce una fonte della coalizione di maggioranza tedesca.

"Lo hanno concordato", dice la fonte a condizione di restare anonima, confermando così indiscrezioni della stampa greca di questa mattina che parlavano di una riduzione dell'Iva.
 
Greece Will Probably Get EU Aid to Avoid Default, Fitch Says

By Andrew Davis and Helene Fouquet - May 31, 2011 12:57 PM GMT+0200 Tue May 31 10:57:10 GMT 2011



Greece will probably get the bailout loans needed to avoid becoming the first euro country to default, Fitch Ratings said.
While filling a financing hole of about 30 billion euros ($43 billion) next year, the European Union also probably won’t force Greece to extend maturities, a step opposed by the European Central Bank, according to today’s Fitch note.
Greece will probably remain shut out of financial markets beyond the scheduled end of the 110 billion-euro bailout in May 2013, Fitch said in a report on its May 20 decision to cut Greece’s credit rating to three levels to B+.
“Incorporated into the B+ rating is Fitch’s expectation that substantial new money will be forthcoming for Greece from the EU and the IMF and that Greek sovereign bonds will not be subject to a “soft restructuring” or “re-profiling” that would trigger a “credit event” and consequently a default rating from the agency,” Fitch said.
Under the terms of the rescue package, Greece was due to sell about 30 billion euros of bonds next year. With its 10-year bonds yielding 16.4 percent, more than twice the level at the time of the bailout, the EU has indicated Greece will need more aid. The IMF has indicated it will withhold its one-third share of the bailout payments until Greece’s financing is clear.
“Without renewed market access, new money from official creditors will be required to address the fiscal funding shortfalls that are set to reappear in 2012,” Fitch said. “Additional financial support for Greece would only be credible in providing a path to solvency if it were fully funded beyond the end of the current 110 billion-euro program in 2013.”



ECB Clash

EU and ECB officials remain divided over how to aid Greece, with some European leaders calling for new loans and a debt “re-profiling” -- convincing bondholders to voluntarily accept an extension of maturities. ECB officials have said “re- profiling” is tantamount to default and would prompt the Frankfurt-based central bank to refuse to accept Greek bonds as collateral in their emergency funding operations, wiping out the capital of the Greek banking system, the biggest holder of the country’s bonds.
The euro rose to a three-week high against the dollar on optimism officials will agree on further Greek aid, trading at $1.4399 at 12:35 p.m. in Brussels, up 0.8 percent on the day.
EU leaders will decide on additional aid for Greece by the end of June and have ruled out a “total restructuring” of the nation’s debt, said Jean-Claude Juncker, head of the group of euro-area finance ministers.
Inspectors from the EU, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank are set to wrap up a review of Greece’s progress in meeting the bailout terms in coming days. The EU will then formulate its plan for further aid to Greece.



(Bloomberg)
 
Forecast on industrial investments turns positive




Investment spending in the industrial sector is expected to grow this year in the first positive forecast since early 2008, as companies move to upgrade equipment and boost production capacity, according to the Foundation for Economic and Industrial Research (IOBE).
In a survey report completed in March, IOBE said that companies in the sector expect to increase 2011 investment spending by 2.5 percent year-on-year after it fell by 12.2 percent in 2010.
The last time industrial companies in Greece had forecast a positive growth rate for investment spending was in March 2008, according to IOBE.
“The forecast is for a mild rebound which stems from attempts to offset drops in the past two years, supported by projects arising from the new investment law and the implementation of the ESPA program (the EU’s 2007-2013 funding program),” IOBE said.
Upgrading equipment ranks at the top of investment needs along with efforts to boost production capacity, according to 26 percent of respondents followed by steps to improve production methods, the report added.






ekathimerini.com , Tuesday May 31, 2011 (14:12)
 
Greek Loans Increase May Cost Less Than Restructuring, CreditSights Says

By John Glover - May 31, 2011 12:56 PM GMT+0200 Tue May 31 10:56:22 GMT 2011



Tackling the Greek crisis may be better left until 2013 because forcing losses on bondholders this year may cost more than extending new loans, according to analysts at CreditSights Inc.
Greece forecasts its budget deficit between now and 2013 will be 42 billion euros ($60 billion), a gap creditors aren’t likely to fund if they’ve just taken losses in a restructuring, according to a report by analysts led by David Watts in London. There’s also the risk that a restructuring may create contagion for Spain and “potentially even Italy,” they wrote.
There are reasons to prefer tackling the problem in 2013 rather than earlier,” Watts said in an interview. “There’s a risk that if Greek private-sector creditors are forced to accept losses in 2011, the cost to European taxpayers between now and then could be greater than the cost of expanding the Greek lending facility.”
Inspectors from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund are wrapping up a review of Greece’s progress before deciding on further aid, including the release of 25.5 billion euros. The country has 26 billion euros of debt maturing this year, of which 11 billion euros is in bills that it will need to roll over to fund its budget deficit, CreditSights said.
A liquidity crisis can happen really, really quickly, especially if the bill market gets scared,” Watts said. “I can’t see how it wouldn’t if Greece doesn’t get the additional funding.”



(Bloomberg)
 
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ESEGP Buy MOT GREECE 11MZ19 5 EUR 5000 51,63 31/05/11 12:57:19 3000 51,63
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Non so se qualcuno ha già postato:

Grecia: ok di Ue, Bce e Fmi al taglio dell´Iva (Reuters)

Finanzaonline.com - 31.5.11/13:26

Secondo indiscrezioni riportate dall´agenzia Reuters, i funzionari di Ue, Bce e Fmi avrebbero dato il via libera ad un taglio dell´imposta sul valore aggiunto da parte dell´esecutivo greco. La misura mira ad incrementare il consenso politico per il nuovo piano di austerità.


Fonte: Finanza.com
 
ESEGP Buy MOT GREECE 11MZ19 5 EUR 10000 52,4 31/05/11 13:02:34 5000 52,40
- - 05311...
ESEG Buy MOT GREECE 11MZ19 5 EUR 5000 52,4 31/05/11 13:00:27 5000 52,40
- - 05311...
ESEGP Buy MOT GREECE 11MZ19 5 EUR 5000 51,63 31/05/11 12:57:19 3000 51,63
- - 05311...
ESEG Buy MOT HEL REPUBLIC 14 5.5 EUR 7000 61 31/05/11 11:20:46 7000 61,00
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