Obbligazioni societarie HIGH YIELD e oltre, verso frontiere inesplorate - Vol. 1

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Kion to tap European HY markets with EUR 400 mn issue
Participation in new issue should depend on pricing
Kion, Europe’s largest manufacturer of industrial trucks (35% market share in Europe and 15% globally) owned by funds advised by KKR and Goldman Sachs Capital Partners will tap capital markets with a EUR 400 mn 7Y bond issue. Proceeds will be used to pay back senior facilities. The company is currently meeting with investors and we expect it to launch later this week. The industrial trucks market is highly cyclical, with peak to trough new orders falling by up to 50% in a cyclical downturn. Further, it is a relatively capital intensive business with high working capital requirements. However, currently the industry environment is favourable. In FY 2010, Kion achieved new orders of EUR 4,399 mn (up 45.3% y-o-y), revenues of EUR 3,534 mn (+14.6%) and an adjusted EBITDA of EUR 462 mn (up 48.7%). Its net adjusted leverage (for pensions, finance and operating leases) according to our calculation at FYE 2010 was 6.6x (vs. 8.7x at FYE 2009; note according to the OM current net financial debt to pro forma EBITDA is 4.47x). New notes will be issued by Kion Finance S.A., which will then lend on the proceeds to Linde Material Handling GmbH (via the notes credit facility). Notes in principal will rank pari passu with senior facilities, yet note holders have no direct recourse against Kion and only the security agent of the notes credit facility can take any enforcement action. The new notes will be secured by share pledges and pledges over certain assets of the Kion Group companies, including bank accounts. The guarantor subsidiaries account for 60% of total revenues, 75% of total assets and 55% of adjusted EBITDA. Underlying law of the notes is State of New York. We like Kion’s strong market position, its increasing presence in emerging markets, particularly China (in FY 2010 accounting for 7% of its revenues). The outlook for FY 2011 is bright and we expect substantially improved figures. Additionally, we believe management steered the company well through the financial crisis by amending its senior credit facilities, gaining shareholder support and successfully executing a comprehensive restructuring program. However, we are concerned about the very high leverage, the cyclicality of the business and the fact that even in the boom years Kion did not pursue any meaningful deleveraging. Furthermore, Kion has a debt maturity wall upcoming in 2014 and 2015 when its senior facilities are due and also the maturity of the EUR 200 mn second lien facility and the EUR 100 mn PiK loan, which was granted by its shareholders, and matures ahead of the bonds. The structure and the security package of the notes seem decent in our view, but the share of EBITDA of subsidiary guarantors is relatively low. Hence, we expect Kion to issue further notes or even increase the issue size if markets allow. We think that pricing should be slightly tighter than that of the recently launched HeidelbergDruck bond, which was priced at bunds +642 bps. We will comment in more detail later today in an Event Flash. If you would like to discuss the credit, please do not hesitate to call us.
 
S&P downgrades its rating by two notches to CCC+ and puts rating on “credit watch developing”
Hold the NOVASP 9.625% at mid price of 64.5 or a Z-spread of 1,735 bps
Yesterday, S&P downgraded Novasep to CCC+ and put the rating on “watch developing”. It left its recovery rating unchanged at 4, indicating a recovery expectation of 30%-50%. The downgrade follows Novasep’s appointment of Houlihan Lokey to advise the company on financial and strategic alternatives, including one or a combination of: raising capital via debt/equity, refinancing existing debt, repurchasing debt on the open market, divesting assets and pursuing operational improvements. The downgrade reflects the potential of a debt restructuring while the developing watch status was assigned as the possible restructuring measures include new equity, partial divestitures, or a buyback of bonds on the open market, which would not have the same negative consequences as an outright exchange offer, which would most likely be deemed as a distressed exchange and hence lead to a downgrade to D. In general, we agree with S&P and reiterate our view that liquidity could become tight in Q4 of this year when the semi annual coupon is due. At this stage, it appears that Novasep is unable to halt the slide of its EBITDA as evidenced by the extension of two major contracts (one of them with Gilead which accounts for around 10% of its revenues) in which Novasep had to make concessions both with regards to pricing and volumes. Overall, we are not sure whether Novasep’s current debt load is sustainable and believe the company is indeed well advised to look for strategic alternatives. One short term fix would be a super senior facility provided by a special situations funds or its sponsor Gilde. However, this would only be a short term solution and not resolve its fundamental issues, including a very high leverage. Hence, we believe a more reasonable approach would be an equity injection and/or a debt exchange in which note holders would have to partially write down their engagement. While Gilde has been supportive so far, it is questionable whether it will inject further equity without asking for some concessions from bond holders. In our view, a distressed EV to EBITDA for Novasep should be at around 5x-5.5x (e.g. US peer Cambrex currently trades at around 5.6x) vs. an estimated FY 2010 net leverage of around 7x at FYE 2010. While the yield on its bonds appears tempting, we do not recommend to get engaged at this stage as a risk of a debt write-down and the long term operational challenges remain. Lastly, French restructuring legislation is not debt holder friendly. We keep our “Very High Risk” on the LARA scale.
 
BUY ONO’s 2018 and 2019 issues
We have included the Spanish company ONO in
our universe since, generally, we expect the
company’s credit profile to improve over the
coming years. Following a string of years with
acquisitions and major investments, the
strategy has changed from expansion to
consolidation with focus on cash flows and debt
reduction. We commence our coverage of ONO
with a Strong BUY recommendation for the
company’s €11.125% 2019 issue and a BUY
recommendation for the €8.875% 2018 issue.

ONO :(°°°°°°°° ridacci i tagli da 1k
 
Rhodia on positive watch with S&P
The rating agency S&P has placed Rhodia on
positive watch following the acquisition of
Solvay. Rhodia currently has a BB rating with
S&P. S&P expects the rating for the combined
company to be BBB+ when the acquisition is
finalised.
Hence, we believe that Solvay will make an
early redemption of Rhodia’s bond issues when
the acquisition is finalised. We maintain our
HOLD recommendation for Rhodia €-Floater
2013 and Rhodia €7% 2018.
 
BUY ONO’s 2018 and 2019 issues
We have included the Spanish company ONO in
our universe since, generally, we expect the
company’s credit profile to improve over the
coming years. Following a string of years with
acquisitions and major investments, the
strategy has changed from expansion to
consolidation with focus on cash flows and debt
reduction. We commence our coverage of ONO
with a Strong BUY recommendation for the
company’s €11.125% 2019 issue and a BUY
recommendation for the €8.875% 2018 issue.

ONO :(°°°°°°°° ridacci i tagli da 1k
Sigh.... Bei tempi.....
 
BUY ONO’s 2018 and 2019 issues
We have included the Spanish company ONO in
our universe since, generally, we expect the
company’s credit profile to improve over the
coming years. Following a string of years with
acquisitions and major investments, the
strategy has changed from expansion to
consolidation with focus on cash flows and debt
reduction. We commence our coverage of ONO
with a Strong BUY recommendation for the
company’s €11.125% 2019 issue and a BUY
recommendation for the €8.875% 2018 issue.

ONO :(°°°°°°°° ridacci i tagli da 1k

Si sono accorti che esiste anche ONO :lol:
 
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CEVA: decisamente passo

Innanzitutto grazie a Tutti per le risposte.

Ho studiato il bilancio 2010 come un bravo ragioniere, partendo dallo stato patrimoniale e dai flussi di cassa.
Ammazza che munnezza!
Passo decisamente.:down::down::down:

In estrema sintesi, scartate 40 pagine su 90 di chiacchiere e constatato che l'IR, da 3 risposte che mi ha dato, è debole forte (quando è così puzza), la realtà è che il 2009 è stato tenuto in piedi da operazioni straord. di buy back ed il 2010 ha margini operativi (% infimi) comunque meramente asserviti al pagamento del debito (sempre più oneroso).
Hanno allungato la vita media del debito ma zavorrato la società per almeno 5 anni.:sad::sad::sad:

Esagerando un pò, alla lontana ricorda la Seat Pagine Gialle di qualche anno fa.

Tutto IMHO, per carità.

PS: Ho provato ad allegare il bilancio ma non me lo lascia allegare.
 
Isin?

Ciao Gion,
abbiamo qualche isin?

Kion to tap European HY markets with EUR 400 mn issue
Participation in new issue should depend on pricing
Kion, Europe’s largest manufacturer of industrial trucks (35% market share in Europe and 15% globally) owned by funds advised by KKR and Goldman Sachs Capital Partners will tap capital markets with a EUR 400 mn 7Y bond issue. Proceeds will be used to pay back senior facilities. The company is currently meeting with investors and we expect it to launch later this week. The industrial trucks market is highly cyclical, with peak to trough new orders falling by up to 50% in a cyclical downturn. Further, it is a relatively capital intensive business with high working capital requirements. However, currently the industry environment is favourable. In FY 2010, Kion achieved new orders of EUR 4,399 mn (up 45.3% y-o-y), revenues of EUR 3,534 mn (+14.6%) and an adjusted EBITDA of EUR 462 mn (up 48.7%). Its net adjusted leverage (for pensions, finance and operating leases) according to our calculation at FYE 2010 was 6.6x (vs. 8.7x at FYE 2009; note according to the OM current net financial debt to pro forma EBITDA is 4.47x). New notes will be issued by Kion Finance S.A., which will then lend on the proceeds to Linde Material Handling GmbH (via the notes credit facility). Notes in principal will rank pari passu with senior facilities, yet note holders have no direct recourse against Kion and only the security agent of the notes credit facility can take any enforcement action. The new notes will be secured by share pledges and pledges over certain assets of the Kion Group companies, including bank accounts. The guarantor subsidiaries account for 60% of total revenues, 75% of total assets and 55% of adjusted EBITDA. Underlying law of the notes is State of New York. We like Kion’s strong market position, its increasing presence in emerging markets, particularly China (in FY 2010 accounting for 7% of its revenues). The outlook for FY 2011 is bright and we expect substantially improved figures. Additionally, we believe management steered the company well through the financial crisis by amending its senior credit facilities, gaining shareholder support and successfully executing a comprehensive restructuring program. However, we are concerned about the very high leverage, the cyclicality of the business and the fact that even in the boom years Kion did not pursue any meaningful deleveraging. Furthermore, Kion has a debt maturity wall upcoming in 2014 and 2015 when its senior facilities are due and also the maturity of the EUR 200 mn second lien facility and the EUR 100 mn PiK loan, which was granted by its shareholders, and matures ahead of the bonds. The structure and the security package of the notes seem decent in our view, but the share of EBITDA of subsidiary guarantors is relatively low. Hence, we expect Kion to issue further notes or even increase the issue size if markets allow. We think that pricing should be slightly tighter than that of the recently launched HeidelbergDruck bond, which was priced at bunds +642 bps. We will comment in more detail later today in an Event Flash. If you would like to discuss the credit, please do not hesitate to call us.
 
Innanzitutto grazie a Tutti per le risposte.

Ho studiato il bilancio 2010 come un bravo ragioniere, partendo dallo stato patrimoniale e dai flussi di cassa.
Ammazza che munnezza!
Passo decisamente.:down::down::down:

In estrema sintesi, scartate 40 pagine su 90 di chiacchiere e constatato che l'IR, da 3 risposte che mi ha dato, è debole forte (quando è così puzza), la realtà è che il 2009 è stato tenuto in piedi da operazioni straord. di buy back ed il 2010 ha margini operativi (% infimi) comunque meramente asserviti al pagamento del debito (sempre più oneroso).
Hanno allungato la vita media del debito ma zavorrato la società per almeno 5 anni.:sad::sad::sad:

Esagerando un pò, alla lontana ricorda la Seat Pagine Gialle di qualche anno fa.

Tutto IMHO, per carità.

PS: Ho provato ad allegare il bilancio ma non me lo lascia allegare.

Sei sicuro di non aver sbagliato titolo? :mmmm:

The strong momentum established in the Third Quarter continued with Quarter Four revenue up by 22% on the prior year and EBITDA up by 35%. As a result we ended the year with Full Year revenue up by 25% at €6.8 billion and EBITDA up by 25% at €292 million. This represents a significant step forward for the Group following the precipitous falls in global logistics markets in late 2008 due to the financial crisis. Fourth Quarter revenue and EBITDA were well above 2008 levels (which were €1.6 billion and €58 million); up 15% and 53%, respectively. Our financial performance improved significantly in 2010. We delivered better earnings, improved margins and enhanced liquidity driven by our ongoing focus on the programs described above and delivered considerable cost savings in 2010. These programs will continue in 2011. We have adequate headroom to fund both our daily operations and continued growth ambitions. (...) During the year we refinanced a major portion of our debt, with much of it now maturing in 2017 and 2018. Over the past 18 months we have reduced our debt due by the end of 2014 by over 70%. We have also added a new US$250 million borrowing facility at attractive rates. (...) With markets now recovering around the world, we are pleased to be entering 2011 with a strong business model, a clear plan for future growth and with good momentum. We are confident that we will continue to grow both revenue and profit in the coming months.
 
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purtroppo, si

Ciao QQ.
Ti invito (invito tutti) a leggere il bilancio completo.
Anch'io sono rimasto :eek::eek::eek: di sasso dopo la prosopopea a colori sgargianti delle prime pagine.

Guarda il conto economico 2010 completo, però:wall::wall::wall:.Sia i margini operativi che la bottom line.

La parte sottolineata al 2014 significa che hanno allungato la durata media postponendo a dopo il 2014 (vero) una parte importante dei debiti fin.....si legge piombando la società sino al 2018......
Poi guarda il risultato 2009 e depuralo dai 135 M (vado a memoria) di plus dal buyback.

Infine guarda la curva di salita degli oneri finanziari (peggiorerà nel 2011 essendo in parte a tasso variabile).

Naaaah, non cerchiamoci perdite quando in giro ci sono rendimenti ancora interessanti (CEDC for istance).;)



Sei sicuro di non aver sbagliato titolo? :mmmm:

The strong momentum established in the Third Quarter continued with Quarter Four revenue up by 22% on the prior year and EBITDA up by 35%. As a result we ended the year with Full Year revenue up by 25% at €6.8 billion and EBITDA up by 25% at €292 million. This represents a significant step forward for the Group following the precipitous falls in global logistics markets in late 2008 due to the financial crisis. Fourth Quarter revenue and EBITDA were well above 2008 levels (which were €1.6 billion and €58 million); up 15% and 53%, respectively. Our financial performance improved significantly in 2010. We delivered better earnings, improved margins and enhanced liquidity driven by our ongoing focus on the programs described above and delivered considerable cost savings in 2010. These programs will continue in 2011. We have adequate headroom to fund both our daily operations and continued growth ambitions. (...) During the year we refinanced a major portion of our debt, with much of it now maturing in 2017 and 2018. Over the past 18 months we have reduced our debt due by the end of 2014 by over 70%. We have also added a new US$250 million borrowing facility at attractive rates. (...) With markets now recovering around the world, we are pleased to be entering 2011 with a strong business model, a clear plan for future growth and with good momentum. We are confident that we will continue to grow both revenue and profit in the coming months.
 
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