Obbligazioni societarie Monitor bond case automobilistiche e accessorio auto

Posto questa news:
TORINO, 22 FEB -Si fermano da oggi per 2 settimane, tutti gli stabilimenti italiani di Fiat Auto (Milano: F.MI - notizie) : 30mila lavoratori vanno in cassa integrazione fino al 5/3 Il Lingotto ha annunciato lo stop delle fabbriche il 26/1, motivandolo con il forte calo degli ordini e la necessita' di adeguare i livelli produttivi alla domanda. Secondo l'associazione dei costruttori esteri, la raccolta degli ordini nel mercato italiano ha subito tra gennaio e febbraio un calo di oltre il 50% rispetto al 4/o trimestre 2009.

Commenti in merito? La mancanza di ordini influirà a breve sulla risalita corsi bond FIAT?
Si accettano consigli.
 
Posto questa news:
TORINO, 22 FEB -Si fermano da oggi per 2 settimane, tutti gli stabilimenti italiani di Fiat Auto (Milano: F.MI - notizie) : 30mila lavoratori vanno in cassa integrazione fino al 5/3 Il Lingotto ha annunciato lo stop delle fabbriche il 26/1, motivandolo con il forte calo degli ordini e la necessita' di adeguare i livelli produttivi alla domanda. Secondo l'associazione dei costruttori esteri, la raccolta degli ordini nel mercato italiano ha subito tra gennaio e febbraio un calo di oltre il 50% rispetto al 4/o trimestre 2009.

Commenti in merito? La mancanza di ordini influirà a breve sulla risalita corsi bond FIAT?
Si accettano consigli.

Si sapeva... credo piuttosto che dipenderà dall'andamento dell'equity... dovesse scendere l'azionario, scenderà l'Hy e Fiat seguirà la strada...
 
Nessuna aveva scritto dei conti 2009 di Renault.


  • FEBRUARY 11, 2010, 7:10 A.M. ET
2nd UPDATE: Renault Posts Big Loss, Warns Tough Year Ahead


(Adds details, comments)
By David Pearson
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

PARIS (Dow Jones)--French car maker Renault SA (RNO.FR) Thursday warned that its business will remain difficult this year due to an expected decline in the European auto market, after it posted a massive loss for 2009 as its own sales sagged and it booked losses from its partners Nissan Motor Co (7201.TO) and Volvo AB (VOLV-B.SK).

The company has forecast a 10% decline in the European auto market this year, and didn't give any earnings guidance beyond stating that its objectives are to generate positive free cash flow and thus continue reducing debt.

Renault posted a net loss of EUR3.07 billion, or EUR12.13 a share, for 2009--its first annual loss since 1996--compared to a net profit of EUR599 million, or EUR2.23 a share, in 2008. The net loss for the second half of the year was EUR356 million. Half of last year's red ink, or EUR1.56 billion, came from Renault's 44% equity interest in Nissan and its 21% stake in Swedish truck maker Volvo.

Revenue fell 11% on year to EUR33.71 billion, on the back of a previously reported 3.1% decline in Renault's global sales of cars and vans to 2.31 million vehicles. Renault incurred an operating loss of EUR396 million for all of last year, but improving market conditions allowed it to achieve an operating profit of EUR224 million in the second half of the year.

The European car market suffered a severe downturn in the first half of 2009 as sales sagged due to the economic downturn, but the market picked up in the second half as government incentive schemes designed to prop up the industry caused a pickup in sales. However, a further decline in sales is expected this year as those incentive schemes end or are wound down.

Renault said it recorded a 25% revenue increase year-on-year in the last quarter of 2009.

Renault Chief financial officer Thierry Moulonguet told a group of journalists that Nissan made a positive equity contribution of EUR309 million to Renault in the second half of 2009. Earlier this week, Nissan reported it had returned to quarterly profit in the three months ended Dec. 31 and raised its earnings guidance amid signs that the automobile industry is emerging from its slump.

Renault generated EUR2.09 billion of free cash in 2009 allowing it to reduce net debt by EUR2.02 billion to EUR5.92 billion.

Analysts applauded Renault's surprisingly strong free cash flow in 2009 and the debt reduction that also exceeded market expectations, though they said operating earnings were disappointing.

Chief Executive Carlos Ghosn said getting net debt below EUR3 billion is a major priority for Renault going forward as a means to improve its credit rating and thus lower borrowing costs. He said Renault and Nissan expect to extract another EUR1 billion from synergies this year after EUR1.5 billion in 2010.

Cash flow generation will be helped by further cost reductions, and the company's worldwide headcount will be reduced through attrition. At the same time, the company is keeping a lid on investment.

"2010 will be similar 2009, so there's no need to shift our priorities," Ghosn said.


He acknowledged that the company would have to sell assets to reduce its debt burden, but declined to say whether Renault is considering divesting its stake in Volvo and said it wouldn't be a good time to do such a deal because asset values are depressed.

"Selling assets is an obligation for those who are in a very difficult financial situation. That's not our case," he said.

Ghosn, who is also CEO of Nissan, said Renault is preparing a new medium-term strategy plan, but it won't be unveiled until next year, by which time the company hopes to have better visibility where it and the industry is headed.

He predicted that 2010 will be another "very tough" year in terms of predatory pricing by car manufacturers struggling to maintain or increase their market shares, and this will oblige Renault to step up its cost reduction efforts.


Renault's global market share rose 0.1 percentage point in 2009 to 3.7% in a market that shrunk by 4.5%, and the company is targeting a further gain in market share in 2010 with the launch of six new models.

Ghosn downplayed reports that Renault and Nissan could seek a wider partnership with other car makers, including Germany's Daimler AG (DAI.XE). He reiterated that the alliance is talking to many peers about various project ideas, but wouldn't elaborate.

He said any eventual alliances would be "strategic" rather than "tactical" and would aim to bolster the longer-term interests of the 10-year-old Renault-Nissan alliance through common development of technology and drivetrains.
 
Volkswagen...

Volkswagen confirms 2009 net income fell 80 pct

(AP) – 8 hours ago

FRANKFURT — Europe's biggest carmaker Volkswagen AG says its 2009 net income declined 80 percent to euro960 million ($1.3 billion), confirming its preliminary estimate released in February.

The Wolfsburg-based carmaker earned euro4.8 billion in net income in 2008.

Revenue in 2009 was down nearly 8 percent to euro105.2 billion from euro114 billion in 2008, VW said Thursday.

The company expects the global auto industry climate "to remain harsh" in 2010 and says sales volumes will not likely rise to pre-crisis levels until 2012.

However, the group's revenue and operating profit for 2010 should exceed 2009 levels, while VW will focus on efficiencies.

VW says operating profit was down 70 percent in 2009 to euro1.9 billion from euro6.3 billion in 2008.
 
BMW...


  • MARCH 11, 2010, 8:25 A.M. ET
BMW's 2009 Profit Slides 36%

By CHRISTOPH RAUWALD

FRANKFURT—BMW AG reported a 36% slump in 2009 net profit in a year that saw a steep downturn for luxury car makers, but said Thursday it is cautiously optimistic for 2010.

The Munich-based auto maker said net profit in 2009 fell to €210 million from €330 million a year earlier. Revenue fell 4.7% to €50.68 billion, but the company reached its target of posting a full-year pretax profit at a time when many auto makers are bleeding red ink. Pretax profit climbed to €413 million from €351 million a year earlier.

"We performed well in 2009 despite difficult market conditions world-wide," the company said in a statement, citing cost management. BMW will hold its dividend steady at €0.30 a share for 2009. Last year, BMW was hit hard by eroding demand for luxury vehicles and a sharp contraction of the U.S. market, until recently BMW's largest sales region. It sold 1.26 million cars in 2009, down about 13%. It forecast sales will grow by a single-digit percentage this year to over 1.3 million cars.

New or revamped models such as BMW 5-Series, the X1 and the Mini Countryman are expected to fuel a sales recovery this year.

"The BMW Group will, however, grow profitably thanks to new models and the expected gradual global economic recovery in 2010," BMW said. "Our new models will provide us with a tailwind over the course of the year."
BMW last year revised its midterm sales target down to 1.6 million vehicles by 2012 from 1.8 million, but still targets an auto segment return on sales of between 8% and 10% in 2012 and a return on capital employed of more than 26%.

Earlier this week, BMW reported group sales of 91,758 vehicles in February, a 14% rise month-to-month compared with the same period a year earlier. This brings BMW's total 2010 sales so far to 173,911 cars, up 15% from the year-earlier period.

BMW brand sales of 78,248 cars in February showed a 13.7% increase on the previous year. Mini also reported a 16% rise with 13,443 vehicles sold.
Demand for luxury cars contracted sharply toward the end of 2008 and the market weakness spilled over into 2009, causing relatively low comparative figures for last year.
 
Outlook negativo di Moody's sul comprato della componentistica auto nel 2010. Dopo un 2009 molto duro per l'automotive in generale, se sorti dei produttori di autovetture e della componentistica paiono dividersi.

Secondo l'agenzia, il venire meno degli incentivi potrebbe portare ad una contrazione europea del mercato automobilistico pari al 15% sul 2009, ma la cosa dovrebbe avere un impatto meno duro sulla produzione di autovetture, in quanto nello scorso anno il calo del numero di autovetture venduto si accompagnò ad un destocking particolarmente prolungato, per cui le vetture prodotte furono assai meno di quelle vendute e i suppliers dei produttori soffrirono in misura ben maggiore di questi ultimi.

Diversamente, quest'anno il riallineamento fra vendita e produzione di autovetture dovrebbe far sì che al calo atteso del venduto indicato sopra corrisponda una riduzione della produzione pari soltanto al 3%.

Per il resto, a fattori moderatamente positivi (le misure di tagli ai costi adottate nel 2009 produrrano effetti significativi in termini di incidenza sui cash flows nel 2010) se ne accompagnao altre negative per i suppliers, quale ad es. la forte ripresa dai minimi dei costi delle materie prime e la difficoltà di scaricarli a valle, atteso che gli sconti praticati ai clienti di autovetture nel 2009 generano aspettative di contenimento dei prezzi anche per l'anno corrente (oltre ad aver anticipato le decisioni di acquisto).

Moody's: Negative outlook for European automotive parts manufacturers in 2010

Frankfurt, March 30, 2010 -- The credit outlook for European automotive parts manufacturers remains negative, says Moody's Investors Service in a new Industry Outlook report. Following a difficult 2009, the rating agency believes that 2010 will be another challenging year for the sector.

"2009 was probably the toughest year for the European automotive industry since World War II," says Rainer Neidnig, a Moody's Assistant Vice President -- Analyst and author of the report. "The supply industry was even hit harder as original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) destocked their inventories well into 2009. As a result, the fall in car production was steeper than the decline in demand, with production volumes falling to their lowest level in 14 years."

In the report, entitled "Pressure Is Abating, But Challenges Prevail For European Automotive Parts Manufacturers", Moody's says that it expects that, as incentive schemes phase out, new car sales in Europe could decline by 15% in 2010 from 2009. "Given that new car sales and car production should realign after the destocking of inventories in 2009, we expect car production volumes to perform better and to decline by only 3% in 2010," Mr. Neidnig adds.

However, Moody's cautions that car production rates could decline in the second half of 2010 after a strong start to the year supported by tailwinds from the scrapping schemes in various European countries. "We see this challenge mitigated to a certain extent by the strong action most suppliers have taken to lower their cost bases," says Mr. Neidnig. "Additionally, as emerging markets such as China are expected to grow further and light vehicle production in the US is forecast to rise, we expect car production volumes globally to grow."

Moody's also believes that cash flow generation will be challenged by a potential swing-back of working capital following the significant release in 2009 and by the need to increase capital expenditures again. In addition, a substantial portion of the restructuring charges taken in 2009 will become cash effective only in 2010. The rating agency also notes that raw material prices have strongly recovered from their lows, and it will be difficult to pass these on to OEMs facing end customers who became accustomed to heavy discounts backed by government incentives.

Moody's believes enough challenges remain to maintain its negative outlook for the sector. "Broad-based improvements in ratings are unlikely in the near term, although downward ratings pressure has abated following the 2009 downgrades," says Mr. Neidnig. Moody's further notes that most rated suppliers shifted their financial priorities towards creditors' interest in 2009. The rating agency cautions that if companies abandon this conservative stance, pressure on ratings could increase.

Moody's negative outlook for the European automotive supply industry expresses the rating agency's view on the likely future direction of fundamental credit conditions in the industry over the next 12 to 18 months. It does not represent a projection of rating upgrades versus downgrades.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Alto