ETC Natural Gas (72 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione NEO_99
- Data di Inizio
FlyGold
Nuovo forumer
credo che il prezzo fondamentale del gas per via delle nuove tecniche sia di 4$ e non più i 7$ degli anni passati.Tutto è ciclico (...spero x tanto di non portar via troppa H2O al mulino di WDG), ma vuoi forse farci capire che il futuro del nostro lev nat gas sarà di 0.353 e molto giù di li???
può sicuramente salire molto il future e dietro gli può andare il lev ma nel lungo, e tu parlavi di lungo termine nel tuo esempio,il lev è destinato a perdere sempre e molto per via del contango.
Moma
Nipote di Massam
Chi mi fa il riassunto di oggi??? Non son riuscito a controllare nulla in giornata...
Cmq posizioni full short sempre in essere su crudo, copper e gas...
Ha ragione il FILOTTO... siamo in euforia, e proprio per questo ho una gran paura ad andare long...
Come la storia insegna l'euforia porta spesso giorni nefasti...
Cmq a rottura decisa sulla resistenza del rame valuterò lossata, così come sul crudo (sarebbe la 3° volta in 3 mesi... meno male che le altre due son sempre state quantomeno in pari).
Volumi in leggera diminuzione (parlo di crudo e copper, il gas è una storia a sè) oscillatori sopratutto sul copper in divergenza down (comincia a diventare anche abbastanza forte) confermati anche dalle continue divergenze ribassiste che si verificano sui principali listini SP500 e Dax...
Euro in spolvero che si affaccia sul 50% di ritracciamento di Fibo rispetto all'ultima discesa...
Per il momento rimango in posizione anche perchè da questa settimana c'ho una vagonata di roba da far al lavoro quindi... una occhiata ogni tanto in giornata e poi sera
Adesso però vado a far un giretto
Cmq posizioni full short sempre in essere su crudo, copper e gas...
Ha ragione il FILOTTO... siamo in euforia, e proprio per questo ho una gran paura ad andare long...
Come la storia insegna l'euforia porta spesso giorni nefasti...
Cmq a rottura decisa sulla resistenza del rame valuterò lossata, così come sul crudo (sarebbe la 3° volta in 3 mesi... meno male che le altre due son sempre state quantomeno in pari).
Volumi in leggera diminuzione (parlo di crudo e copper, il gas è una storia a sè) oscillatori sopratutto sul copper in divergenza down (comincia a diventare anche abbastanza forte) confermati anche dalle continue divergenze ribassiste che si verificano sui principali listini SP500 e Dax...
Euro in spolvero che si affaccia sul 50% di ritracciamento di Fibo rispetto all'ultima discesa...
Per il momento rimango in posizione anche perchè da questa settimana c'ho una vagonata di roba da far al lavoro quindi... una occhiata ogni tanto in giornata e poi sera
Adesso però vado a far un giretto
NEO_99
Forumer storico
NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Natural-gas futures ended higher Wednesday on expectations for late January cold and an above-average weekly draw from U.S. gas supplies.
Natural gas for February delivery settled up 5 cents, or 1.1%, at $4.531 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The benchmark contract has advanced for two consecutive days as forecasts for cold across much of the eastern U.S. near the end of January increased demand expectations for the heating fuel.
"It's looking like it will probably stay cold at least into the last week of January," said Stephen Strum, president of private forecaster Frontier Weather. "The overall trend is still for the eastern half of the country to be below normal, the question is how long it will last."
Natural-gas prices have closely tracked forecasts recently, as market participants try to gauge the weather's impact on heating demand and its effect on inventories.
Strum said that though this winter's chill has been less widespread than last year's, it has been colder in the major heating markets along the East Coast.
"We've had a really decent heating season" so far, said Chris Jarvis, president of Caprock Risk Management, adding that the market is likely "consolidating and looking to make a move higher."
Winter weather has sent gas futures about 40% higher since reaching their late October lows below $3.30/MMBtu.
Recent withdrawals from U.S. gas stockpiles have been larger than normal, reducing the supply surplus that has pressed the market, and analysts are expecting a report of another large withdrawal Thursday. The federal Energy Information Administration is expected to report that 142 billion cubic feet of gas was withdrawn from storage during the week ended Jan. 7, according to the average prediction of 20 gas analysts and traders in a Dow Jones Newswires survey.
The five-year average draw for the week is 108 bcf, said Tim Evans, an analyst with Citi Futures Perspective.
U.S. stockpiles hit a record high in November but have fallen since to 3.097 trillion cubic feet as of Dec. 31, according to the EIA. That's about 6.5% above the five-year average, down from about 10% higher than average in November.
The EIA's weekly report is scheduled for release Thursday at 10:30 a.m. EST.
FUTURES SETTLEMENT NET CHANGE Nymex Feb $4.531 +5.0c Nymex March $4.526 +5.0c Nymex April $4.522 +5.2c CASH HUB RANGE PREVIOUS DAY Henry Hub $4.51-$4.58 $4.35-$4.44 Transco 65 $4.51-$4.57 $4.39-$4.44 Tex East M3 $10.50-$12.05 $8.00-$9.00 Transco Z6 $12.50-$15.25 $10.75-$13.10 SoCal $4.38-$4.42 $4.26-$4.35 El Paso Perm $4.28-$4.34 $4.17-$4.25 El Paso SJ $4.25-$4.29 $4.17-$4.21 Waha $4.41-$4.47 $4.28-$4.36 Katy $4.44-$4.49 $4.30-$4.39
Natural gas for February delivery settled up 5 cents, or 1.1%, at $4.531 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The benchmark contract has advanced for two consecutive days as forecasts for cold across much of the eastern U.S. near the end of January increased demand expectations for the heating fuel.
"It's looking like it will probably stay cold at least into the last week of January," said Stephen Strum, president of private forecaster Frontier Weather. "The overall trend is still for the eastern half of the country to be below normal, the question is how long it will last."
Natural-gas prices have closely tracked forecasts recently, as market participants try to gauge the weather's impact on heating demand and its effect on inventories.
Strum said that though this winter's chill has been less widespread than last year's, it has been colder in the major heating markets along the East Coast.
"We've had a really decent heating season" so far, said Chris Jarvis, president of Caprock Risk Management, adding that the market is likely "consolidating and looking to make a move higher."
Winter weather has sent gas futures about 40% higher since reaching their late October lows below $3.30/MMBtu.
Recent withdrawals from U.S. gas stockpiles have been larger than normal, reducing the supply surplus that has pressed the market, and analysts are expecting a report of another large withdrawal Thursday. The federal Energy Information Administration is expected to report that 142 billion cubic feet of gas was withdrawn from storage during the week ended Jan. 7, according to the average prediction of 20 gas analysts and traders in a Dow Jones Newswires survey.
The five-year average draw for the week is 108 bcf, said Tim Evans, an analyst with Citi Futures Perspective.
U.S. stockpiles hit a record high in November but have fallen since to 3.097 trillion cubic feet as of Dec. 31, according to the EIA. That's about 6.5% above the five-year average, down from about 10% higher than average in November.
The EIA's weekly report is scheduled for release Thursday at 10:30 a.m. EST.
FUTURES SETTLEMENT NET CHANGE Nymex Feb $4.531 +5.0c Nymex March $4.526 +5.0c Nymex April $4.522 +5.2c CASH HUB RANGE PREVIOUS DAY Henry Hub $4.51-$4.58 $4.35-$4.44 Transco 65 $4.51-$4.57 $4.39-$4.44 Tex East M3 $10.50-$12.05 $8.00-$9.00 Transco Z6 $12.50-$15.25 $10.75-$13.10 SoCal $4.38-$4.42 $4.26-$4.35 El Paso Perm $4.28-$4.34 $4.17-$4.25 El Paso SJ $4.25-$4.29 $4.17-$4.21 Waha $4.41-$4.47 $4.28-$4.36 Katy $4.44-$4.49 $4.30-$4.39
mik
Forumer attivo
ciaoripartenza sparata da 4$,ritraccio fin sul supporto del fibo con due tre giorni di pullback e nuova partenza con ciliegina domani,sembra tutto nella norma(anche troppo semplice) che ne pensate puo essere? domani mattina se mi aspetta li in basso a 4,45 prendo un cippone...
anche io volevo fare una tradata di poche ore per tentare di recuperare un minimo di maltolto da agosto... ma lo aspettavo piu in basso ( ordine perenne in questi giorni a 0,328 mai preso ).
mi aspetto un rialzo ( l ultima onda come la chiama foo fighter ( la 4 credo )..
pensi che future piu in giu di 4,45 non vada ?
il cippone lo prenderesti prima, dopo o durante le scorte ?
ciao e grazie
pierfransis
Forumer storico
Io sono uscito ora a 0,3535 con un cippino da 53000 pezzi presi l'altro ieri a 0,3385.
Peccato che ieri ero fuori in aeroporto e non potevo vendere altrimenti avrei venduto a 4,55.
Vedo cosa fa dopo le scorte, se storna valuto di quando e magari rientro.