ETC Natural Gas (70 lettori)
- Creatore Discussione NEO_99
- Data di Inizio
Donzauker
Forumer attivo
Storage for EIA report date 1/17/13
this weeks storage poll is for week ending 1/11 and reported by EIA on 1/17.
observation:
total degree demand was warmer than average but colder than last years historic warmth during the same week.
the decreased week over week temperature change resulted in around 85bcf less demand for residential and commercial heating use from the week prior.
total supply was down slightly from the week earlier by around 1.3bcf.
colder temperatures slowed production over the Rockies regions as overnight lows were below zero.
last weeks -201 report appears to have included some silent revisions from TCO and Dominion storage of around -8bcf. (Bear Creek -770.4MMcf; Dominion -5758.8MMcf; Eminence-185.8MMcf; TCO -1236.4MMcf)
storage week total population weighted degree demand (HDD + CDD) --
last week: 199 (2cdd 197hdd)
previous week: 238 (1cdd 237hdd)
same week last yr: 166 (1cdd 165hdd)
avg: 227 (2cdd 225hdd)
next wk fcst: 183 (3cdd 180hdd)
* source: NOAA
storage:
same week last yr: -77
5-yr avg: -145
*note: avg and last year storage figures are calculated using this historical data-set provided by eia:http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngsstats.xls
my estimate is -127 bcf
this weeks storage poll is for week ending 1/11 and reported by EIA on 1/17.
observation:
total degree demand was warmer than average but colder than last years historic warmth during the same week.
the decreased week over week temperature change resulted in around 85bcf less demand for residential and commercial heating use from the week prior.
total supply was down slightly from the week earlier by around 1.3bcf.
colder temperatures slowed production over the Rockies regions as overnight lows were below zero.
last weeks -201 report appears to have included some silent revisions from TCO and Dominion storage of around -8bcf. (Bear Creek -770.4MMcf; Dominion -5758.8MMcf; Eminence-185.8MMcf; TCO -1236.4MMcf)
storage week total population weighted degree demand (HDD + CDD) --
last week: 199 (2cdd 197hdd)
previous week: 238 (1cdd 237hdd)
same week last yr: 166 (1cdd 165hdd)
avg: 227 (2cdd 225hdd)
next wk fcst: 183 (3cdd 180hdd)
* source: NOAA
storage:
same week last yr: -77
5-yr avg: -145
*note: avg and last year storage figures are calculated using this historical data-set provided by eia:http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngsstats.xls
my estimate is -127 bcf
Donzauker
Forumer attivo
non ho capito cosa vuoi dire, scusa l'ignoranza...
NEO_99
Forumer storico
non ho capito cosa vuoi dire, scusa l'ignoranza...
nel link che ho postato si trova una tabella che indica i costi per ogni contratto in base al valore nozionale. da 0 a 2499euro sono 0.125 euro di tobin che pero' è divisa per 5 se eseguita in borsa. quindi quel contratto costa 0.025 euro ... ipotesi se vendi/compri una put/call di Intesa con strike 1euro il valore nozionale è di 1000 euro ..quindi rientra nel primo scaglione.
es: 1 euro x azione il contratto prevede la consegna/ritiro di 1000 azioni.
Donzauker
Forumer attivo
era saltato il collegamento al forum...cmq le previsioni si trovano il lunedì sera entrando direttamente nella sezione forum di firstenercast
esempio:
First Enercast Financial
e vai nei forum del natural gas e options
per quanto riguarda il link che hai postato per il calcolo della tobn, io non l'ho trovato. magari ripostalo domani, però io vi leggo di sera tardino...
ciao notte
NEO_99
Forumer storico
era impossibile collegarsi al forum.
sopra il link con la tabella.
Buonagiornata!
Donzauker
Forumer attivo
Ah, non l'avevo aperto...lo guardo stasera.
Intanto leggete questo del grande JT
, mooolto interessante, sulla relazione gas/meteo.Anche se farebbe venire l'orticaria al grande Elico
Natural Gas. Il mistero delle 17:30 CET |
Buona giornata a tutti
