MM(mistermib)
Forumer storico
...ho ricevuto il "forecast" 2011 per e mail 3 settimane fa....ora me lo leggo,per curiosità....
Indici Italia .......per i fans del Siderografo di Bradley e di "Amanita".......
- Creatore Discussione MM(mistermib)
- Data di Inizio
MM(mistermib)
Forumer storico
....azz quanti commenti da 150 persone che hanno aperto il file!!!
MATLEY
Forumer storico
hai ragione.
buon giorno MM e grazie per il siderografo 2011.
Molto interessante
non l'avevo ancora visto quindi è stata, per me, un'anteprima assoluta.
Air_action
Forumer attivo
salvato, grazie mille. me lo guardo con calma....
suonatorejones
Forumer storico
anche io mi riprometto di leggerlo con calma, anche perché mi incuriosisce quel febbraio luglio "a senso unico" nel siderografo, che collimerebbe con alcune ipotesi cicliche tipo fine ciclo biennale a febbraio-marzo e ripartenza......una curiosità, chi è amanita?
MM(mistermib)
Forumer storico
"amanita.at" è il gruppo di studiosi/economisti di una "scuola austriaca" dove elaborano un po' di teorie sui mercati....
cammello
Forumer storico
pagina 4
The standard model was – at least in the traditional interpretation – not very useful in
2010 (the Amanita premium area offers additional insights). In 2011 it should be even
less useful:
(1) The first reason is that from February through June 2011 there are no
reversals at all, then from June 2011 through early 2012 such a large number
of reversals with numerous overlaps in the extended window (+/- 1 week) that
2/3 of the time are marked as a potential reversal zone. With this set-up it’s
statistically next to impossible that between March 2011 & January 2012 the
standard model is significantly better than pure chance.
(2) The second reason is that we can be quite sure that in late August wave 5 of 5
of the hyperinflation has started, leading to a profound character change of the
markets (more on that topic in the premium area).The standard model was – at least in the traditional interpretation – not very useful in
2010 (the Amanita premium area offers additional insights). In 2011 it should be even
less useful:
(1) The first reason is that from February through June 2011 there are no
reversals at all, then from June 2011 through early 2012 such a large number
of reversals with numerous overlaps in the extended window (+/- 1 week) that
2/3 of the time are marked as a potential reversal zone. With this set-up it’s
statistically next to impossible that between March 2011 & January 2012 the
standard model is significantly better than pure chance.
(2) The second reason is that we can be quite sure that in late August wave 5 of 5
of the hyperinflation has started, leading to a profound character change of the
C
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