Analisi Intermarket ....quelli che.... Investire&tradare - Cap. 2

Discorso interessante sul Vix... è di ieri ma il discorso vale molto per oggi dove il vix ha corso...


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According to sentimenTrader.com, since 1986, there have been 100 days when we've seen a similar situation. Surprisingly, the S&P was higher two weeks later 70% of the time, a month later 61% of the time, three months later 72% of the time and six months later 75% of the time.

More from sentimenTrader.com:
"

Many of these occurrences happened because the VIX was coming off of an extremely high level. When we see a panic, and fear jumps to exceptionally high levels, then in the aftermath we often see volatility expectations dampen even when stocks stumble in the short-term just because the overall level of volatility had already been so high.

If we restrict our search for precedents to those times when the VIX was below 20, then we only get three historical similarities - April 4, 1997, July 3, 2001 and April 22, 2002.

The first one led to awesome gains of more than +20% over the next three months; the latter two led to horrid losses of at least -14%. There isn't much of anything we can read into that."


If this is an omen of things to come, we can expect a big move in the indices over the next few months. However, the direction is in question.
 
Evidente che si continua a liquidare USA ma il movimento non è particolarmente convincente.. oggi leading i finanziari... per ipervenduto vero manca ancora qualche cosa...
 

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Sciori buongiorno.... se andiamo avanti così, i 1340 li facciamo in giornata....

Tanto per condividere i loss... ieri sera alle 21.40 Dax30 a -1.50... mi sono detto... "Vuoi che un rimbalzino in chiusura non lo facciano?!!" Bene, ha chiuso a -1.93!!

Gipa, se sapevo che eri connesso avrei condiviso con te l'autoflagellazione!
 

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