Obbligazioni perpetue e subordinate RZB XS0173287862: call ora o mai più? XS0193631040, XS0253262025 e il problema Russia
- Creatore Discussione Rottweiler
- Data di Inizio
Rottweiler
Forumer storico
La parte grassettata mi ha lasciato di stucco: è la prima volta che leggo di una possibilità di questo genere.
E' noto che i profitti di Raiffeisen negli ultimi tempi erano venuti soprattutto dalla Russia, e che la banca non può che soffrire da questa situazione.
Ma da lì a pronosticare un'uscita da quel mercato....
SVA: ti risulta che Berenberg abbia "elaborato" su quelle ipotesi di abbandono?
solovaloreaggiunto
Forumer storico
rzb 025 a 94.50 lettera... 8.65% YTC al 2016 .
riccio43
lupo si lupo no
quante probabilita' ha la call?
riccio43
lupo si lupo no
lettera OTC?
solovaloreaggiunto
Forumer storico
94.50 lettera. i CDS sia senior sia sub di tutte le banche europee hanno allargato di brutto in 2 settimane.. tornando ai livelli di un anno fa
solovaloreaggiunto
Forumer storico
ricerca diversa dalle solite... ma ben approfondita
Rottweiler
Forumer storico
UBS scrive, oggi:
"Financials - EU banks' direct exposure to
Ukraine is minor overall and manageable
Expected 2014 Russian earnings represent roughly 0.9% of the aggregate earnings of listed EU banks. While the direct impact from a mild economic deterioration seems manageable, major risks could emerge if there is a severe recession or an extreme scenario. Most exposed are Unicredit and Raiffeisen Bank.
Raiffeisen should derive 83.2% of its 2014 earnings from Russia. The potential earnings impact is therefore huge. Loan exposure of EUR 15.1bn represents roughly 122% of its equity. While the funding gap is nil at -1.6% of equity, in case of an extreme scenario, the bank's capital could be sig- nificantly impaired.
Unicredit should derive 19.5% of 2014 earnings from Russia. The potential earnings impact is large. Loan exposure of EUR 18.8bn represents roughly 40% of the bank's equity. While the funding gap is limited at 2.3% of equity, if there is an extreme scenario, the capital of the bank could be significantly impaired."
"Financials - EU banks' direct exposure to
Ukraine is minor overall and manageable
Expected 2014 Russian earnings represent roughly 0.9% of the aggregate earnings of listed EU banks. While the direct impact from a mild economic deterioration seems manageable, major risks could emerge if there is a severe recession or an extreme scenario. Most exposed are Unicredit and Raiffeisen Bank.
Raiffeisen should derive 83.2% of its 2014 earnings from Russia. The potential earnings impact is therefore huge. Loan exposure of EUR 15.1bn represents roughly 122% of its equity. While the funding gap is nil at -1.6% of equity, in case of an extreme scenario, the bank's capital could be sig- nificantly impaired.
Unicredit should derive 19.5% of 2014 earnings from Russia. The potential earnings impact is large. Loan exposure of EUR 18.8bn represents roughly 40% of the bank's equity. While the funding gap is limited at 2.3% of equity, if there is an extreme scenario, the capital of the bank could be significantly impaired."
solovaloreaggiunto
Forumer storico
diciamo che nel breve Raiff non e' messa benissimo.. tutto dipende del protrasi delle tensioni Russia Ucraina
Topgun1976
Guest
è una questione che si protrarrà molto,direi di mettere tutto in un 3d su Raffeinsein e magari pure Erste ,in modo da convogliare tutte le news ,info e commenti li,qui non serve a molto
