TBOND-BUND-EUROSTOX-FIBMERD fine del capitalismo(V.M.98anni)
- Creatore Discussione dan24
- Data di Inizio
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
never say goodbye 
punto focale su mS&P500 e mNd sulle s2 , è da giocarsi un long
1418 stop strettissimo 1417 trail a pari a 1419,5
punto focale su mS&P500 e mNd sulle s2 , è da giocarsi un long
1418 stop strettissimo 1417 trail a pari a 1419,5
Fleursdumal
फूल की बुराई
in trail nau - vado per i 1422
Fernando'S
Forumer storico
gipa69 ha scritto:
qua mica si esagera
..è questa estensione che è esagerata
quando provo short prendo i soliti 40/50 punti di stop
con i long 100/150 o piu' di punti li faccio
per cui sono ingabbiato a suon di botte .....la strada giusta fin'ora è una sola
poi cambierà......... questo è certo
precauzioni ne ho prese
con le azioni sono al minimo storico sono invece parecchio oltre i miei max
con le convertibili, sias, bim, beni stabili, snia, bpi, + i titoli a tasso variabile
in piu' faccio tutte le opa, consegnate oggi fideuram ( +27% annualizzato dato che le avevo comperate una settimana fà ) e ho caricato jolly hotel ( prox opa ) e Sadi ( per via della fusione)
insomma mi arrangio con le mie povere forze
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
Fernando'S ha scritto:gipa69 ha scritto:
qua mica si esagera
..è questa estensione che è esagerata
quando provo short prendo i soliti 40/50 punti di stop
con i long 100/150 o piu' di punti li faccio
per cui sono ingabbiato a suon di botte .....la strada giusta fin'ora è una sola
poi cambierà......... questo è certo
precauzioni ne ho prese
con le azioni sono al minimo storico sono invece parecchio oltre i miei max
con le convertibili, sias, bim, beni stabili, snia, bpi, + i titoli a tasso variabile
in piu' faccio tutte le opa, consegnate oggi fideuram ( +27% annualizzato dato che le avevo comperate una settimana fà ) e ho caricato jolly hotel ( prox opa ) e Sadi ( per via della fusione)
insomma mi arrangio con le mie povere forze
Lo so che sai arrangiarti
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
Tuesday December 12, 2:34 pm ET
By Mark Felsenthal
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve on Tuesday held benchmark interest rates steady at 5.25 percent for a fourth straight meeting, while renewing a warning that risks from inflation remain.
The widely expected decision by the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee keeps the overnight federal funds rate target at the level it hit in June after 17 straight quarter-percentage point increases.
In a statement outlining its decision, the Fed said it continues to focus on inflation risks, holding out the prospect that interest rates may need to move higher in coming months, even as it took note of the "substantial" cooling in the U.S. housing market.
"Readings on core inflation have been elevated, and the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain inflation pressures," the Fed said. "However, inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time."
Financial markets did not react sharply to the Fed's statement, which was largely as expected. U.S. stocks pared losses, prices for U.S. government bonds rose slightly and the value of the dollar slipped.
The decision was not unanimous. As he had at the previous three meetings, Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Lacker dissented, saying he believed higher borrowing costs are needed to keep inflation in check.
Lacker's string of dissents is the longest by a Fed policy-maker since then-Cleveland Fed President Jerry Jordan dissented four straight times in 1998.
However, other Fed policy-makers -- in a statement that closely mirrored their last policy announcement in October -- continued to express faith a cooler pace of economic growth would ease inflation pressures.
But they declined to take the option of a rate rise down the road off the table.
"The extent and timing of any additional firming that may be needed to address these risks will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth," the Fed statement said.
U.S. output grew at a 2.2 percent annual rate in the third quarter, slowing from 2.6 percent in the second quarter and 5.6 percent in the first three months of the year. Many economists see the U.S. long-term trend growth rate at around 3 percent.
However, core inflation rose 2.4 percent over the year through October, according to the Fed's favorite gauge, off only slightly from a more than 11-year high of 2.5 percent in August. Many Fed officials would like to see it contained in a 1 percent to 2 percent range.
While Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues have said higher-than-desired core inflation is a worry, they expect it to ease as slower growth pushes up unemployment.
Recent data have corroborated the Fed's view of an economy growing below long-term trend and regaining some slack.
A gauge of factory activity from the Institute for Supply Management dropped below the break-even point between expansion and contraction for the first time in 3-1/2 years in November.
In addition, the government's most-reliable measure of home prices showed them edging up at a modest annual rate of 3.45 percent in the third quarter, the slowest quarterly rise since the second quarter of 1998.
A slowdown in housing is expected to dampen consumer spending. Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT - News), the world's largest retailer, said sales at its U.S. stores open at least a year fell 0.1 percent from November 2005, the first decline since April 1996.
So far, however, the economy has proven resilient.
The Labor Department said on Friday that U.S. employers had created 132,000 jobs in November, a stronger performance than Wall Street had expected and one that led financial markets to scale back bets on interest rates cuts next year.
The same report, however, showed the unemployment rate rose to 4.5 percent from October's 5-1/2 year low of 4.4 percent, which may have provided some comfort to Fed officials who have worried job-market tightness could lead to wage gains that would put further upward pressure on prices.
By Mark Felsenthal
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve on Tuesday held benchmark interest rates steady at 5.25 percent for a fourth straight meeting, while renewing a warning that risks from inflation remain.
The widely expected decision by the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee keeps the overnight federal funds rate target at the level it hit in June after 17 straight quarter-percentage point increases.
In a statement outlining its decision, the Fed said it continues to focus on inflation risks, holding out the prospect that interest rates may need to move higher in coming months, even as it took note of the "substantial" cooling in the U.S. housing market.
"Readings on core inflation have been elevated, and the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain inflation pressures," the Fed said. "However, inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time."
Financial markets did not react sharply to the Fed's statement, which was largely as expected. U.S. stocks pared losses, prices for U.S. government bonds rose slightly and the value of the dollar slipped.
The decision was not unanimous. As he had at the previous three meetings, Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Lacker dissented, saying he believed higher borrowing costs are needed to keep inflation in check.
Lacker's string of dissents is the longest by a Fed policy-maker since then-Cleveland Fed President Jerry Jordan dissented four straight times in 1998.
However, other Fed policy-makers -- in a statement that closely mirrored their last policy announcement in October -- continued to express faith a cooler pace of economic growth would ease inflation pressures.
But they declined to take the option of a rate rise down the road off the table.
"The extent and timing of any additional firming that may be needed to address these risks will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth," the Fed statement said.
U.S. output grew at a 2.2 percent annual rate in the third quarter, slowing from 2.6 percent in the second quarter and 5.6 percent in the first three months of the year. Many economists see the U.S. long-term trend growth rate at around 3 percent.
However, core inflation rose 2.4 percent over the year through October, according to the Fed's favorite gauge, off only slightly from a more than 11-year high of 2.5 percent in August. Many Fed officials would like to see it contained in a 1 percent to 2 percent range.
While Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues have said higher-than-desired core inflation is a worry, they expect it to ease as slower growth pushes up unemployment.
Recent data have corroborated the Fed's view of an economy growing below long-term trend and regaining some slack.
A gauge of factory activity from the Institute for Supply Management dropped below the break-even point between expansion and contraction for the first time in 3-1/2 years in November.
In addition, the government's most-reliable measure of home prices showed them edging up at a modest annual rate of 3.45 percent in the third quarter, the slowest quarterly rise since the second quarter of 1998.
A slowdown in housing is expected to dampen consumer spending. Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT - News), the world's largest retailer, said sales at its U.S. stores open at least a year fell 0.1 percent from November 2005, the first decline since April 1996.
So far, however, the economy has proven resilient.
The Labor Department said on Friday that U.S. employers had created 132,000 jobs in November, a stronger performance than Wall Street had expected and one that led financial markets to scale back bets on interest rates cuts next year.
The same report, however, showed the unemployment rate rose to 4.5 percent from October's 5-1/2 year low of 4.4 percent, which may have provided some comfort to Fed officials who have worried job-market tightness could lead to wage gains that would put further upward pressure on prices.
gipa69
collegio dei patafisici
U.K. Inflation Rate Increases to Highest Since 1997 (Update8)
By Brian Swint
Dec. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Britain's inflation rate rose to the highest in at least nine years in November, increasing speculation that the Bank of England will lift interest rates next year.
Consumer prices rose 2.7 percent from a year earlier, the most since the index was introduced in January 1997, after a 2.4 percent gain in October. Economists had expected an increase to 2.6 percent. Consumer prices rose 0.3 percent in the month, led by gains in utility bills and transport costs.
Faster inflation may prompt workers to push for higher wages when collective pay agreements are set in the first quarter. Bank of England Governor Mervyn King has said policy makers will act if companies and workers agree to escalate pay deals.
``It's clear the bank sees this as a significant threat, and that's one reason why they'll raise rates once more,'' Paul Dales, an economist at Capital Economics Ltd. in London.
The pound and interest-rate futures rose as investors stepped up bets on the Bank of England's benchmark rate reaching 5.25 percent next year from the current 5 percent. That would be higher than the euro zone rate, which the European Central Bank increased to 3.5 percent on Dec. 7, and would match the U.S. key rate, which economists expect to be left unchanged today.
The implied rate on the futures contract maturing in March rose 3 basis points to 5.40 percent as of 3:11 p.m. in London, up from 5.3 percent Dec. 4.
The pound rose by the most in six weeks against the euro, gaining as much as 0.5 percent from yesterday's close to 67.34 pence. The U.K. currency also climbed against the dollar, to $1.9678 from $1.9584. It has risen 14 percent so far this year, reaching a 14-year high of $1.9848 on Dec. 1.
Holiday Shopping
Above-target inflation for seven months and higher interest rates are hitting consumers as the holiday shopping season begins. Tesco Plc, Britain's biggest retailer, said last week U.K. sales growth slowed in the fiscal third quarter as price cuts on clothing and alcoholic drinks failed to lure shoppers.
Debenhams Plc, Britain's second-largest department-store company, said today that sales fell in the 14 weeks ending Dec. 10 as shoppers delayed Christmas spending.
Utility bills, transport, recreation and culture costs contributed most to the acceleration in inflation in November, today's figures showed. Household bills rose 11.1 percent from November last year, the biggest gain since the series began.
Retail Prices and Pay
Retail-price inflation accelerated to 3.9 percent in November from 3.7 percent in October, the government said today. Wage negotiators use this index in pay talks. When mortgage interest payments are excluded, the retail-price index rose to 3.4 percent, the highest since March 1993.
``People are struggling to keep up with inflation,'' said Paul Sellers, economic policy adviser at the Trades Union Congress, which represents more than 7 million workers. ``I don't see any inflation-busting pay deals coming up, but pay has proved remarkably stable over the past year and that can't go on forever.''
U.K. employees at Ford Motor Co. and Rolls Royce Plc, as well as air traffic controllers, are set to receive pay increases of more than 4 percent because their wages are linked to the retail-price index, Ken Mulkearn, the editor of Incomes Data Services' pay reports in London, said in an interview. While the median pay increase is still around 3 percent, average wage deals are going up, he said.
Rising Joblessness
Unemployment is also rising, keeping a lid on wages, as around half a million immigrants from Eastern Europe join the workforce. Benefit claims claimed by the unemployed reached a five-year high in October, and wage growth including bonuses was the lowest since January in the third quarter, the statistics office said Nov. 15.
The inflation rate will rise to about 2.7 percent at the end of 2006 before receding, the Bank of England said Nov. 15. Governor Mervyn King said energy costs should decline in the next few months.
The threat of a pickup in wages early next year meant that raising rates last month was justified, Bank of England policy maker Paul Tucker said in a speech yesterday.
To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Swint in London at [email protected] .
Last Updated: December 12, 2006 10:17 EST
By Brian Swint
Dec. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Britain's inflation rate rose to the highest in at least nine years in November, increasing speculation that the Bank of England will lift interest rates next year.
Consumer prices rose 2.7 percent from a year earlier, the most since the index was introduced in January 1997, after a 2.4 percent gain in October. Economists had expected an increase to 2.6 percent. Consumer prices rose 0.3 percent in the month, led by gains in utility bills and transport costs.
Faster inflation may prompt workers to push for higher wages when collective pay agreements are set in the first quarter. Bank of England Governor Mervyn King has said policy makers will act if companies and workers agree to escalate pay deals.
``It's clear the bank sees this as a significant threat, and that's one reason why they'll raise rates once more,'' Paul Dales, an economist at Capital Economics Ltd. in London.
The pound and interest-rate futures rose as investors stepped up bets on the Bank of England's benchmark rate reaching 5.25 percent next year from the current 5 percent. That would be higher than the euro zone rate, which the European Central Bank increased to 3.5 percent on Dec. 7, and would match the U.S. key rate, which economists expect to be left unchanged today.
The implied rate on the futures contract maturing in March rose 3 basis points to 5.40 percent as of 3:11 p.m. in London, up from 5.3 percent Dec. 4.
The pound rose by the most in six weeks against the euro, gaining as much as 0.5 percent from yesterday's close to 67.34 pence. The U.K. currency also climbed against the dollar, to $1.9678 from $1.9584. It has risen 14 percent so far this year, reaching a 14-year high of $1.9848 on Dec. 1.
Holiday Shopping
Above-target inflation for seven months and higher interest rates are hitting consumers as the holiday shopping season begins. Tesco Plc, Britain's biggest retailer, said last week U.K. sales growth slowed in the fiscal third quarter as price cuts on clothing and alcoholic drinks failed to lure shoppers.
Debenhams Plc, Britain's second-largest department-store company, said today that sales fell in the 14 weeks ending Dec. 10 as shoppers delayed Christmas spending.
Utility bills, transport, recreation and culture costs contributed most to the acceleration in inflation in November, today's figures showed. Household bills rose 11.1 percent from November last year, the biggest gain since the series began.
Retail Prices and Pay
Retail-price inflation accelerated to 3.9 percent in November from 3.7 percent in October, the government said today. Wage negotiators use this index in pay talks. When mortgage interest payments are excluded, the retail-price index rose to 3.4 percent, the highest since March 1993.
``People are struggling to keep up with inflation,'' said Paul Sellers, economic policy adviser at the Trades Union Congress, which represents more than 7 million workers. ``I don't see any inflation-busting pay deals coming up, but pay has proved remarkably stable over the past year and that can't go on forever.''
U.K. employees at Ford Motor Co. and Rolls Royce Plc, as well as air traffic controllers, are set to receive pay increases of more than 4 percent because their wages are linked to the retail-price index, Ken Mulkearn, the editor of Incomes Data Services' pay reports in London, said in an interview. While the median pay increase is still around 3 percent, average wage deals are going up, he said.
Rising Joblessness
Unemployment is also rising, keeping a lid on wages, as around half a million immigrants from Eastern Europe join the workforce. Benefit claims claimed by the unemployed reached a five-year high in October, and wage growth including bonuses was the lowest since January in the third quarter, the statistics office said Nov. 15.
The inflation rate will rise to about 2.7 percent at the end of 2006 before receding, the Bank of England said Nov. 15. Governor Mervyn King said energy costs should decline in the next few months.
The threat of a pickup in wages early next year meant that raising rates last month was justified, Bank of England policy maker Paul Tucker said in a speech yesterday.
To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Swint in London at [email protected] .
Last Updated: December 12, 2006 10:17 EST
Fernando'S
Forumer storico
ben scritto e molto vero
faccio bene io che meno leggo meglio è....
.........qua non ci devo piu' venire
"...1. Più informazioni si hanno in merito ai mercati, più confusione si genererà, particolarmente se le informazioni sono contraddittorie.
Il problema è determinato da un surplus di informazioni, i trader tenteranno naturalmente di integrarli tutti in una decisione significativa e quindi operativa.
Ma questo non garantisce che la decisione sarà corretta.
Infatti, le opinioni si bilanciano spesso l'un l'altro e lasciano come non mai il trader in un momento di grande confusione.
Un accordo dettato dalla maggioranza degli esperti può inoltre essere sbagliato, infatti è ben risaputo che le opinioni di gruppo più forti sono, più condivise sono, più è probabile che possano essere sbagliate.
2. Più informazioni un trader ha, più probabile è che il trader le usi per giustificare o giustificarsi un'opinione o posizione già stabilita.
Da quel momento, le informazioni non hanno altro valore che, forse, quello di dare al trader un falso senso di sicurezza.
3. Più informazioni un trader ha, più egli sarà incline, ad essere trasportato nel “tornado emotivo” del trading. (EMOTIONAL TORNADO OF TRADING)
Molti, anzi, troppi trader sono incapaci di rimanere freddi davanti allo scorrere dei prezzi tick-by-tick.
Il solo guardare i prezzi, è sufficiente per costringerli ad entrare in azione; azione che può essere, per assurdo, totalmente contraria ai loro sistemi o metodi di trading: è una forma di pulsione irrefrenabile..."
insomma se lasciate perdere i forum, non vi ingrifate e guadagnate
faccio bene io che meno leggo meglio è....
.........qua non ci devo piu' venire
"...1. Più informazioni si hanno in merito ai mercati, più confusione si genererà, particolarmente se le informazioni sono contraddittorie.
Il problema è determinato da un surplus di informazioni, i trader tenteranno naturalmente di integrarli tutti in una decisione significativa e quindi operativa.
Ma questo non garantisce che la decisione sarà corretta.
Infatti, le opinioni si bilanciano spesso l'un l'altro e lasciano come non mai il trader in un momento di grande confusione.
Un accordo dettato dalla maggioranza degli esperti può inoltre essere sbagliato, infatti è ben risaputo che le opinioni di gruppo più forti sono, più condivise sono, più è probabile che possano essere sbagliate.
2. Più informazioni un trader ha, più probabile è che il trader le usi per giustificare o giustificarsi un'opinione o posizione già stabilita.
Da quel momento, le informazioni non hanno altro valore che, forse, quello di dare al trader un falso senso di sicurezza.
3. Più informazioni un trader ha, più egli sarà incline, ad essere trasportato nel “tornado emotivo” del trading. (EMOTIONAL TORNADO OF TRADING)
Molti, anzi, troppi trader sono incapaci di rimanere freddi davanti allo scorrere dei prezzi tick-by-tick.
Il solo guardare i prezzi, è sufficiente per costringerli ad entrare in azione; azione che può essere, per assurdo, totalmente contraria ai loro sistemi o metodi di trading: è una forma di pulsione irrefrenabile..."
insomma se lasciate perdere i forum, non vi ingrifate e guadagnate
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