Obbligazioni societarie Voestalpine, ThyssenKrupp, ArcelorMittal e l'industra dell'acciaio

Trimestrali per alcuni primari produttori USA: AK Steel, US Steel, Nucor, Steel Dynamic nei giorni scorsi.

Forecast a breve termine decisamente modesto: qualcuno ha nuovamente ridotto la produzione, altri prevedono cali nei prezzi. Incide in particolare la debolezza attesa per l'automotive, fra i principali clienti della produzione flat rolled, quella più redditizia, dopo il termine del programma di incentivi americani "cash for clunkers"

Le strategie aziendali continuano ad essere all'insegna del contenimento dei costi....

WRAPUP 1-U.S. steelmakers beat estimates but outlook gloomy | Reuters

Domani c'è ArcelorMittal
 
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Domani c'è ArcelorMittal

Eccola. Ritorno all'utile per ArcelorMittal dopo 3 trimestri di perdite, ma con risultati che restano assai deboli in termine di fatturato (valore del venduto più che dimezzato su base annua) e ben si riflettono in un utilizzo della capacità produttiva che si è attestato al 61%, in salita rispetto al 50% del trimestre precedente, ma decisamente inferiore ad un livello soddisfacente. Per il trimestre in corso, il forecast è di una ulteriore crescita a quota 70%.

L'outlook di breve termine è un po' più roseo di quello di una concorrenza focalizzata esclusivamente su mercati maturi: ci si attende crescita in Asia ed in Sudamerica, continenti nei quali AM conta di rifocalizzare la propria strategia di crescita, e a pù breve scadenza, per fine anno ci si attende ulteriore crescita della produzione e dei prezzi, seppure lieve.

In USA, ha concorso ai risultati il buon andamento del segmento automotive, quale effetto degli incentivi alla rottamazione (il cash for clunkers) e di un progressivo restocking da parte dei clienti, mentre in Europa AM ha chiuso i propri conti ancora in rosso.

Circa i target finanziari, ottenuta nel 2009 la riduzione del debito netto programmata, una sua ulteiore riduzione non sarà obiettivo prioritario, in quanto AM è intenzionata ad effettuare maggiori investimenti in progetti di crescita su mercati quali Brasile ed India ed anche nel segmento minerario, sempre in paesi emergenti.

ArcelorMittal sees profit after 3 quarterly losses

ArcelorMittal ends streak of losses, posts $903 million Q3 profit, sees start of recovery.

  • By Aoife White, AP Business Writer
  • On 6:29 am EDT, Wednesday October 28, 2009

BRUSSELS (AP) -- ArcelorMittal SA, the world's largest steel maker, on Wednesday posted a $903 million profit in the third quarter, its first after three consecutive quarterly losses, as it saw the first signs of a gradual recovery in demand.

Although the profit was still 76 percent below year-earlier levels, the company said the market was slowly improving after the global recession caused demand to plunge for steel used to make cars, machinery and buildings.

"We believe we are through the worst," ArcelorMittal's chief financial officer Aditya Mittal told reporters. "We remain cautious, the economy is still weak, particularly in the developed world, and the recovery will continue to be slow and progressive."

Third quarter profit was down from the same period last year, when the company made $3.82 billion. Sales were $16.18 billion, down more than half from $35.19 billion a year ago -- and only a slight increase on $15.17 billion in the second quarter.

The company says it expects higher shipments and steel prices in the fourth quarter and would focus on further growth in developing markets -- mainly South America and Asia -- by restarting key expansion projects in Brazil and India and mining projects elsewhere.

ArcelorMittal is slowly restarting steel mills and furnaces that it stilled late last year. It was running at only 50 percent capacity in the second quarter, increasing that to 61 percent in the third quarter. It plans to take that up to 70 percent in the final three months of 2009.

The steel maker warned that sales are still "substantially lower" than a year ago and are less profitable because the economic crisis has also triggered a steep fall in selling prices.

Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal's results outpaced rival U.S. Steel, which reported a third quarter loss Tuesday and predicted another, narrower loss in the fourth quarter.

Mittal said the United States is seeing both "real and apparent demand" as companies go beyond restocking and increase output. He said one sign of real growth is higher sales to car makers whose recovery has been largely fueled by the government's cash-for clunkers program.


He said it was unclear whether higher European demand reflects a solid manufacturing recovery.
The company's European flat carbon and global stainless steel and services divisions continued to report a loss in the third quarter.

Emerging market growth does not fully compensate for sluggish growth in richer nations where the company has significant assets, Mittal said.

"The developed market economies are recovering; the level of recovery is still much lower that what it used to be in 2008," he said. "The faster and stronger it is, the better for ArcelorMittal."

The World Steel Association, a group of global steel makers, said earlier this month that it expected strong demand from China to help the steel market return to moderate growth of 9.2 percent next year, after an expected fall of 8.6 percent for 2009.

The company said it has met a target to make $2.2 billion in longer-term savings this year, which included a voluntary redundancy program that has helped it shed some 40,000 workers since the start of the economic crisis.
Mittal said the company would no longer prioritize efforts to reduce its debt as it tries to put more money into growth projects.

It has already cut net debt to $21.6 billion -- down $10.9 billion from a year ago.
Much of that was built up from an ambitious program to expand in emerging markets. ArcelorMittal has reorganized other debt and issued bonds and shares over the past year to increase capital flow.
 
Trimestrale di ThyssenKrupp. Ancora in rosso l'EBIT, (la perdita operativa ante imposte ammonta ad 1,33 mld euro, ma - escluse le poste una tantum, imputabili ai costi di ristrutturazione, ad un più sostenibile 332 mln eur) TK confida di tornare all'utile nel 2010, in virtù principalmente dell'effetto dei tagli ai costi varati finora.

Nel mentre ed anche con l'effetto di preservare la cassa, taglia drasticamente il dividendo ed indica ulteriori operazioni di tagli ai costi e di ristrutturazione quali la chiave per salvaguardare in futuro la propria profittevolezza.

Per il 2010, il forecast è all'insegna di ulteriore debolezza, in un contesto in cui la ripresa delle vendite è modesta e dovuta al re-stocking dei clienti europei, ed anche i prezzi, leggermente ripresisi a luglio, sono tornati a declinare in mancanza di una reale domanda da parte dei comparti industriali utilizzatori.

Non esclude un piccolo calo del ciclo economico nel 2010 e non è in grado di dare indicazioni sulla durata della crisi, e tuttavia il forecast per l'andamento delle vendite è flat rispetto ai livelli attuali.

UPDATE 1-ThyssenKrupp expects return to profit in '10

Fri Nov 13, 2009 7:11am EST

* Sees significant profit improvement in 2009/10 year
* ThyssenKrupp FY08/09 pretax loss 2.364 bln eur * Q4 adj pretax loss 332 mln eur
* Proposes cutting dividend to 0.30 eur/shr from 1.30
* Share turns positive, up 1.9 pct

(Adds background, comment)
By Marilyn Gerlach

DUESSELDORF, Germany, Nov 13 (Reuters) - ThyssenKrupp (TKAG.DE) expects to swing back to profit this fiscal year after restructuring costs and a slump in steel demand pushed it into a deep 2008/09 pretax loss and made it slash its dividend.

Germany's biggest steelmaker proposed on Friday paying a dividend of 0.30 euros per share, down from 1.30 euros the previous year.

"We anticipate that sales will stabilise in fiscal 2009/2010. Earnings are expected to improve significantly and return to profit, thanks in no small part to the cost-cutting programmes we have introduced," Chief Executive Ekkehard Schulz said as the company released results ahead of schedule.

Looking forward to the current fiscal year to September 30, 2010, ThysssenKrupp said it "feels the currently emerging economic recovery is still fragile," echoing comments made on Thursday by smaller German rival Salzgitter (SZGG.DE).

"One cannot rule out a small dip in 2010," in terms of economic growth, Schulz said. "We don't know how long the economic crisis will last."


ThyssenKrupp brought out full-year results early after German media reported on Thursday its had swung to a 2008/09 pretax loss of 2.364 billion euros ($3.52 billion).

Its fourth-quarter pretax loss amounted to 1.377 billion euros. Excluding the costs for trimming the number of divisions from five to two, revamping its shipyards, impairments, and project costs for new steel plants in the United States and Brazil, its pretax loss amounted to 332 million euros.

JP Morgan analyst Jeffrey Largey said Thyssen had passed through the worst of the demand trough and while revenues have climbed due to increasing usage of plants, profits are still driven by cost cuts and restructuring.

"Restructuring, portfolio optimisations and a further reduction in costs will in the future -- as in the past -- remain the key challenges to keep ThyssenKrupp profitable on a sustainable basis," Schulz said.

Analysts said European steel prices, which inched up from July as destocking waned amidst signs of economic recovery worldwide, have come under pressure lately because of the absence of real demand from consumers.

Schulz said he expects sales in the current year will "move more likely sideways".


Thyssen has had to bear the brunt of the recessionary impact on its shipbuilding and automotive operations -- both lumped in its Technology division, which posted the heaviest loss among the divisions and where it has launched a major overhaul.

Salzgitter, Germany's second-largest steelmaker, on Thursday warned that overproduction could smother a tentative recovery in the European steel market.

(Reporting by Marilyn Gerlach; Editing by Michael Shields)
 

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